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Future of the Uzbek Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

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Future of the Uzbek Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

"Future of the Uzbek Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023", published by GlobalData, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

This report offers detailed analysis of the Uzbek defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following-

- The defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Uzbek defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Uzbek defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.

Scope

- Uzbekistan's armed forces stand among one of the strongest in Central Asia.

- However, the budget for Uzbekistan's armed forces, which consist of ground forces and air forces, decreased from USD 2.3 billion in 2014 to USD 1.6 billion in 2018; at a CAGR of -9.53% owing to severe devaluation of its currency against USD.

- Otherwise, in local currency, defense budget grew by CAGR 23.74% over same period.

- Uzbekistan has no formal navy as it is a land locked country.

Reasons to buy

- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Uzbek defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Uzbek defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts.

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Table Of Content

Scope

Table of Contents

1. Introduction 6

1.1. What is this Report About? 6

1.2. Definitions 6

1.3. Summary Methodology 8

1.4. About GlobalData 9

2. Executive Summary 10

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities 11

3.1. Current Market Scenario 12

3.1.1. Procurement Programs 14

3.1.2. Key Drivers and Challenges 15

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast 16

3.2.1. Uzbek defense budget to grow at a forecast-period CAGR of 15.09% 16

3.2.2. Modernization and acquisition of military equipment and counter-terrorism to drive Uzbekistan's defense expenditure 18

3.2.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP to remain at an average of 4.6% over the forecast period 20

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 22

3.3.1. Share of capital expenditure will increase over the forecast period 22

3.3.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a forecast-period CAGR of 15.12% 24

3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure to rise over the forecast period 26

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast 27

3.4.1. Human trafficking and drug smuggling form the major components of homeland security expenditure 27

3.4.2. Uzbekistan falls under the some risk category in the terrorism index 28

3.4.3. Uzbekistan faces moderate threats from terrorist organizations 29

3.4.4. Uzbekistan has a terrorism index score of 0.1 31

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets 32

3.5.1. Uzbekistan's defense budget expected to increase over the forecast period 32

3.5.2. Uzbekistan's military expenditure is less compared to countries with the largest defense expenditures 34

3.5.3. The defense budget as a percentage of GDP to decline over the forecast period 35

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics 36

4.1. Import Market Dynamics 37

4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities to drive the country's defense imports 37

4.1.2. France, Spain and US are the major suppliers for the Uzbekistan 38

4.1.3. Aircrafts and armored vehicles accounted for 95% of defense imports 39

4.2. Export Market Dynamics 40

4.2.1. Uzbekistan has very limited scope for exports of arms due to an underdeveloped domestic arms industry 40

5. Market Entry strategy 41

5.1. Market Regulation 41

5.1.1. Uzbekistan does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country 41

5.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in defense sector not disclosed by the government 41

5.2. Market Entry Route 41

5.2.1. Budgeting process 41

5.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process 42

5.2.3. Government-to-government agreements are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs 42

5.2.4. Joint venture and license manufacturing agreements provide an attractive market entry route 42

6. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights 43

6.1. Competitive landscape Overview 43

7. Business Environment and Country Risk 44

7.1. Economic Performance 44

7.1.1. GDP per capita at constant prices (USD ) 44

7.1.2. GDP at current prices (USD ) 45

7.1.3. Exports of goods and services 46

7.1.4. Imports of goods and services 47

7.1.5. LCU per USD (period average) 48

7.1.6. Mining, manufacturing, utilities output (LCU Billion) 49

8. Appendix 50

8.1. About GlobalData 50

8.2. Disclaimer 50


List Of Figure

List of Figures

Figure 1: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (UZS Trillion), 2014-2023 17

Figure 2: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (USD Billion), 2014-2023 17

Figure 3: Uzbek GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth (%), 2014-2023 21

Figure 4: Uzbek Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 23

Figure 5: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (UZS Trillion), 2014-2023 25

Figure 6: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (USD Billion), 2014-2023 25

Figure 7: Uzbek Per Capita Defense Expenditure (USD ), 2014-2023 26

Figure 8: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018 28

Figure 9: Terrorism Index, 2018 31

Figure 10: Uzbekistan- Benchmarked Against Key Markets (%), 2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 33

Figure 11: Defense Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (USD Billion), 2018 and 2023 34

Figure 12: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2018 35

Figure 13: Uzbek Defense Imports (USD Million), 2013-2017 (TIV values*) 37

Figure 14: Uzbek Defense Imports by Country (%), 2013-2017 38

Figure 15: Uzbek Defense Imports by Category (%), 2013-2017 39

Figure 16: Uzbek-GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (USD ), 2015-2025 44

Figure 17: Uzbek-GDP at Current Prices (USD Billion), 2015-2025 45

Figure 18: Uzbek-Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 46

Figure 19: Uzbek-Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 47

Figure 20: Uzbek-LCU per USD , 2015-2024 48

Figure 21: Uzbek-Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014 49


List Of Table

List of Tables

Table 1: Uzbek Ground Forces Strength 12

Table 2: Uzbek Air Force Strength 13

Table 3: Uzbek Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs (USD Million) 14

Table 4: Uzbek Future Procurement Programs 14

Table 5: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (UZS Trillion and USD Billion), 2014-2023 16

Table 6: Uzbek GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth (%), 2014-2023 20

Table 7: Uzbek Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023 22

Table 8: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (UZS Trillion & USD Billion), 2014-2023 24

Table 9: Uzbek Per Capita Defense Expenditure (USD ), 2014-2023 26

Table 10: Terrorism Index 29

Table 11: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023 32

Table 12: Uzbek Budget process 42

Table 13: Uzbek-Competitive Landscape of Defense Industry, 2018 43

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Products and Companies

Products

Defense, budget, offset, regulation, capital expenditure, homeland, drivers, market opportunities, procurement, entry route, key challenge, announcements, alliances, contract awards, financial analysis, business environment, Airbus, Uralvagonzavod, United Aircraft Corporation, Russian Aircraft Corporation MiG


Companies

Airbus

Uralvagonzavod

United Aircraft Corporation

Russian Aircraft Corporation MiG