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USA - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media - Statistics and Analyses

USA - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media - Statistics and Analyses


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Executive Summary

FCC urges further work to deliver faster broadband services to America

The US still trails its OECD counterparts in terms of broadband penetration, speed and affordability. Nevertheless, the market is currently witnessing significant investment activity in fibre deployments, HFC upgrades with DOCSIS3.1 technology, and mobile broadband networks. Much of the investment in fibre is being undertaken by a significant number of smaller players and municipalities rather than the two key telcos, AT&T and Verizon, which are concentrating on a hybrid fibre/copper network and limiting future upgrades beyond what has already been achieved. Indeed these operators have emphasised their wireless focus in recent years, which has meant that cablecos have made most of the gains in new broadband subscriber adds in recent quarters.

Broadband services in most regions still lack effective competition, with an effective duopoly operating in many areas of the country. Municipal activity, often geared at breaking this stranglehold and introducing competition and innovation, continues to be stymied by lobbying pressure from the main telcos. However, the FCC’s National Broadband Plan envisages a greater role for public FttP networks in the pursuit of its goals, and in the activities of muni-networks will form a large part of the patch-work fibre deployments across the country in coming years.

There is growing recognition of the importance of a trans-sectoral approach to broadband networks, including the health, education and energy sectors, in order to fully realise the benefits of the nascent digital economy. The FCC’s 2016 Broadband Progress Report reveals how much still needs to be done to move the US broadband market forward.

Given the size of the US market, and the growing demand for data on both fixed and mobile networks, there is continuous pressure for operators to invest in fibre backhaul networks and to push connectivity closer to consumers. In recent years the US has seen increased activity from regional players such as Google, with its successful investments in a number of markets.

Growth in the US mobile subscriber base remains strong despite penetration levels of above 110%. Declining revenue from voice services is compensated for by high growth in mobile data use, itself supported by excellent networks supporting LTE-based services and the high penetration of smartphones, which is more than 90% for some carriers. Mobile data use will grow more rapidly after 2018 when 5G services, due to be trialled later in 2016 by at least three network operators, become commercially viable.

A major development into 2016 will be the auction for spectrum in the 600MHz, and the use made network operators of their concessions. In addition, there is strong support for the use of unlicensed spectrum for LTE, though detractors have expressed concern that congested airwaves could impact on Wi-Fi services.

This report reviews several aspects of the US telecoms market. It details the cable, DSL, Wi-Fi and WiMAX broadband sectors, providing market analyses as well as a range of relevant statistics in general and on the key operators. The report also covers FttP market and related fibre network developments and deployments. In addition, the report analyses the US mobile market, including telcos’ financial and operating data to Q4 2015 and an assessment of telcos’ strategies as customers continue to migrate from 2G to LTE and as 5G gets underway.

Key developments:

Cable ONE planning 1Gb/s service across 200 cities during 2016;

FttH Council counts 26 million premises passed with fibre;

Google Fiber extended to four more cities;

AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile US announce plans for 5G trials by end-2016;

T-Mobile US secures additional 700MHz blocks for $1.3 billion;

Google trials facial recognition m-payment system;

FCC considers both low-end and high-end spectrum bands for possible 5G use;

FCC prepares for auction of 600MHz broadcast spectrum;

AT&T to close down 2G infrastructure by end-2016;

Comcast announces its first DOCSIS3.1 markets;

Altice Group acquires a 70% stake in Suddenlink Communications, makes bid for Cablevision;

$1.5 billion allocated to round 2 of the Connect America Fund;

New York state proposal for $1 billion investment in broadband infrastructure;

FCC rules 25Mb/s as a newly defined broadband speed;

Report update includes the FCC’s 2016 Broadband Progress Report, telcos’ operating and financial data to Q4 2015, recent market developments.

 

Companies mentioned in this report:

Clearwire, AT&T, Verizon, MetroPCS, US Cellular, Qwest, CenturyLink, Frontier Communications, Windstream, Fairpoint, Cincinnati Bell, Comcast, Google, HughesNet, ViaSat, AT&T Mobility, Verizon Wireless, Sprint Corporation, T-Mobile US, TracFone, MetroPCS Communications, Leap Wireless, Frontline, Alltel.

