Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the UAE Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021


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Executive Summary

The Future of the UAE's Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

- The UAE's defense expenditure is valued at USD23.5 billion in 2016, and registered a CAGR of 4.51% during the historic period. The UAE's defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.59%, to value USD31.8 billion by 2021

- On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest USD140.8 billion for defense purposes, of which USD53.1 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The protection of vital infrastructure, the territorial dispute with Iran, and ongoing domestic defense industry building initiatives are expected to drive the country's future defense spending

- The defense budget is expected to increase further during the forecast period, due to the country's aim to develop its own domestic defense industry

- The MoD is expected to invest in military IT networking, fighters & multi-role aircraft, reconnaissance and surveillance aircraft, infrastructure & logistics - construction, and Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFV)

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the UAE's defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The UAE's defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the UAE's defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porter's Five Force analysis of the UAE's defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the UAE's defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the UAE's defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the UAE's defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts



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1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. SDI Terrorism Index

1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1. The defense budget of UAE to record a CAGR of 6.59% over the forecast period

3.1.2. Military modernization initiatives, territorial dispute with Iran, and peace keeping missions to drive defense expenditure

3.1.3. The defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during the forecast period

3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.2.1. Procurement of advanced equipment to drive capital expenditure allocation during the forecast period

3.2.2. Capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.3% over the forecast period

3.2.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period

3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1. UAE homeland security is expected to increase at a CAGR of 6.41% over the forecast period

3.3.2. Investment in the protection of infrastructure and cyber security are expected to drive the UAE homeland security market

3.3.3. UAE is categorized as some risk country for terror activities

3.3.4. UAE faces "some risk" by acts of terrorism

3.3.5. UAE faces Some threat from terrorists

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1. UAE defense budget expected to register rapid growth over the period 2016-2020

3.4.2. UAE defense expenditure is small compared to the leading spenders

3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers

3.5.1. Military IT networking to corner bulk of investments

3.5.2. Fighters & multi-role aircraft

3.5.3. Reconnaissance and surveillance aircraft

3.5.4. Infrastructure & logistics - construction

3.5.5. Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFV)

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Limitations of the domestic defense industry to encourage arms imports

4.1.2. The UAE stood as the world's fourth-largest arms importer over the historic period

4.1.3. US continues to be the major arms supplier to the UAE

4.1.4. Aircraft and Missiles to dominate UAE defense imports

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. The UAE has minimal defense exports

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium

5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium to high

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium to high

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. Defense deals are settled through direct negotiation or competitive bidding

6.1.2. Foreign OEMs prefer indirect offsets to meet the obligations associated with defense deals

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Foreign OEMs use proxy representatives to enter the market

6.2.2. Defense exhibitions hosted by the UAE serve as an entry route for foreign OEMs

6.2.3. Joint ventures and collaborations offer alternative means of entering the market

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Complying with the UAE's stringent offset requirements a concern for OEMs

6.3.2. UAE demands technology transfer in defense deals

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Foreign Companies

7.2.1. Lockheed Martin: overview

7.2.2. Lockheed Martin: products

7.2.3. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.4. Lockheed Martin: alliances

7.2.5. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins

7.2.6. Lockheed Martin: Financial Analysis

7.2.7. BAE Systems Plc. - overview

7.2.8. BAE Systems Plc. - Major Products

7.2.9. BAE Systems Plc. - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.10. BAE Systems Plc. - alliances

7.2.11. BAE Systems Plc. - recent contract wins

7.2.12. BAE Systems: Financial Analysis

7.2.13. Raytheon: overview

7.2.14. Raytheon: products and services

7.2.15. Raytheon: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.16. Raytheon: alliances

7.2.17. Raytheon: recent contract wins

7.2.18. Raytheon: Financial Analysis

7.2.19. Rolls-Royce Plc. - overview

7.2.20. Rolls-Royce Plc. - Major Products

7.2.21. Rolls-Royce Plc. - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.22. Rolls-Royce Plc. - alliances

7.2.23. Rolls-Royce Plc. - recent contract wins

7.2.24. Rolls-Royce Plc.: Financial Analysis

7.2.25. Northrop Grumman Corporation - overview

7.2.26. Northrop Grumman Corporation - Major Products

7.2.27. Northrop Grumman Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.28. Northrop Grumman Corporation - alliances

7.2.29. Northrop Grumman: Financial Analysis

7.2.30. Thales - overview

7.2.31. Thales - Major Products and Services

7.2.32. Thales - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.33. Thales - alliances

7.2.34. Thales - recent contract wins

7.2.35. Thales: Financial Analysis

7.2.36. The Boeing Company - overview

7.2.37. The Boeing Company - Major Products

7.2.38. The Boeing Company - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.39. The Boeing Company - alliances

7.2.40. The Boeing Company - recent contract wins

7.2.41. Boeing: Financial Analysis

7.3. Key Public Sector Companies

7.3.1. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - overview

7.3.2. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Major Products and Services

