Construction in the UK - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

Construction in the UK - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022


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Executive Summary

Construction in the UK-Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022

Summary

In real terms, the UK construction industry posted positive growth during the review period (2013-2017). Despite experiencing a slowdown in growth during 2016, owing to weak business confidence as a result of the Brexit referendum, the industry was supported by the government's ongoing large-scale investments in transport, residential, energy and institutional construction projects.

Over the forecast period (2018-2022), the industry is expected to expand at a slow pace due to the ongoing uncertainty over the country's future relationship with the European Union (EU) and its subsequent impact on investor confidence. Though the industry is expected to post slow growth during 2018, it is expected to gradually regain some momentum over the latter part of the forecast period, supported by the government's efforts to boost economic growth through the development of the country's overall infrastructure.

The industry's output value in real terms recorded a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.73% during the review period, and is expected to post a forecast-period CAGR of 2.20%.

GlobalData's Construction in the UK-Key Trends and Opportunities to 2022 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the UK construction industry, including-

- The UK construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity

- Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the UK construction industry

- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Key Highlights

- GlobalData expects the residential construction market to retain its leading position over the forecast period, with a share of 44.6% of the industry's total value in 2022. Under the Autumn Budget 2017, the government announced plans to invest GBP15.3 billion (USD 19.7 billion) until 2022 to construct new housing units in the country.

- Under the National Infrastructure Delivery Plan which was launched in March 2016, the government is investing GBP64.2 billion (USD 86.7 billion) until 2021 to implement various transport infrastructure projects across the country. Of the total investment, the government allocated GBP46.2 billion (USD 62.4 billion) for rail infrastructure projects, GBP12.6 billion (USD 17.0 billion) for road infrastructure projects and GBP5.4 billion (USD 7.3 billion) for airport and port infrastructure projects.

- In March 2017, the government launched the Digital Strategy, under which it aims to provide high speed internet networks, including 4G, 5G and fiber optic networks across the country by 2020; this is expected to drive public and private sector investment in broadband infrastructure projects.

- In May 2018, the government announced plans to invest GBP680.0 million (USD 878.2 million) until 2021 to construct 40,000 new primary and secondary schools across the country. Additionally, the government plans to spend GBP50.0 million (USD 64.6 million) to build new schools for disabled children by 2021.

- The total construction project pipeline in the UK-as tracked by the Construction Intelligence Center (CIC) and including all mega projects with a value above USD 25 million-stands at GBP814.5 billion (USD 1.0 trillion). The pipeline, which includes all projects from pre-planning to execution, is skewed towards late-stage projects, with 65.8% of the pipeline value being projects in the pre-execution and execution stages as of June 2018.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in the UK. It provides-

- Historical (2013-2017) and forecast (2018-2022) valuations of the construction industry in the UK, featuring details of key growth drivers.

- Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector

- Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.

- Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants.

Reasons to buy

- Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.

- Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.

- Understand the latest industry and market trends.

- Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.

- Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.

- Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.



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Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Latest News and Indicators

4 Key Drivers and Risks

4.1 Economic Performance

4.2 Political Environment

4.3 Demographics

4.4 Risk Profile

5 Construction Outlook

5.1 All Construction

5.1.1 Outlook

5.1.2 Project analytics

5.2 Commercial Construction

5.2.1 Outlook

5.2.2 Project analytics

5.3 Industrial Construction

5.3.1 Outlook

5.3.2 Project analytics

5.4 Infrastructure Construction

5.4.1 Outlook

5.4.2 Project analytics

5.5 Energy and Utilities Construction

5.5.1 Outlook

5.5.2 Project analytics

5.6 Institutional Construction

5.6.1 Outlook

5.6.2 Project analytics

5.7 Residential Construction

5.7.1 Outlook

5.7.2 Project analytics

6 Key Industry Participants

6.1 Contractors

6.2 Consultants

7 Appendix

7.1 What is this Report About?

7.2 Definitions

7.3 About GlobalData

7.4 About the Construction Intelligence Center

7.5 Disclaimer

List of Figures

Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix

Figure 2: UK, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (GBP Billion)

Figure 3: UK, Value of New Construction Orders of Infrastructure Works (GBP Million)

Figure 4: UK, Price Index of New Residential Buildings (2005=100)

Figure 5: UK, Risk Comparison, Q2 2018

Figure 6: UK, Risk Comparison Review

Figure 7: UK, Construction Output Value (Real, USD billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)

Figure 8: UK, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix

Figure 9: UK, Construction Output Value, by Sector (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 10: UK, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million), 2017-2022

Figure 11: UK, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 12: UK, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 13: UK, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 14: UK, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 15: UK, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 16: UK, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 17: UK, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 18: UK, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 19: UK, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 20: UK, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 21: UK, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 22: UK, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 23: UK, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 24: UK, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 25: UK, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 26: UK, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 27: UK, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (GBP Million), 2013-2022

Figure 28: UK, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 29: UK, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (GBP Million)

Figure 30: UK, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 31: UK, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)

Figure 32: UK, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)

Figure 33: UK, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)

List of Tables

Table 1: UK, Key Economic Indicators

Table 2: UK, Construction Output Value (nominal, GBP Million)

Table 3: UK, Construction Output Value (nominal, USD Million)

Table 4: UK, Top Commercial Construction Projects by Value

Table 5: UK, Top Industrial Construction Projects by Value

Table 6: UK, Top Infrastructure Construction Projects by Value

Table 7: UK, Top Energy and Utilities Construction Projects by Value

Table 8: UK, Top Institutional Construction Projects by Value

Table 9: UK, Top Residential and Mixed-Use Construction Projects by Value

Table 10: UK, Key Contractors

Table 11: UK, Key Consultants

Table 12: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

Table 13: Construction Risk Index Ratings and Scores

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