1. Broadband market

1.1 Introduction and statistical overview

1.1.1 Market analysis

1.1.2 Broadband statistics

1.1.3 Forecasts broadband subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

1.2 Policy and regulation framework

1.2.1 Network regulation overview

1.2.2 Broadband stimulus package

1.2.3 FCC's National Broadband Plan

1.2.4 Migration from copper to fibre

1.2.5 FCC change of chairman opportunities to advance telecoms

1.2.6 FCC calls for more competition

1.2.7 Presidential support for municipal broadband

1.2.8 Universal Service Fund

1.2.9 E-Rate Fund

1.2.10 Private networks

1.2.11 Network neutrality

1.3 Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) networks

1.3.1 New technologies

1.3.2 Cable broadband statistics

1.3.3 Cable operators

1.4 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks

1.4.1 Introduction

1.4.2 Verizon

1.4.3 AT&T

1.4.4 Frontier Communications

1.4.5 DSL statistics

1.5 Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP)

1.5.1 Market analysis

1.5.2 Market overview

1.5.3 FttP network rollout

1.6 Policy and regulation framework

1.6.1 National Broadband Plan

1.6.2 Network Neutrality regulation

1.6.3 Gigabit City Challenge

1.7 Public (ILEC, CLEC and Municipal) FttP networks

1.7.1 Municipalities

1.7.2 Google Fiber

1.7.3 FCC ruling on municipal fiber networks

1.7.4 Other projects

1.8 RBOC FttP roll-out

1.8.1 Verizon

1.8.2 AT&T

1.8.3 CenturyLink

1.8.4 Cox Communications

1.8.5 Cincinnati Bell

1.8.6 Comcast

1.8.7 Regulatory considerations

1.9 Other fixed broadband services

1.9.1 Introduction

1.9.2 Wi-Fi

1.9.3 WiMAX

1.9.4 Municipal wireless broadband

1.9.5 State and municipal deployments

1.9.6 Satellite broadband

1.10 PLC

2. Digital media

2.1 Videostreaming

2.2 OTT and cord-cutting

2.3 Music streaming

3. Digital economy

3.1 E-services

3.1.1 E-entertainment

3.1.2 E-health

3.1.3 E-government

3.1.4 E-education

3.1.5 E-commerce

4. Mobile communications

4.1 Market analysis

4.2 Mobile statistics

4.2.1 General statistics

4.2.2 Mobile voice

4.2.3 Mobile data

4.2.4 Mobile broadband

4.2.5 Forecasts mobile subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

4.3 Regulatory issues

4.3.1 FCC and NTIA develop Model City Program

4.3.2 Public Safety Network

4.3.3 Spectrum

4.3.4 Spectrum swaps and acquisitions

4.4 Mobile infrastructure

4.4.1 Digital networks

4.4.2 Other infrastructure developments

4.4.3 Machine-to-Machine (M2M)

4.5 Major mobile operators

4.5.1 Industry body

4.5.2 AT&T

4.5.3 Verizon Wireless

4.5.4 T-Mobile US

4.5.5 Sprint Corporation

4.5.6 MVNOs

4.6 Mobile content and applications

4.6.1 Mobile music

4.6.2 Mobile TV

4.6.3 M-payment

4.6.4 M-commerce

4.7 Mobile handsets

Table 1 Historic - US internet users and penetration 2000 2009

Table 2 - US internet users and penetration 2010 2016

Table 3 Broadband (fixed and fixed wireless) subscribers and penetration 2000 - 2015

Table 4 Forecast broadband subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

Table 5 Market competition: proportion of broadband subscribers by speed band 2014

