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The European Light Vehicle Aftermarket: Regional Analysis 2012-17

The European Light Vehicle Aftermarket: Regional Analysis 2012-17


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Executive Summary

Following the financial crisis, the European light vehicle aftermarket continued to demonstrate year-on-year growth. Although levels of growth fell in 2010-12, they are predicted to pick up in the five years to 2017, with the most significant growth seen in 2016. This report explores the factors that underpin this growth, and identifies how individual channels, products and regions will fare.

Synopsis

Levels of growth in the European light vehicle aftermarket are predicted to pick up in the five years between 2012 and 2017, with the most significant growth (2.5%) being seen in 2016.

Total aftermarket revenues reached EUR215.1bn in 2012 and are forecast to increase by EUR15.3bn (7%) over five years, to reach EUR230.4bn by 2017.

At the channel level, the aftermarket remains highly competitive. In most European markets, the dominant pair of vehicle manufacturer networks and garages dominate, and will continue to do so.

Reasons To Buy

Understand how the European parc and aftermarket are changing.

See which regions, channels and product families will grow and decline over time.

Understand the factors that are shaping the market and how they can be responded to.

Your key questions answered

How is the vehicle parc changing and what does this mean for the aftermarket at a European and regional level?

Which regions and countries will see the biggest change in aftermarket values and volumes and why?

Which product families and distribution channels will generate most aftermarket value going forward to 2017?

1 Overview

2 Definitions

2.1 Parameters

2.2 Product families

2.3 Distribution channels

2.4 Regions covered

3 Executive Summary

4 Car Parc Dynamics

4.1 Car parc overview

4.2 Car parc growth by region

4.3 Car parc composition by age

4.4 Key findings

4.5 Key findings: parc overview conclusions

5 European Aftermarket Dynamics

5.1 Key drivers

5.2 The profile of vehicle expenditure

5.3 Aftermarket value 2012-17

5.4 Key findings

5.4.1 Pricing effects

5.4.2 Replacement rates

6 European Aftermarket Value

6.1 Market share

6.2 Aftermarket value by region

6.3 Key findings

7 European Aftermarket Channel Analysis

7.1 Aftermarket revenue shares by channel

7.2 Key findings: distribution channels

8 European Aftermarket Product Analysis

9 European Aftermarket Revenue by Product Family

9.1 European

9.2 Leading Five

9.3 Northern Europe

9.4 Southern Europe

9.5 Eastern Europe

9.6 Western Europe

9.7 Key findings: aftermarket revenue split by product family

10 Appendix

10.1 Channel definitions

10.2 Component definitions

10.3 About Verdict Retail

10.4 Disclaimer

Figure 1: Parameters

Figure 2: Product families

Figure 3: Channel definitions

Figure 4: Countries covered by Verdict Automotive

Figure 5: European car parc share (%), 2012

Figure 6: European car parc growth (%), 2012-17

Figure 7: Growth in light vehicle registrations (%), 2011-12

Figure 8: Dieselisation of car parc (%), 2012

Figure 9: Car parc growth (%), 2012-17

Figure 10: European car parc by age category (millions), 2012-17

Figure 11: Leading Five car parc by age category (millions), 2012-17

Figure 12: Northern Europe car parc by age category (millions), 2012-17

Figure 13: Southern Europe car parc by age category (millions), 2012-17

Figure 14: Eastern Europe car parc by age category (millions), 2012-17

Figure 15: Western Europe car parc by age category (millions), 2012-17

Figure 16: Dieselisation growth in Europe (%), 2012-17

Figure 17: Aftermarket drivers in 2012

Figure 18: European aftermarket value (EURm), 2012-17

Figure 19: Vehicle manufacturer network market share (%), 2012

Figure 20: Growth in aftermarket value (%), 2012-17

Figure 21: European spend per car (EUR), 2012

Figure 22: Growth in European spend per car (%), 2012-17

Figure 23: Growth in average spend per car (EUR), 2012-17

Figure 24: Aftermarket value by region (EURm), 2012-17

Figure 25: European aftermarket revenue by channel (EURm), 2012

Figure 26: Aftermarket revenue by channel and country (%), 2012

Figure 27: Total Europe aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2012

Figure 28: Change in European aftermarket revenue shares, all channels (%), 2012-17

Figure 29: Leading Five aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2012

Figure 30: Change in Leading Five aftermarket revenue shares, all channels (%), 2012-17

Figure 31: Northern Europe aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2012

Figure 32: Change in Northern Europe aftermarket revenue shares, all channels (%), 2012-17

Figure 33: Southern Europe aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2012

Figure 34: Change in Southern Europe aftermarket revenue shares, all channels (%), 2012-17

Figure 35: Eastern Europe aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2012

Figure 36: Change in Eastern Europe aftermarket revenue shares, all channels (%), 2012-17

Figure 37: Western Europe aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2012

Figure 38: Change in Western Europe aftermarket revenue shares, all channels (%), 2012-17

Figure 39: Tyres revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 40: Mechanical parts revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 41: Wear and tear parts revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 42: Service parts revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 43: Consumables revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 44: Accessories revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 45: Crash repair parts revenue heatmap (EURm), 2012

Figure 46: European revenue share by product family (%), 2012

Figure 47: Change in European revenue by product family (%), 2012-17

Figure 48: Leading Five revenue by product family (%), 2012

Figure 49: Change in Leading Five revenue by product family (%), 2012-17

Figure 50: Leading Five aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2012

Figure 51: Northern Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012

Figure 52: Change in Northern Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012-17

Figure 53: Northern Europe aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2012

Figure 54: Southern Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012

Figure 55: Change in Southern Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012-17

Figure 56: Southern Europe aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2012

Figure 57: Eastern Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012

Figure 58: Change in Eastern Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012-17

Figure 59: Eastern Europe aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2012

Figure 60: Western Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012

Figure 61: Change in Western Europe revenue by product family (%), 2012-17

Figure 62: Western Europe aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2012

Table 1: European channel share by value (%), 2012

Table 2: Change in European channel share by value (%), 2012-17

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