Indonesia: Operators Focus on Data Network Coverage and Quality Enhancement

Indonesia: Operators Focus on Data Network Coverage and Quality Enhancement


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Executive Summary

Indonesia: Operators Focus on Data Network Coverage and Quality Enhancement

Summary

"Indonesia: Operators Focus on Data Network Coverage and Quality Enhancement", is a new Country Intelligence Report by GlobalData, provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Indonesia today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2021. Published annually, the report provides detailed analysis of the near-term opportunities, competitive dynamics and evolution of demand by service type and technology/platform across the fixed telephony, broadband, and mobile, as well as a review of key regulatory trends.

Telecom services revenue in Indonesia is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.8% during 2016-2021, primarily driven by growth in mobile data, VoIP and fixed broadband revenue. Mobile data will be the largest revenue-contributing segment until 2021. Going forward, operators will focus on data-centric services and invest in 4G and FTTH deployments to boost broadband penetration in the country. Operators' push for smartphone bundles will create significant opportunities for smartphone vendors to capitalize from rising data demand.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following-

Regional context: telecom market size and trends in Indonesia compared with other countries in the region.

Economic, demographic and political context in Indonesia.

The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, and mobile data markets.

Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2016 to 2021.

The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

In-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, and mobile data services: a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by network technology and by operator, as well as of average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in Indonesia's telecommunications markets.

Scope

The overall telecom service revenue in Indonesia will grow at a CAGR of 4.8% during 2016-2021, mainly driven by growth in the mobile data, VoIP and fixed Internet segment.

Mobile revenue will account for 87.2% of the total telecom revenue in 2021, with mobile data accounting for 68.6% of mobile revenue in 2021.

3G will be the most adopted mobile technology through 2021. However, 4G will witness a faster growth rate as customers migrate to higher-speed 4G services.

The top two operators, Telkom Indonesia and Indosat Ooredoo, accounted for 73.9% share of overall service revenue in 2016. We expect competition to intensify further as operators focus on fixed and mobile broadband expansions across Indonesia and services such as M2M/IoT, smart cities, enterprise solutions to drive additional revenue.

Operators will continue to focus on investments in 4G network expansion and fiber deployments to increase connectivity and cater to the rising data demand.

Reasons to buy

This Country Intelligence Report offers a thorough, forward-looking analysis of Indonesia's telecommunications markets, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format to help executives build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

Accompanying GlobalData's Forecast products, the report examines the assumptions and drivers behind ongoing and upcoming trends in Indonesia's mobile communications, fixed telephony, broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares.

With more than 20 charts and tables, the report is designed for an executive-level audience, boasting presentation quality.

The report provides an easily digestible market assessment for decision-makers built around in-depth information gathered from local market players, which enables executives to quickly get up to speed with the current and emerging trends in Indonesia's telecommunications markets.

The broad perspective of the report coupled with comprehensive, actionable detail will help operators, equipment vendors and other telecom industry players succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Indonesia.



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Table of Contents

Table of contents 3

Executive summary 4

Market and competitor overview

Regional context 6

Economic, demographic and political context 7

Regulatory environment 8

Demand profile 16

Service evolution 19

Competitive landscape 20

Major market players 21

Segment analysis

Mobile services 27

Fixed services 31

Pay-TV services 35

Identifying opportunities

Opportunities in the market 37

About the authors 38

Country Intelligence Report coverage 39

List of Figures

Indonesia telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E 6

Country indicators 7

Regulatory structure and policy 8

Major telecommunications policy issues 9

Indonesia communications market revenue, 2014-2021, US$ 16

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, US$ 16

Indonesia communications market revenue, 2014-2021, Rp 17

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, Rp 17

Segment revenues 2014-2021 18

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021 19

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021 19

Service revenue by operator, 2016 20

Key telecom market players 20

Major telecommunications market players 21

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021 27

Key mobile market indicators, 2016 27

Mobile services revenue mix, 2016, 2021 28

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021 28

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021 29

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021 30

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021 31

Key fixed market indicators, 2016 31

Fixed voice and Internet revenue, 2014-2021 32

Fixed market shares by service, 2016E 33

Access lines by technology 34

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2014-20121 35

Opportunities in the Indonesian telecommunications market 37

List of Tables

Indonesia telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E 6

Country indicators 7

Regulatory structure and policy 8

Major telecommunications policy issues 9

Indonesia communications market revenue, 2014-2021, US$ 16

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, US$ 16

Indonesia communications market revenue, 2014-2021, Rp 17

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, Rp 17

Segment revenues 2014-2021 18

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021 19

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021 19

Service revenue by operator, 2016 20

Key telecom market players 20

Major telecommunications market players 21

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021 27

Key mobile market indicators, 2016 27

Mobile services revenue mix, 2016, 2021 28

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021 28

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021 29

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021 30

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021 31

Key fixed market indicators, 2016 31

Fixed voice and Internet revenue, 2014-2021 32

Fixed market shares by service, 2016E 33

Access lines by technology 34

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2014-20121 35

Opportunities in the Indonesian telecommunications market 37

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Telkom Indonesia, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata, Tri Indonesia, First Media, Indovision, Transvision, LinkNet

Mobile data in Indonesia, fixed internet in Indonesia, fixed broadband in Indonesia, 4G in Indonesia, LTE in Indonesia, fiber-optic, Telkom Indonesia, Telkomsel, Tri Indonesia, Indosat, XL Axiata, First Media, Indovision, Transvision

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