Future of the Mexican Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the Mexican Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021


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Executive Summary

The Future of the Mexican Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

The Mexican defense budget values US$5.4 billion in 2016, and registered a CAGR of-1.38% during the historic period. Mexico being one of the largest oil & gas exporters in the North America and Latin American region, was hit hard by the fall in energy prices, which prompted the government to cut back on overall government spending. As a result, the Mexican defense budget contracted for two consecutive years 2015 and 2016 by-8.10% and-12.75% respectively, which had an impact on the overall CAGR between the periods 2012-2016.

On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest US$30.3 billion for defense purposes, of which US$4.2 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The government's well-defined military modernization plans to counter influence of narco-terrorists, drug traffickers and weapon traffickers is expected to fuel procurement of defense equipment.

The MoD is expected to invest in Military-IT (Networking), Multi-mision helicopters, Corvettes and MRO facities for corvettes maintenance and transport aircrafts over the coming years.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Mexican defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

The Mexican defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Mexican defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the Mexican defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Mexican defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Mexican defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the Mexican defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts



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1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. SDI Terrorism Index

1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1. Defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 1.87% during 2017-2021

3.1.2. The government's fight against drug trafficking to drive defense expenditure in the forecast period

3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP estimated to increase over the forecast period

3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to average 13.7% during the forecast period

3.2.2. Mexican defense capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1.95% during the forecast period

3.2.3. Per capita defense expenditure forecast to increase over the forecast period

3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is anticipated to increase at a CAGR of 3.87% during the forecast period

3.3.2. Organized crime and money laundering to drive the HLS market

3.3.3. Mexico considered at 'high risk' of terrorist attack

3.3.4. Mexico faces high level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.3.5. Mexico considered at 'High Risk' of terrorist attack

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1. Mexico's defense budget expected to increase over the forecast period

3.4.2. Mexico's military expenditure is limited compared to countries with the largest defense expenditures

3.4.3. Mexico allocates a low percentage of GDP to defense

3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.5.1. Multi-mission Helicopters

3.5.2. Military-IT Networking

3.5.3. Corvettes

3.5.4. Corvettes MRO

3.5.5. Transport Aircraft

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities drives the country's defense imports

4.1.2. Defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period

4.1.3. The US was a major arms supplier to Mexico during 2011-2015

4.1.4. Aircraft to dominate Mexican defense imports

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. Mexico does not export arms due to an underdeveloped domestic arms industry

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: low

5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: medium

5.1.3. Barriers to entry: low

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. Mexico has not disclosed any offset obligations

6.1.2. Mexico allows 100% FDI in defense industry

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Foreign OEMs prefer direct selling to enter the market

6.2.2. Military collaborations provide good market entry opportunities

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency impedes the growth of Mexico's defense industry

6.3.2. Lack of domestic defense technological know-how acts as a deterrent to market entry

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Domestic Companies

7.2.1. Productos Mendoza: overview

7.2.2. Productos Mendoza: products

7.2.3. Aviabaltika de Mexico Company: overview

7.2.4. Aviabaltika de Mexico Company: products and services

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. GDP Per Capita

8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services (LCU)

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (LCU)

8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion)

8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per US$

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)

8.1.9. Goods exports as % of GDP

8.1.10. Goods imports as % of GDP

8.1.11. Service Imports as % of GDP

8.1.12. Service Exports as % of GDP

8.1.13. Foreign Direct Investment

8.1.14. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP

8.1.15. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Figure 1: Mexican Defense Expenditure (MXN Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 2: Mexican Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 3: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2012-2021

Figure 4: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Figure 5: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (MXN Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 6: Mexican Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Million), 2012-2021

Figure 7: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021

Figure 8: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (MXN billion), 2012-2021

Figure 9: Mexican Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2012-2021

Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016

Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2021

Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016

Figure 15: Multi Mission Helicopter Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 16: Military IT-Networking Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 17: Corvettes Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 18: Corvettes MRO Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 19: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2019

Figure 20: Mexican Defense Imports (TIV values) 2011-2015

Figure 21: Mexican Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 22: Mexican Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 23: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 24: Mexican GDP Per Capita, 2016-2025

Figure 25: Mexican GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2016-2025

Figure 26: Mexican Exports of Goods and Services (MXN Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 27: Mexican Imports of Goods and Services (MXN Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 28: Mexican Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2012

Figure 29: Local Currency per US$, 2016-2025

Figure 30: Mexican Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012

Figure 31: Mexican Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012

Figure 32: Mexican Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 33: Mexican Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 34: Mexican Service Imports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 35: Mexican Service Exports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 36: Mexican Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 37: Mexican Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 38: Mexican Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2005-2014

Table 1: Mexican Defense Expenditure (MXN billion& US$ billion), 2012-2021

Table 2: Mexican GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021

Table 3: Mexican Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Table 4: Mexican Defense Capital Expenditure (MXN Billion & US$ Million), 2012-2021

Table 5: Mexican Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021

Table 6: Mexican Homeland Security Expenditure (MXN Billion & US$ billion), 2012-2021

Table 7: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Table 8:Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Table 9: Productos Mendoza-Product Focus

Table 10: Aviabaltika de Mexico Company-Products and Services

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