7.3.3. Abu Dhabi Ship Building (ADSB) - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.4. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - alliances

7.3.5. Abu Dhabi Ship Building - recent contract wins

7.3.6. Abu Dhabi Ship Building: Financial Analysis

7.3.7. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - overview

7.3.8. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - Major Services

7.3.9. Gulf Logistics and Naval Support - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.10. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - overview

7.3.11. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - Major Products and Services

7.3.12. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.13. Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - alliances

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. GDP per Capita at constant prices

8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services (Current LCU)

8.1.5. LCU per USD (period average)

8.1.6. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of listed companies as a % GDP

8.1.8. Total government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP

8.1.9. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current USD Bn)

8.1.10. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP

8.1.11. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Bn)

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Figure 1: UAE Defense Expenditure (in AED Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 2: UAE Defense Expenditure (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 3: UAE GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2021

Figure 4: UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2021

Figure 5: UAE Defense Capital Expenditure (AED billion), 2012-2021

Figure 6: UAE Defense Capital Expenditure (USD billion), 2012-2021

Figure 7: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016

Figure 8: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Figure 9: Benchmarking with Key Markets,2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020

Figure 10: Benchmarking with World's Largest Defense Spenders (USD Billion), 2016 and 2021

Figure 11: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP - 2015

Figure 12: Military IT Networking Market Size (USD Million), 2016-2026

Figure 13: Fighters and Multi-role Aircraft (USD Million), 2016-2026

Figure 14: Reconnaissance and Surveillance Aircraft Market Size (USD Million), 2016-2026

Figure 15: Infrastructure & logistics - construction (USD Million), 2016-2026

Figure 16: Attack Helicopters (USD Million), 2016-2026

Figure 17: UAE Defense Imports (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 18: UAE Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 19: UAE Defense Imports by Category, 2011-2015

Figure 20: UAE Defense Exports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 21: UAE Defense Exports (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 22: Industry Dynamics - Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 23: Lockheed Martin - Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 24: Lockheed Martin - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 25: Lockheed Martin - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 26: BAE Systems - Revenue Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 27: BAE Systems - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (GBP million), 2011-2014

Figure 28: BAE Systems - Net Profit Trend Analysis (GBP billion), 2011-2015

Figure 29: Raytheon - Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 30: Raytheon - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 31: Raytheon - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 32: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Revenue Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 33: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 34: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 35: Northrop Grumman - Revenue Trend Analysis (GBP Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 36: Northrop Grumman - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 37: Northrop Gruman - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 38: Thales - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 39: Thales - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 40: Thales - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 41: Boeing - Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 42: Boeing - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 43: Boeing - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 44: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2011-2015

Figure 45: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 46: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 47: UAE GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (USD), 2016-2025

Figure 48: UAE GDP at Current Prices (USD Billion), 2016-2025

Figure 49: UAE Exports of goods and services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 50: UAE Imports of goods and services (USD), 2005-2014

Figure 51: UAE Manufacturing output (USD Billion), 2015-2024

Figure 52: UAE market capitalization of listed companies (USD billion), 2005-2012

Figure 53: UAE market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012

Figure 54: UAE International reserves, including gold (USD billion), 2011-2013

Figure 55: UAE net foreign direct investment (BoP, current USD Bn) 2011-2014

Figure 56: UAE net foreign direct investment as a % of GDP 2011-2014

Figure 57: UAE net foreign direct investment as a % of GDP 2005-2014

Table 1: UAE Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Table 2: UAE Defense Capital Expenditure (AED billion & USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 3: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (USD), 2012-2021

Table 4: UAE Per Capita Expenditure (USD), 2012-2021

Table 5: UAE Defense Expenditure for Homeland Security (AED Billion & USD Billion), 2012-2021

Table 6: UAE Homeland Security Expenditure (AED Billion), 2012-2021

Table 7: UAE Homeland Security Expenditure (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Table 8: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Table 9: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020

Table 10: UAE - Offset Guidelines and Agreements

Table 11: Lockheed Martin - Alliances

Table 12: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins

Table 13: BAE Systems Plc. - Alliances

Table 14: BAE Systems Plc. - recent contract wins

Table 15: Raytheon - Alliances

Table 16: Raytheon Company - recent contract wins

Table 17: Rolls-Royce Plc. - Alliances

Table 18: Rolls-Royce Plc. - recent contract wins

Table 19: Northrop Grumman Corporation - Alliances

Table 20: Thales - Alliances

Table 21: Thales - recent contract wins

Table 22: The Boeing Company - Alliances

Table 23: The Boeing Company - recent contract wins

Table 24: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Major Products & Services

Table 25: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - Alliances

Table 26: Abu Dhabi Ship Building - recent contract wins

Table 27: Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - Major Products & Services

Table 28: Abu Dhabi Systems Integration - alliances

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Raytheon

Gulf Logistics and Naval Support

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