Future of the Chinese Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the Chinese Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021


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Executive Summary

The Future of the Chinese Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Chinese defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

Chinese defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 9.23% between 2012 and 2016, and valued USD 146.3 billion in 2016

The country's total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be USD 1007.1 billion

The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 32.8% over the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the country's budget for homeland security is expected to be USD 161.8 billion cumulatively

The key areas of investment are expected to be fighter and multi-role aircraft,submarines,helicopter, naval vessels, and missile defense systems

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Chinese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

Chinese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Chinese defense industryduring 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the spending patterns and modernization patterns of the country

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the Chinese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargainingpower of thebuyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry,and barrier to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Chinese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Chinese defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements thatare expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the Chinese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts



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1 Introduction

1.1 What is this Report About?

1.2 Definitions

1.3 Summary Methodology

1.4 SDI Terrorism Index

1.5 About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1 Chinese defense expenditure is expected to value USD 1007.7 billion cumulatively over the forecast period

3.1.2 Race over military supremacy, territorial disputes, peacekeeping missions, increasing tension with the US, and research and development are the main factors driving Chinese defense expenditure

3.1.3 Chinese defense expenditure to average 1.3% of GDP over the forecast period

3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.2.1 Capital expenditure allocation expected to average 32.8% of the total defense budget over the forecast period

3.2.2 Defense capital expenditure is expected to reach USD 330.2 billion cumulatively over the forecast period

3.2.3 Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period

3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1 Chinese homeland security is expected to reach USD 36.4 billion by 2021

3.3.2 Organized crime, terrorism threats, and cyber protection are expected to drive Chinese homeland security expenditure

3.3.3 China falls under the "highly affected" of terrorism category

3.3.4 China has a terrorism index score of 6.3

3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1 China to be the largest defense spender in Asia

3.4.2 China has the second largest defense budget in the world

3.4.3 China allocates a lower share of GDP for defense compared to the US and other Asian countries

3.4.4 China is "highly affected" by terrorism as per SDI Research Intelligence Terrorism Index

3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.5.1 Multi-role Aircraft

3.5.2 Infrastructure construction

3.5.3 Surface-air missiles

3.5.4 Multi-mission Helicopter

3.5.5 Transport Aircraft

3.5.6 Destroyers

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1 Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1 China is expected to import fewer weapons over the forecast period

4.1.2 Russia accounts for the majority of Chinese defense imports

4.1.3 Aircraft, engines, and ships are the most imported military hardware

4.2 Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1 Defense exports are expected to grow over the forecast period

4.2.2 Pakistan emerged as the biggest importer of Chinese low-cost defense equipment exports

4.2.3 Chinese aircraft and armored vehicle exports expected to increase

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1 Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: high

5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: medium

5.1.3 Barriers to entry: high

5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: low

5.1.5 Threat of substitution: low

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1 Market Regulation

6.1.1 The Chinese military-industrial complex opens up to private sector participation

6.1.2 Defense industry remains closed to foreign direct investment

6.2 Market Entry Route

6.2.1 Foreign technology finds its way into the Chinese defense industry through civil-military integration

6.3 Key Challenges

6.3.1 Lack of competition and long production cycles continue to hamper the performance of the Chinese defense industry

6.3.2 Arms embargo imposed by the US and EU

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview

7.1.1 State-owned enterprises are the only major players in China's defense industry

7.1.2 Foreign technology enters the Chinese defense market by supplying civil use products

7.2 Key Domestic Companies

7.2.1 China North Industries Corporation: overview

7.2.2 China North Industries Corporation: products

7.2.3 China North Industries Corporation: recent announcement and strategic initiatives

7.2.4 China North Industries Corporation: alliances

7.2.5 China North Industries Corporation: recent contract wins

7.2.6 China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: overview

7.2.7 China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: products

7.2.8 China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiative

7.2.9 China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: alliances

7.2.10 China Electronics Technology Group Corporation: recent contract wins

7.2.11 Aviation Industry Corporation of China: overview

7.2.12 Aviation Industry Corporation of China: products

7.2.13 Aviation Industry Corporation of China: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.14 Aviation Industry Corporation of China: alliances

7.2.15 Aviation Industry Corporation of China: recent contract wins

7.2.16 China National Nuclear Corporation: overview

7.2.17 China National Nuclear Corporation: services

7.2.18 China National Nuclear Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.19 China National Nuclear Corporation: alliances

7.2.20 China National Nuclear Corporation: recent contract wins

7.2.21 China Xinshidai Company: overview

7.2.22 China Xinshidai Company: products

7.2.23 China Xinshidai Company: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.24 China Xinshidai Company: alliances

7.2.25 China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: overview

7.2.26 China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: services

7.2.27 China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.28 China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation: alliances

7.2.29 China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: overview

7.2.30 China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: products

7.2.31 China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.32 China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation: alliances

7.2.33 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: overview

7.2.34 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: products

7.2.35 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.36 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation: alliances

7.2.37 China State Shipbuilding Corporation: overview

7.2.38 China State Shipbuilding Corporation: products

7.2.39 China State Shipbuilding Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.40 China State Shipbuilding Corporation: alliances

