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Botswana Telecoms Market Analyses - Botswana Telecoms Market Future Outlook

Botswana Telecoms Market Analyses - Botswana Telecoms Market Future Outlook


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Executive Summary

Botswana's BTC sees strong interest in its IPO

In the telecom sector, effective regulatory reform has turned the country's telecom market into one of the most liberalised in the region. There is a service-neutral licensing regime which takes into account the increasing convergence of technologies and services.

Botswana has one of the highest mobile market penetration rates in Africa, approaching 170%. Popular use of multiple SIM cards from different operators has delayed the introduction of mobile number portability, with the telecom regulator not convinced of the facility's economic benefits at present. In a bid to generate new revenue streams and secure market share, the three mobile network operators (MNOs) Mascom Wireless (an affiliate of South Africa's MTN), Orange Botswana (backed by Orange Group) and beMOBILE (a subsidiary of the fixed-line incumbent BTC) have entered the underdeveloped broadband sector with different strategies including 3G mobile, LTE, WiMAX, and bundling with fixed-line (DSL) services. In this market they compete with a large number of ISPs, some of which have rolled out their own wireless access infrastructure.

After a period of stagnation, the number of internet users has risen strongly in recent years, largely the result of lower prices following improvements in international connectivity. Historically, the landlocked country has depended on satellites for its international bandwidth, and on other countries for transit capacity to landing points of international submarine fibre optic cable systems. The landing of additional cables in the region in 2011 and 2012 has improved the competitive situation in this sector, while prices for connectivity have fallen by up to 70%.

The much delayed privatisation of BTC has been facilitated by the transfer of network assets and the management of BTC's involvement in two key submarine cables to the newly create wholesale operator Botswana Fiber Networks (BoFiNet). BTC has been transformed into a retailer of services. An IPO was expected to be completed by April 2016. There has been considerable interest in the 44% of the company made available, with 5% reserved for employees and 515 being retained by the state.

Key developments:

BTC prepares prospectus for an IPO; BoFiNet completes three fibre network expansion links costing BWP200 million; regulator introduces Unified Licensing Framework; BTL launches mobile VSAT product; BTC's IPO aimed for April 2016; MNOs in southern African countries trial reduced roaming rates; Orange Botswana and Mascom launch LTE services; Orange signs multi-year managed services contract with Ericsson; Universal Access and Service Fund providing Wi-Fi access in public spaces; report update includes telcos' data to Q4 2015, regulator's 2015 market data and annual report, recent market developments.

Market penetration rates in Botswana's telecoms sector 2015 (e)

Penetration of telecoms services: | Penetration

Fixed-line telephony | 8.4%

Internet users | 28%

Mobile SIM (population) | 168%

(Source: BuddeComm)

Companies mentioned in this report:

Botswana Telecommunications Corporation (BTC); Mascom Wireless (MTN); Orange Botswana (Vista Cellular); beMOBILE; Botsnet; MTN Business; InfoBotswana (IBIS); Broadband Botswana Internet (BBI); OPQ Net; Mega Internet; Global Broadband Solution (GBS); Tsagae Communications; Virtual Business Network Services (VBN); Bytes Technology; Fourth Dimension; Hi-Performance Systems; Microteck Enterprises; Tharinet; Netspread; First National Bank.

1. Executive summary

2. Key statistics

3. Country overview

4. Telecommunications market

4.1 Historical overview

5. Regulatory environment

5.1 Historical overview

5.2 Botswana Communications Regulatory Authority (BOCRA)

5.3 Universal Service and Access Strategy

5.4 Unified Licensing Framework

5.5 Infrastructure sharing

5.6 Interconnection and tariffs

5.7 Telecom sector liberalisation

5.7.1 Regulatory reform 2006

5.7.2 Service-neutral licences since 2007

6. Fixed network operator

6.1 Botswana Telecommunications Corporation (BTC)

6.1.1 Financial results

6.1.2 Privatisation

6.1.3 Services

6.1.4 Fixed-line statistics

6.1.5 Fixed-line infrastructure

6.1.6 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)

