South Africa Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015-Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

South Africa Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015-Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape


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Executive Summary

South Africa Power Market Outlook to 2025, Update 2015-Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

This report elaborates South Africa's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption up to 2025. Detailed analysis of the South African power market's regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in South Africa on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential. Financial performance of the leading power companies is also analyzed in the report.

Scope

Snapshot of the country's power sector across parameters-macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.

Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2014, forecast for the next 10 years to 2025.

Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear

Data on leading current and upcoming projects.

Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports.

Policy and regulatory framework governing the market.

Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Reasons To Buy

Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country's power sector

Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country's power sector

Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data

Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events

Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry's growth potential

Identify key partners and business development avenues

Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants

Respond to your competitors' business structure, strategy and prospects



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1 Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents 4

1.1 List of Tables 7

1.2 List of Figures 9

2 Introduction 10

2.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 11

3 South Africa, Power Market, Snapshot 12

3.1 South Africa, Power Market, Macro-economic Factors 12

3.2 South Africa, Power Market, Supply Security 14

3.3 South Africa, Power Market, Opportunities 15

3.4 South Africa, Power Market, Challenges 15

4 South Africa, Power Market, Market Analysis 16

4.1 South Africa, Power Market, Supply Structure 16

4.2 South Africa, Power Market, Key Market Players 16

4.3 South Africa, Power Market, Financial Deals 16

4.3.1 Deal Volume and Value Analysis, 2004-March 2015 16

4.3.2 Deals by Type, 2014 18

4.4 South Africa, Power Market, Demand Structure 19

4.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2014 21

5 South Africa, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 22

5.1 South Africa, Power Market, Key Electricity Policies 22

5.1.1 Integrated National Electrification Plan 22

5.1.2 Integrated Energy Plan 23

5.1.3 Integrated Resource Plan 23

5.1.4 Independent System and Market Operator Bill 24

5.1.5 White Paper on the Energy Policy of the Republic of South Africa 24

5.1.6 Energy Efficiency Strategy 25

5.1.7 National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act, 2004 26

5.1.8 Ambient Air Quality Act, 2010 26

5.1.9 New Build Program 27

5.1.10 Energy Efficiency and Demand Side Management Program 28

5.2 South Africa, Power Market, Renewable Energy Development 28

5.2.1 The White Paper on Renewable Energy 28

5.2.2 National Response to South Africa's Electricity Shortage 29

5.2.3 National Climate Change Response Policy 29

6 South Africa, Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 31

6.1 South Africa, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2014 31

6.2 South Africa, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Power Generation, 2000-2025 32

6.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2025 35

6.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2025 39

6.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Power Generation, 2000-2025 42

6.2.4 Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2025 44

7 South Africa, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 47

7.1 South Africa, Power Market, Transmission Overview 47

7.2 South Africa, Power Market, Distribution Overview 49

7.3 South Africa, Transmission Network, Development Plan, 2015-2024 50

7.4 South Africa, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 54

7.4.1 Electricity Imports and Exports, 2000-2014 55

8 South Africa, Power Market, Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Company 57

8.1 South Africa, Power Market, Key Company: Eskom Holdings SOC Limited 57

8.1.1 Company Overview 57

8.1.2 Eskom Holdings SOC Limited, Business Description 57

8.1.3 Eskom Holdings SOC Limited, SWOT Analysis 58

9 Appendix 62

9.1 Market Definitions 62

9.1.1 Power 62

9.1.2 Installed Capacity 62

9.1.3 Electricity Generation 62

9.1.4 Electricity Consumption 62

9.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 62

9.1.6 Hydropower Plant 62

9.1.7 Nuclear Power 62

9.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 63

9.2 Abbreviations 63

9.3 Bibliography 64

9.4 GlobalData's Methodology 65

9.4.1 Coverage 65

9.4.2 Secondary Research and Analysis 65

9.4.3 Primary Research and Analysis 66

9.5 Disclaimer 67

1.2 List of Figures

Figure 1: Power Market, South Africa, Gross Domestic Product (USD bn), Population (million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2019 13

Figure 2: Power Market, South Africa, Deal Value (USD bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-March 2015 17

Figure 3: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2025 19

Figure 4: Power Market, South Africa, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2014 21

Figure 5: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2014 31

Figure 6: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 33

Figure 7: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 37

Figure 8: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 40

Figure 9: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 42

Figure 10: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 45

Figure 11: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2014 55

1.1 List of Tables

Table 1: Power Market, South Africa, Gross Domestic Product (USD bn), Population (Million), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2019 14

Table 2: Power Market, South Africa, Deal Value (USD bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-March 2015 18

Table 3: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2025 20

Table 4: Power Market, South Africa, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2014 21

Table 5: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2014 31

Table 6: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 34

Table 7: Power Market, South Africa, Leading Thermal Power Plants, 2015 36

Table 8: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 38

Table 9: Power Market, South Africa, Leading Hydropower Plants, 2015 39

Table 10: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 41

Table 11: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 43

Table 12: Power Market, South Africa, Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2025 46

Table 13: Power Market, South Africa, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2000-2020 48

Table 14: Power Market, South Africa, Distribution Line Network (Ckm), 2000-2020 49

Table 15: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, 2015-2024 50

Table 16: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Gauteng Province, 2015-2024 50

Table 17: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, KwaZulu-Natal Province, 2015-2024 51

Table 18: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Limpopo Province, 2015-2024 51

Table 19: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Mpumalanga Province, 2015-2024 52

Table 20: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, North West Province, 2015-2024 52

Table 21: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Free State Province, 2015-2024 53

Table 22: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Northern Cape Province, 2015-2024 53

Table 23: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Eastern Cape Province, 2015-2024 54

Table 24: Power Market, South Africa, Major Transmission Assets Expected to be Installed, Western Cape Province, 2015-2024 54

Table 25: Power Market, South Africa, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2014 56

Table 26: Power Market, South Africa, SWOT Profile of Eskom Holdings SOC Limited, 2014 58

Table 27: Abbreviations 63

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South Africa, power, market, consumption, capacity, generation, market share, import, export, demand, consumption, active, power projects, upcoming, transmission, distribution, grid, interconnection, regulatory, structure, competitive, landscape

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