Japan: Fixed Mobile Bundles, M2M/IoT and 5G launch to Support Telecom Growth

Japan: Fixed Mobile Bundles, M2M/IoT and 5G launch to Support Telecom Growth


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Executive Summary

Japan: Fixed Mobile Bundles, M2M/IoT and 5G launch to Support Telecom Growth

Summary

"Japan: Fixed Mobile Bundles, M2M/IoT and 5G launch to Support Telecom Growth", is a new Country Intelligence Report by GlobalData, provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Japan today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2021. Published annually, the report provides detailed analysis of the near-term opportunities, competitive dynamics and evolution of demand by service type and technology/platform across the fixed telephony, broadband, and mobile, as well as a review of key regulatory trends.

The telecom service revenue in Japan is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 1.7% during 2016-2021, due to growth in mobile data and broadband segments. Mobile data will be the largest revenue-contributing segment through 2021, owing to increased 4G adoption. NTT DoCoMo will continue its dominance, followed by KDDI, during the forecast period. Planned launches of 5G, IoT/M2M and 8K pay-TV services will offer ample opportunities for operators, vendors and investors.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following

Regional context: telecom market size and trends in Japan compared with other countries in the region.

Economic, demographic and political context in Japan.

The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, and mobile data markets.

Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2016 to 2021.

The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

In-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, and mobile data services: a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by network technology and by operator, as well as of average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in Japan's telecommunications markets.

Scope

The overall telecom service revenue in Japan will grow at a CAGR of 1.7% during 2016-2021, mainly driven by growth in mobile data and fixed broadband segments.

Mobile revenue will account for 62.4% of total telecom revenue in 2021; mobile data will witness a CAGR of 6.2% during 2016-2021.

The top two operators, NTT DoCoMo and KDDI, accounted for 72.9% share of overall service revenue in 2016. We expect competition to intensify as operators focus on offering services beyond core services and as they conduct 5G trials in a bid to launch 5G by 2020.

Over the next five years, as advanced 5G technology, 8K ultra-HD, IoT/M2M, smartphones and wearable devices take off, operators should seize opportunities in the market via mobile content and applications, OTT services and other value-added services.

Reasons to buy

This Country Intelligence Report offers a thorough, forward-looking analysis of Japan's telecommunications markets, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format to help executives build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

Accompanying GlobalData's Forecast products, the report examines the assumptions and drivers behind ongoing and upcoming trends in Japan mobile communications, fixed telephony, broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares.

With more than 20 charts and tables, the report is designed for an executive-level audience, boasting presentation quality.

The report provides an easily digestible market assessment for decision-makers built around in-depth information gathered from local market players, which enables executives to quickly get up to speed with the current and emerging trends in Japan's telecommunications markets.

The broad perspective of the report coupled with comprehensive, actionable detail will help operators, equipment vendors and other telecom industry players succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Japan.



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Table of Contents

Table of contents 3

Executive summary 4

Market and competitor overview

Regional context 6

Economic, demographic and political context 7

Regulatory environment 8

Demand profile 13

Service evolution 16

Competitive landscape 17

Major market players 18

Segment analysis

Mobile services 22

Fixed services 26

Pay-TV services 30

Identifying opportunities

Opportunities in the market 32

About the authors 33

Country Intelligence Report coverage 34

List of Figures

Japan telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E 6

Country indicators 7

Regulatory structure and policy 8

Major telecommunications policy issues 9

Japan communications market revenue, 2014-2021, US$ 13

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021,US$ 13

Japan communications market revenue, 2014-2021, YEN 14

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, YEN 14

Segment revenues 2014-2021 15

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021 16

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021 16

Service revenue by operator, 2016 17

Key telecom market players 17

Major telecommunications market players 18

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021 22

Key mobile market indicators, 2016 22

Mobile services revenue mix, 2016, 2021 23

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021 23

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021 24

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021 25

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021 26

Key fixed market indicators, 2016 26

Fixed voice and Internet revenue, 2014-2021 27

Fixed market shares by service, 2016E 28

Access lines by technology 29

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2014-20121 30

Opportunities in the Japan telecommunications market 32

List of Tables

Japan telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E 6

Country indicators 7

Regulatory structure and policy 8

Major telecommunications policy issues 9

Japan communications market revenue, 2014-2021, US$ 13

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021,US$ 13

Japan communications market revenue, 2014-2021, YEN 14

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, YEN 14

Segment revenues 2014-2021 15

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021 16

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021 16

Service revenue by operator, 2016 17

Key telecom market players 17

Major telecommunications market players 18

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021 22

Key mobile market indicators, 2016 22

Mobile services revenue mix, 2016, 2021 23

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021 23

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021 24

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021 25

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021 26

Key fixed market indicators, 2016 26

Fixed voice and Internet revenue, 2014-2021 27

Fixed market shares by service, 2016E 28

Access lines by technology 29

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2014-20121 30

Opportunities in the Japan telecommunications market 32

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