Table 6 Market competition: proportion of broadband subscribers 2015

Table 7 Top 10 cable MSOs' subscribers 2010; 2012 - 2015

Table 8 US cable modem subscribers 2000 - 2015

Table 9 Subscribers for major cable providers 2008 - 2015

Table 10 Cablevision cable subscriptions by service 2011 - 2015

Table 11 Cablevision financial data 2011 - 2015

Table 12 Comcast revenue by service 2012 - 2015

Table 13 Comcast subscriptions by service 2012 - 2015

Table 14 Comcast bundled services subscriptions 2014 - 2015

Table 15 Time Warner financial data 2008 - 2015

Table 16 Verizon wireline (FiOS) operational data 2010 - 2015

Table 17 Verizon wireline financial data 2014 - 2015

Table 18 AT&T fixed-line operational data 2011 - 2015

Table 19 AT&T financial data 2011 - 2015

Table 20 Frontier Communications revenue 2008 - 2015

Table 21 Frontier Communications customers by sector 2011 - 2015

Table 22 DSL subscribers 2000 - 2015

Table 23 Subscribers for major cable providers 2008 - 2015

Table 24 FttP homes passed and connected 2001 - 2015

Table 25 Verizon wireline (FiOS) operational data 2010 - 2015

Table 26 AT&T wireline operational data 2013 - 2015

Table 27 Cincinnati Bell Fioptics revenue 2012 - 2015

Table 28 Cincinnati Bell Fioptics subscribers 2012 - 2015

Table 29 Videostreaming by platform 2012 2014

Table 30 Music streaming revenue by type 2012 - 2014

Table 31 Music access by household 2012 - 2014

Table 32 Music streaming revenue by type 2012 - 2014

Table 33 - Online retail sales 2003 2018

Table 34 Mobile market revenue, roaming revenue, ARPU 2000 - 2015

Table 35 Mobile subscribers and penetration 2002 - 2016

Table 36 Mobile voice traffic 2012 - 2016

Table 37 Mobile data traffic 2011 - 2016

Table 38 Messaging traffic (SMS, MMS) 2009 - 2015

Table 39 Forecast mobile subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

Table 40 Verizon Wireless LTE devices on network 2011 - 2015

Table 41 M2M connections 2009 - 2016

Table 42 AT&T wireless financial data 2009 - 2015

Table 43 AT&T wireless subscribers 2002 - 2015

Table 44 Verizon wireless financial data by sector 2010 - 2015

Table 45 Verizon wireless subscribers 2005 - 2015

Table 46 T-Mobile US wireless subscribers 2003 - 2015

Table 47 T-Mobile US own-branded subscribers 2003 - 2015

Table 48 T-Mobile US ARPU (, annualised) 2009 - 2015

Table 49 T-Mobile US ARPU ($, annualised) 2012 - 2015

Table 50 T-Mobile US financial data 2010 - 2015

Table 51 MetroPCS financial data 2007 - 2012

Table 52 MetroPCS subscribers 2007 - 2012

Table 53 Sprint financial data 2009 - 2016

Table 54 Sprint subscribers 2010 - 2015

Table 55 Sprint blended ARPU 2010 - 2015

Table 56 - Online retail sales 2012 2018

Table 57 Tablets, smartphones in use 2009 - 2015

Table 58 Handset market share by platform 2012 2013; 2015

Chart 1 Verizon wireline (FiOS) operational data 2010 2015

Chart 2 AT&T operational data 2011 2015

Chart 3 AT&T financial data 2011 2015

Chart 4 Verizon wireline (FiOS) operational data 2010 2015

Chart 5 AT&T wireless financial data 2004 2015

Chart 6 Verizon wireless financial data by sector 2010 2015

Chart 7 Verizon wireless subscribers 2010 2015

Chart 8 T-Mobile US subscribers 2009 2015

Chart 9 Sprint financial data 2009 2016

Exhibit 1 AWS spectrum auction January 2015

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Clearwire, AT&,T, Verizon, MetroPCS, US Cellular, Qwest, CenturyLink, Frontier Communications, Windstream, Fairpoint, Cincinnati Bell, Comcast, Google, HughesNet, ViaSat, AT&,T Mobility, Verizon Wireless, Sprint Corporation, T-Mobile US, TracFone, MetroPCS Communications, Leap Wireless, Frontline, Alltel.

paul budde communication, buddecomm, telecomunications research, country profile, Broadband Fixed, Broadcasting, Digital Media, Internet, Mobile & Wireless Broadband and Media, Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure), Regulations & Government Policies, Smart Infrastructure, Strategies & Analyses (Industry & Markets), Telecoms Infrastructure, North America, United States of America


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