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Kazakhstan Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2016-Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

Kazakhstan Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2016-Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape


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Executive Summary

Kazakhstan Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2016-Market Trends, Regulations and Competitive Landscape

Summary

This report elaborates Kazakhstan's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the Kazakhstan power market's regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape, and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in Kazakhstan on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential. Financial performance of the leading power companies is also analyzed in the report.

Scope

Snapshot of the country's power sector across parameters-macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.

Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2015, forecast for the next 15 years to 2030.

Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear

Data on leading current and upcoming projects.

Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports.

Policy and regulatory framework governing the market.

Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Reasons To Buy

Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country's power sector

Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country's power sector

Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data

Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events

Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry's growth potential

Identify key partners and business development avenues

Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants

Respond to your competitors' business structure, strategy and prospects.

1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 4

1.1 List of Tables 8

1.2 List of Figures 9

2 Introduction 10

2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 11

3 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Snapshot 12

3.1 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Macro-economic Factors 12

3.2 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Supply Security 14

3.3 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Opportunities 15

3.4 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Challenges 15

4 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Market Analysis 16

4.1 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Supply Structure 16

4.2 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Key Market Players 17

4.3 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Financial Deals 18

4.3.1 Deal Volume and Value Analysis, 2004-July 2016 18

4.3.2 Deals by Type, 2015 19

4.4 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Demand Structure 19

4.4.1 Electricity Consumption by Sector, 2015 22

5 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 23

5.1 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Key Electricity Policies 23

5.1.1 Law of Electricity Energy 23

5.1.2 Long-term Development Strategy for the Period up to 2025 23

5.1.3 Law on the Use of Renewable Energy Sources 24

5.1.4 Long-term Strategy for Renewable Energy Development 24

5.1.5 Law on the Use of Renewable Energy Sources 24

5.1.6 Law on Energy Saving and Increasing Power Efficiency 25

5.2 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Renewable Energy Targets and Tariffs 25

6 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 26

6.1 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2015 26

6.2 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Power Generation, 2000-2030 27

6.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 30

6.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 35

6.2.3 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 39

7 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 42

7.1 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Transmission Overview 42

7.2 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Distribution Overview 43

7.3 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 44

7.3.1 Annual Electricity Imports and Exports, 2000-2015 45

7.4 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Electricity Trade 46

8 Kazakhstan, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power-generating Companies 47

8.1 Key Company in the Kazakhstan Power Generation Market, Samruk-Energy 47

8.1.1 Samruk-Energy, Company Overview 47

8.1.2 Samruk-Energy, Business Description 47

8.1.3 Samruk-Energy, SWOT Analysis 48

8.1.4 Samruk-Energy Strengths 49

8.1.5 Samruk-Energy Weaknesses 49

8.1.6 Samruk-Energy Opportunities 50

8.1.7 Samruk-Energy Threats 50

8.2 Key Company in the Kazakhstan Power Generation Market, Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited 51

8.2.1 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited, Company Overview 51

8.2.2 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited, Business Description 51

8.2.3 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited, SWOT Analysis 52

8.2.4 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited Strengths 53

8.2.5 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited Weaknesses 54

8.2.6 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited Opportunities 54

8.2.7 Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited Threats 55

8.3 Key Company in the Kazakhstan Power Generation Market, The AES Corporation 56

8.3.1 The AES Corporation, Company Overview 56

8.3.2 The AES Corporation, Business Description 56

8.3.3 The AES Corporation, SWOT Analysis 57

8.3.4 The AES Corporation Strengths 57

8.3.5 The AES Corporation Weaknesses 58

8.3.6 The AES Corporation Opportunities 59

8.3.7 The AES Corporation Threats 59

8.4 Key Company in the Kazakhstan Power Generation Market, MAEC-Kazatomprom LLP 60

8.4.1 MAEC-Kazatomprom, Company Overview 60

8.4.2 MAEC-Kazatomprom, Business Description 60

8.4.3 MAEC-Kazatomprom, SWOT Analysis 61

8.4.4 MAEC-Kazatomprom Strengths 61

8.4.5 MAEC-Kazatomprom Weaknesses 62

8.4.6 MAEC-Kazatomprom Opportunities 62

8.4.7 MAEC-Kazatomprom Threats 63

8.5 Key Company in the Kazakhstan Power Generation Market, KAZ Minerals PLC 63

8.5.1 KAZ Minerals, Company Overview 63

8.5.2 KAZ Minerals, Business Description 64

8.5.3 KAZ Minerals, SWOT Analysis 65

8.5.4 KAZ Minerals Strengths 66

8.5.5 KAZ Minerals Weaknesses 67

8.5.6 KAZ Minerals Opportunities 67

8.5.7 KAZ Minerals Threats 67

9 Appendix 69

9.1 Market Definitions 69

9.1.1 Power 69

9.1.2 Installed Capacity 69

9.1.3 Electricity Generation 69

9.1.4 Electricity Consumption 69

9.1.5 Coal-Fired Power Plant 69

9.1.6 Hydropower Plant 69

9.1.7 Nuclear Power 69

9.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 70

9.2 Abbreviations 70

9.3 Bibliography 70

9.4 GlobalData's Methodology 72

9.4.1 Coverage 72

9.4.2 Secondary Research and Analysis 72

9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis 73

9.5 Disclaimer 74

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Gross Domestic Product (USD bn), Population (million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2021 13

Figure 2: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2015 17

Figure 3: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Deal Value (USD bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-July 2016 18

Figure 4: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 20

Figure 5: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Electricity Consumption by Sector (%), 2015 22

Figure 6: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2015 26

Figure 7: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 28

Figure 8: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 33

Figure 9: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 37

Figure 10: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 40

Figure 11: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Annual Electricity Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2015 45

1.1 List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Gross Domestic Product (KZT and USD billion), Population (million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2021 14

Table 2: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2015 17

Table 3: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Deal Value (USD bn) and Number of Deals, 2004- July 2016 19

Table 4: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 21

Table 5: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Electricity Consumption by Sector (%), 2015 22

Table 6: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Feed-in Tariff for Renewable Energy Sources, 2015 25

Table 7: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2015 26

Table 8: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 29

Table 9: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2016 31

Table 10: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 34

Table 11: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2016 36

Table 12: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 38

Table 13: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 41

Table 14: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2006-2025 43

Table 15: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Distribution Line Network (Ckm), 2006-2025 44

Table 16: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Annual Electricity Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2015 46

Table 17: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Samruk-Energy, SWOT Analysis, 2016 48

Table 18: Power Market, Kazakhstan, Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited, SWOT Analysis, 2016 53

Table 19: Power Market, Kazakhstan, The AES Corporation, SWOT Analysis, 2016 57

Table 20: Power Market, Kazakhstan, MAEC-Kazatomprom, SWOT Analysis, 2016 61

Table 21: Power Market, Kazakhstan, KAZ Minerals, SWOT Analysis, 2016 66

Table 22: Abbreviations 70

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Samruk-Energy

Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation Limited

The AES Corporation

MAEC-Kazatomprom LLP

KAZ Minerals PLC

Kazakhstan, power, market, consumption, capacity, generation, market share, import, export, demand, consumption, active, power projects, upcoming, transmission, distribution, grid, interconnection, regulatory, structure, competitive, landscape


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