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Future of the Vietnamese Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the Vietnamese Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021


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Executive Summary

The Future of the Vietnamese Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

Vietnam is one of the fastest growing defense spenders in the world, with a military budget valued at US$5 billion in 2016. Between 2012-2016 Vietnamese defense budget grew fromUS$3.3 billion in 2012 to US$5 billion in 2016, registering a CAGR of 10.95%.

On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest US$32.1 billion for defense purposes, of which US$10.7 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The government's well-defined military modernization plans along with its efforts to bolster its military capabilities as a means to counter Chinese aggression in South China Sea region is anticipated to drive spending.

The MoD is expected to invest in Military-IT (Networking), Infrastructure Construction, MRO facilities for frigate maintenance and SSK-diesel electric submarine over the coming years.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

The Vietnamese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Vietnamese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the Vietnamese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. SDI Terrorism Index

1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1. Defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.04% during the forecast period

3.1.2. Military modernization and the crisis in the South China Sea are expected to be the prime factors driving Vietnamese military expenditure

3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to hover at 2.5% over the forecast period

3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure in the overall defense budget is expected to increase

3.2.2. Vietnam's capital expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.91% over the forecast period

3.2.3. Per capita defense expenditure to be US$80.2 by 2020

3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to be US$4.8 billion by 2021

3.3.2. The main factors driving homeland security expenditure are the illicit drugs trade and human trafficking

3.3.3. Vietnam faces a minimal threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.3.4. Vietnam faces negligible threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1. Vietnamese defense expenditure is expected to remain low compared to leading spenders

3.4.2. Vietnam has a low defense expenditure compared to other Asian countries

3.4.3. Vietnam's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is higher than leading Asian defense spenders

3.5. Defense Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.5.1. Military IT-Networking

3.5.2. Infrastructure Construction

3.5.3. Naval vessels MRO-Frigates

3.5.4. SSK-Diesel Electric Submarine

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Limited domestic defense capabilities drives the country's defense imports

4.1.2. Defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period

4.1.3. Russia is a significant defense trade partner of Vietnam

4.1.4. Ships and aircraft accounted for the majority of defense imports over 2011-2015

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. The country has been unable to access the global defense market

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: medium

5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: low

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. Vietnamese Government unveils new procurement rules

6.1.2. Vietnam has not disclosed any offset obligations

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Foreign equipment manufacturers can enter the market through direct commercial sales

6.2.2. Government-to-government deals are an attractive entry route to the country's defense market

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Lack of private participants and foreign direct investment may restrict domestic defense industry growth

6.3.2. Lack of transparency and corruption impedes the growth of Vietnam's defense industry

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Companies

7.2.1. Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): overview

7.2.2. Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): products

7.2.3. Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.4. Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): alliances

7.2.5. Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC): recent contract awards

7.2.6. Sukhoi: overview

7.2.7. Sukhoi: products

7.2.8. Sukhoi: recent contract awards

7.2.9. Admiralty Shipyards: overview

7.2.10. Admiralty Shipyards: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.11. Admiralty Shipyards: products

7.2.12. Admiralty Shipyards: recent contract awards

7.2.13. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: overview

7.2.14. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: products

7.2.15. Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding: recent contract awards

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita

8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services

8.1.5. Local Currency Unit per US$

8.1.6. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ Billion)

8.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies as a % of GDP

8.1.8. Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP

8.1.9. Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP

8.1.10. Services Imports as a percentage of GDP

8.1.11. Services Exports as a percentage of GDP

8.1.12. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Bn)

8.1.13. Net foreign direct investment as a % of GDP

8.1.14. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Figure 1: Vietnamese Defense Expenditure (VND Trillion), 2012-2021

Figure 2: Vietnamese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 3: Vietnamese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021

Figure 4: Vietnamese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Figure 5: Vietnamese Defense Capital Expenditure (VND Trillion), 2012-2021

Figure 6: Vietnamese Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 7: Vietnamese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021

Figure 8: Vietnamese Homeland Security Expenditure (VND Trillion), 2012-2021

Figure 9: Vietnamese Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021

Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016

Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Figure 13: Benchmarking with World's Largest and Top Regional Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2021

Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016

Figure 15: Military IT-Networking Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 16: Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 17: Frigates Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2022

Figure 18: SSK-diesel Electric Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026

Figure 19: Vietnamese Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)

Figure 20: Vietnamese Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 21: Vietnamese Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 22: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 23: Vietnam's GDP per capita, 2015-2025

Figure 24: Vietnam's Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Billion), 2015-2025

Figure 25: Vietnam's Exports of goods and services (LCU), 2005-2014

Figure 26: Vietnam's Imports of goods and services (LCU), 2005-2014

Figure 27: Vietnam's LCU per US$, 2015-2024

Figure 28: Vietnam's market capitalization of listed companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012

Figure 29: Vietnam's market capitalization of listed companies as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 30: Vietnam's Goods Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 31: Vietnam's Goods Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 32: Vietnam's Services Imports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 33: Vietnam's Services Exports as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 34: Vietnam's Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Bn), 2005-2013

Figure 35: Vietnam's Net foreign direct investment as a % of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 36: Vietnam's Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (VND Billion), 2005-2014

Table 1: Vietnamese Defense Expenditure (VND Trillion& US$ billion), 2012-2021

Table 2: Vietnamese GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021

Table 3: Vietnamese Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Table 4: Vietnamese Defense Capital Expenditure (VND Trillion & US$ Billion), 2012-2021

Table 5: Vietnamese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021

Table 6: Vietnamese Homeland Security Expenditure (VND trillion & US$ billion), 2012-2021

Table 7: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Table 8: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Table 9: Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC)-Alliances

Table 10: Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC)-Recent Contract Wins

Table 11: Sukhoi-Recent Contract Wins

Table 12: Admiralty Shipyards-Recent Contract Wins

Table 13: Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding-Recent Contract Wins

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Vietnam Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (SBIC), Sukhoi, Admiralty Shipyards, Damen Schelde Naval Shipbuilding (DSNS)

Defense, budget, offset, regulation, capital expenditure, homeland, drivers, market opportunities, procurement, entry route, key challenge, announcements, alliances, contract awards, financial analysis, business environment


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