6.1.7 Public payphones

6.2 Next Generation Network (NGN)

6.3 International infrastructure

6.3.1 Submarine fibre

7. Fixed-line broadband market

7.1 Market analysis

7.2 Public internet access facilities

7.3 Botswana Internet Exchange (BINX)

7.4 White space spectrum

7.5 Broadband statistics

7.6 Fixed-line broadband technologies

7.6.1 Other fixed broadband services

8. Digital economy

8.1 E-health, E-learning

9. Digital media

9.1 Communications: VoIP

9.2 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)

10. Mobile market

10.1 Recent developments

10.2 Market analysis

10.3 Mobile statistics

10.4 Mobile data

10.5 Mobile broadband

10.6 Regulatory issues

10.6.1 Backbone infrastructure

10.6.2 Airtime tax

10.6.3 SIM card registration

10.6.4 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)

10.6.5 Mobile Termination rates (MTRs)

10.6.6 Roaming

10.7 Mobile infrastructure

10.7.1 Digital networks

10.7.2 Other infrastructure developments

10.8 Major mobile operators

10.8.1 Mascom Wireless

10.8.2 Orange Botswana (formerly Vista Cellular)

10.8.3 BeMobile (BTC)

10.9 Mobile content and applications

10.9.1 m-banking

11. Related reports

Table 1 Country statistics Botswana 2015 (e)

Table 2 Fixed-line network statistics 2015 (e)

Table 3 Internet provider statistics 2016

Table 4 Internet and social media user statistics 2015

Table 5 Mobile statistics 2015 (e)

Table 6 National telecommunications authority

Table 7 Telecom aggregate financial data 2012 - 2013

Table 8 BOCRA surplus financial results 2009 - 2015

Table 9 BOCRA income 2012 - 2015

Table 10 Telecom licenses by category 2011 - 2015

Table 11 BTC financial results 2005 - 2015

Table 12 BTC forecast financial results 2016 - 2018

Table 13 - Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity in Botswana - 2000-2009

Table 14 Fixed lines in service and teledensity in Botswana 2010 - 2016

Table 15 International bandwidth 2003 - 2014

Table 16 Wholesale bandwidth pricing in Botswana by capacity 2011 - 2014

Table 17 - Historic - Internet users and penetration rate in Botswana - 2000-2009

Table 18 Internet users and penetration rate in Botswana 2010 - 2016

Table 19 Broadband subscribers 2012 - 2015

Table 20 DSL broadband subscribers 2008 - 2016

Table 21 Fixed wireless broadband subscribers 2005 - 2015

Table 22 MNO financial data 2012 - 2013

Table 23 Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 1999 - 2009

Table 24 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2010 - 2016

Table 25 Mobile market share of subscribers by operator 2010 - 2016

Table 26 Prepaid and contract market share of subscribers 2013 - 2015

Table 27 Mobile internet subscribers 2010 - 2016

Table 28 MTRs 2011 - 2014

Table 29 Mascom Botswana ARPU 2005 - 2015

Table 30 Mascom Botswana subscribers 2011 - 2015

Table 31 Orange Botswana subscribers 2007 - 2015

Table 32 Orange Botswana mobile revenue 2008 - 2014

Table 33 Be Mobile subscribers 2012 - 2015

Table 34 Mobile money users 2011 - 2015

Table 35 Value of mobile money transactions 2011 - 2014

Table 36 Mobile money transactions 2013 - 2014

Chart 1 BTC financial results 2005 2015

Chart 2 Fixed lines in service and teledensity in Botswana 2000 2016

Chart 3 Internet users and penetration rate in Botswana 2000 2016

Chart 4 Mobile subscribers in Botswana 2005 - 2016

Exhibit 1 Map of Botswana

Chart 1 BTC financial results 2005 2015

Chart 2 Fixed lines in service and teledensity in Botswana 2000 2016

Chart 3 Internet users and penetration rate in Botswana 2000 2016

Chart 4 Mobile subscribers in Botswana 2005 - 2016

Exhibit 1 Map of Botswana

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Botswana Telecommunications Corporation (BTC), Mascom Wireless (MTN), Orange Botswana (Vista Cellular), beMOBILE, Botsnet, MTN Business, InfoBotswana (IBIS), Broadband Botswana Internet (BBI), OPQ Net, Mega Internet, Global Broadband Solution (GBS), Tsagae Communications, Virtual Business Network Services (VBN), Bytes Technology, Fourth Dimension, Hi-Performance Systems, Microteck Enterprises, Tharinet, Netspread, First National Bank.


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