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Venezuela: Deteriorating Private Consumption and Foreign Exchange Controls Negatively Impact Telecom Sector Prospects

Venezuela: Deteriorating Private Consumption and Foreign Exchange Controls Negatively Impact Telecom Sector Prospects


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Executive Summary

The telecom market in Venezuela is expected to grow at a CAGR of 77.4% (in local currency terms) during 2016-2021, owing to increasing uptake of mobile data services. Rising inflation and difficult operating conditions in the country will cause private consumption and investments to fall. Going forward, the devaluation of the local currency and poor economic conditions will continue to drag the telecom market in Venezuela, thereby impacting the investments.

Key Findings

The overall telecom service revenue in Venezuela is estimated to generate USD 9.3bn in 2016 and is estimated to witness a negative CAGR of-23.6% during 2016-2021.

The top three operators, Cantv/Movilnet and Movistar, which provide fixed and mobile and pay-TV services and mobile-only operator-Digitel, will together control 94.4% of telecom market in Venezuela in 2016. However, the telecom market will be highly impacted by the poor economic conditions and foreign exchange controls limiting the operator's investments on network infrastructure and upgrades.

The adoption of 4G services will be slow due to operator's failure in procuring network equipment, resulting in a penetration rate of 2.8% by the end of 2016, the lowest among the region. Movilnet is expected to launch commercial 4G services by the end-2016 followed by its current LTE field trials in urban centers.

Synopsis

"Venezuela: Deteriorating Private Consumption and Foreign Exchange Controls Negatively Impact Telecom Sector Prospects" provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Venezuela today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2021. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into Venezuela's telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Research's databases.

It provides in-depth analysis of the following:

Venezuela in a regional context: a comparative review of market size and trends with that of other countries in the region.

Economic, demographic and political context in Venezuela.

The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

A demand profile: analysis as well as forecasts and historical figures of service revenue from fixed telephony (including VoIP), broadband, mobile voice and data, and pay-TV markets.

The service evolution: a look at the change in the breakdown of overall revenue by fixed/pay-TV and mobile sectors and by voice, data and video in the current year as well as the end of the forecast period.

The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and service providers' performance, revenue market shares and expected moves over the next 18-24 months.

An in-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony and broadband services, mobile voice and data services, and pay-TV services: a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by technology/platform as well as operator, average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in Venezuela's telecommunications and pay-TV markets.

Reasons To Buy

This Country Intelligence Report helps executives build proactive, profitable growth strategies by offering comprehensive, relevant analysis of Venezuela's telecommunications and pay-TV markets based on insights directly from the local market players.

The report offers a wealth of data on the telecom and pay-TV markets, with the mobile and fixed segments examined in detail.

The competitive landscape and the major players are given extra attention, enabling local players or prospective market entrants to gain the insight they need.

The broad but detailed perspective will help operators, equipment vendors and other telecom industry players to succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Venezuela.

The report is designed for an executive-level audience, boasting presentation quality that allows it to be turned into presentable material immediately.

The report concludes with an exploration of the opportunities available in the Venezuelan market to operators, vendors and investors.

Executive summary

Market and competitor overview

Regional context

Economic, demographic and political context

Regulatory environment

Demand profile

Service evolution

Competitive landscape

Major market players

Segment analysis

Mobile services

Fixed services

Pay-TV

Identifying opportunities

Overall market opportunities

Venezuela telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Venezuela communications market revenue, 2014-2021

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021

Segment revenues 2014-2021

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021

Service revenue by operator, 2016

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021

Key mobile market indicators, 2016

Mobile data revenue mix, 2016, 2021

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021

Key fixed market indicators, 2016

Fixed voice revenue, 2014-2021

Internet revenue, 2014-2021

Fixed market shares by service, 2016

Fixed access lines by technology, 2016, 2021

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2016-2021

Opportunities in the Venezuelan telecommunications market

Venezuela telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Venezuela communications market revenue, 2014-2021

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021

Segment revenues 2014-2021

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021

Service revenue by operator, 2016

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021

Key mobile market indicators, 2016

Mobile data revenue mix, 2016, 2021

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021

Key fixed market indicators, 2016

Fixed voice revenue, 2014-2021

Internet revenue, 2014-2021

Fixed market shares by service, 2016

Fixed access lines by technology, 2016, 2021

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2016-2021

Opportunities in the Venezuelan telecommunications market

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Movistar, Telefonica, Cantv, Movilnet, Digitel, Inter, Netuno, DIRECTV, TuVes, Supercable.

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