7.2.41 China State Shipbuiding Corporation: recent contract wins

7.2.42 China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation: overview

7.2.43 China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation: products

7.2.44 China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: overview

7.2.45 China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: products

7.2.46 China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: recent announcement and strategic initiatives

7.2.47 China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1 Economic Performance

8.1.1 Gross Domestic Product per Capita

8.1.2 Gross Domestic Product (Current USD Bn)

8.1.3 Exports of goods and services in local currency

8.1.4 Imports of goods and services in local currency

8.1.5 Local Currency Unit per USD

8.1.6 Market Capitalization of Listed companies (USD bn)

8.1.7 Market Capitalization of Listed companies (percentage of GDP)

8.1.8 Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP

8.1.9 Goods Impors as a percentage of GDP

8.1.10 Services Imports (as percentage of GDP)

8.1.11 Services Exports (as percentage of GDP)

8.1.12 Net Foreign Direct Investment

8.1.13 Net FDI as a percentage of GDP

8.1. Minerals

8.1.14 Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Figure 1: Chinese Defense Expenditure (in C YEN Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 2: Chinese Defense Expenditure (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 3: Chinese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,

Figure 4:Chinese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),

Figure 5: Chinese Capital Expenditure (in C YEN Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 6: Chinese Defense Capital Expenditure (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 7: Chinese per capita defense expenditure (USD ), 2012-2026

Figure 8: Chinese Homeland Security Budget in C YEN billion, 2012-2021

Figure 9: Chinese Homeland Security Budget in USD billion, 2012-2021

Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016

Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (USD Billion),

Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military

Figure 15: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size in China (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 16: Infrastructure Construction Market Size in China (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 17: Surface-to-Air Missiles Market Size in China (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 18: Multi-mission Helicopter market Size in China (USD Million), 2016-2026

Figure 19: Transport Aircraft Market Size in China (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 20: Destroyers Market Size in China (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 21: Chinese Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)

Figure 22: Chinese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 23: Chinese Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 24: Chinese Defense Exports Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)

Figure 25: Chinese Defense Export by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 26: Chinese Defense exports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 27: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 28: Chinese GDP per Capita, 2015-2025

Figure 29: Chinese GDP Current USD (USD Billion), 2015-2025

Figure 30: Chinese Exports of goods and services (C YEN Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 31: Chinese Imports of goods and services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 32: Chinese LCU per USD , 2015-2024

Figure 33: Chinese Market Capitalization of listed companies (USD Billion), 2005-2012

Figure 34: Chinese Market Capitalization of listed companies as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 35: Chinese Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 36: Chinese Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 37: Chinese Services Imports (as a percentage of GDP), 2005-2013

Figure 38: Chinese Services Exports (as a percentage of GDP), 2005-2013

Figure 39: Chinese Net Foreign Direct Investment (current USD bn), 2005-2013

Figure 40: Chinese Net FDI as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 41: Chinese Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (C YEN Bn), 2005-2014

Table 1: Chinese Defense Expenditure (C YEN billion & USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 2: Chinese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2021

Table 3: Chinese Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Table 4: Chinese Defense Capital Expenditure (C YEN billion & USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 5: Chinese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (USD Billion), 2012-2026

Table 6: Chinese Homeland Security Budget (C YEN billion & USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 7: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 versus 2017-2021

Table 8: SDI Terrorism Index

Table 9: Chinese Military-Industrial Complex-Competitive Landscape

Table 10: China North Industries Corporation-Product focus

Table 11: China North Industries Corporation-Alliances

Table 12: China North Industries Corporation-Recent Contract Wins

Table 13: China Electronics Technology Group Corporation-Product focus

Table 14: China Electronics Technology Group Corporation-Alliances

Table 15: China Electronics Technology Group Corporation-Recent Contract Wins

Table 16: Aviation Industry Corporation of China-Product focus

Table 17: Aviation Idustry Corporation of China- Alliances

Table 18: Aviation Industry Corporation of China: Recent Contract Wins

Table 19: China National Nuclear Corporation-Services focus

Table 20: China National Nuclear Corporation-Alliances

Table 21: China National Nuclear Corporation-Recent Contract Wins

Table 22: China Xinshidai Company-Product focus

Table 23: China Xinshidai Company-Alliances

Table 24: China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation-Services focus

Table 25: China Nuclear Engineering and Construction Corporation-Alliances

Table 26: China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation-Product focus

Table 27: China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation- Alliances

Table 28: China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation-Product focus

Table 29: China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation- Alliances

Table 30: China State Shipbuilding Corporation-Product focus

Table 31: China State Shipbuilding Corporation- Alliances

Table 32: China State Shipbuilding Corporation: Recent Contract Wins

Table 33: China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation-Product focus

Table 34: China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation-Product focus

Table 35: China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation-Recent Contract Wins

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China North Industries Corporation, China Electronics Technology Group Corporation, Aviation Industry Corporation of China, China National Nuclear Corporation, China Xinshidai Company, China Nuclear Energy and Construction, China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, China State Shipbuilding Corporation, China National Electronics Import and Export Corporation, China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation

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