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Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025 - Government Strategy and Companies Proclivity to Drive Shale Gas Exploration

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The report titled "Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025 - Government Strategy and Companies Proclivity to Drive Shale Gas Exploration" presents a comprehensive analysis of the industry covering market size by number of shale gas concessions awarded and by number of shale gas wells drilled in the country. The report also entails information on technological prospects, key policy drivers, potential challenges and trends & developments in the industry. The report illustrates a competitive scenario of major players in the industry along with the market share of major companies on the basis of concessions awarded and shale gas wells drilled.

The primary energy consumed in Poland comprises predominantly of coal, oil, natural gas and renewable sources of energy. The shale gas industry in Poland has been driven by potentially large shale gas reserves, government support, social acceptance and developing interest of E&P companies with positive shale gas test results. The industry has registered a CAGR of 67.1% during 2010-2013 by drilling ~ shale gas wells till the year 2013. These wells were solely drilled by OPPPW (The Polish Exploration and Production Industry Organization) member companies.

State owned PGNiG SA is the leading player with the total of ~ concessions and ~ drilled shale gas wells by the year 2013. It is followed by San Leon Energy with over ~ drilled shale gas wells in the country. PKN ORLEN SA stood at the third position along with 3Legs Resources, BNK Petroleum and Chevron as other leading E&P players operating in Poland Shale Gas Industry.

Poland shale gas industry is estimated to witness ~ drilled shale gas wells by the year 2018 which will increase from ~ drilled shale gas wells in 2013. The future of Poland shale gas industry is expected to be favorable on account of evolving favorable regulatory legislations, increasing inclination of E&P companies due to shale gas flows during test drilling, moderating environmental legislations on hydraulic fracturing techniques and social acceptance. However, the year 2017 is anticipated to be the commercial production year for Poland Shale Gas Industry. The industry is anticipated to witness either moderate, increased foreign investments or accelerated growth scenario. The overall Poland shale gas industry is expected to grow significantly at a CAGR of 26.3% in the forecasted period of 2014-2018.

KEY TOPICS COVERED IN THE REPORT

- Poland Primary Energy Consumption with detailed coverage of Natural Gas Industry Supply & Consumption Prospects

- Shale gas reserves in Poland with potential impact on energy security and economy

- The market size of Poland shale gas industry in terms of number of concessions awarded and number of shale gas wells drilled in Poland

- Technological Prospects, Key Policy Drivers and Potential Challenges existing in Poland shale gas industry

- Trends and developments with evolving favorable regulations and positive shale gas test flow results in industry

- Market share of major E&P players by number of concessions awarded & number of shale gas wells drilled in Poland

- Competitive landscape and company profiles with the pictorial representation of the awarded concessions and detailed description of each of the shale gas wells drilled by the major E&P companies and Service providers operating in Poland Shale Gas Industry (PGNiG SA, San Leon Energy, PKN ORLEN SA, 3Legs Resources , BNK Petroleum, Halliburton and others)

- Future Outlook and Projections under Moderate growth scenario, Increase in foreign investments and Accelerated growth scenario, with their comparative analysis

- Macro economic factors (both Quantitative and Qualitative) of the Poland Shale Gas Industry

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Table Of Content

Scope

1. Poland Primary Energy Industry Introduction

2. Primary Energy Consumption Dynamics, 2007-2012

3. Poland Natural Gas Industry Introduction

4. Poland Natural Gas Industry Supply and Consumption Prospects, 2007-2012

5. Poland Shale Gas Industry Introduction

5.1. Shale Gas Reserves in Poland

5.2. Impact on Energy Security

5.3. Impact on the Economy

6. Poland Shale Gas Market Size, 2010-2013

6.1. By Number of Concessions Awarded, 2010-2013

6.2. By Number of Shale Gas Wells Drilled, 2010-2013

7. Technological Prospects

Prospecting & Exploration Aspects of Shale Gas

Road Map to Successful Shale Gas Exploration

Myths and Solutions to Exploration of Shale Gas

Production & Cost Estimates of Different E&P Activities over the years, 2010-2014

8. Key Policy Drivers in Poland Shale Gas Industry

Polish Legal Framework

Existing Regulations

Shale Gas Concessions in Poland

Tax Policy

Environment Policy

9. Potential Challenges in Poland Shale Gas Industry

9.1. Geo- political Factors

Impact of European Union Guidelines & Aid of European Countries For Shale Gas Exploration in Poland

Gas Pricing Scenario

Difference between Poland and the US shale gas Scenario

9.2. Geological factors

9.3. Indigenous Factors

Uncertain Commercial Recovery

Insufficient Infrastructure

Inadequate Administrative Regulations

9.4. Environmental Factors

10. Trends and Developments in the Poland Shale Gas Industry

11. Market Share of Major Players in Poland Shale Gas Market

11.1. By Number of Concessions Awarded, Company Wise, 2007-2013

11.2. By Number of Shale Gas well Drilled by each Company, 2010-2013

12. Polish Exploration and Production (E&P) Industry Organization (OPPPW) O&G companies investing in shale gas E&P

12.1. International

12.1.1. BNK Petroleum Inc.

12.1.1.1. Company Overview

12.1.1.2. Business Strategies

BNK across Poland

Focus on Providing Benefits to People and Economy in Poland

12.1.2. San Leon Energy PLC

12.1.2.1. Company Overview

Timeline of San leon energy Activities in Poland, 2010-2013

12.1.2.2. Business Strategies

Shale Gas Acreage in Poland

12.1.3. Chevron

12.1.3.1. Company Overview

Shale Gas prospects In Poland

12.1.3.2. Business Strategies

Focus on Continued Shale Gas Exploration in Poland

12.1.4. 3Leg Resources

12.1.4.1. Company Overview

12.1.4.2. Business Strategies

12.1.5. Conoco Phillips

12.2. Poland National Oil & Gas Companies

12.2.1. PKN Orlen SA

12.2.1.1. Company Overview

12.2.1.2. Business Strategies

Huge Investments in Developing Poland Shale Gas Reserves

Initiating Blue Gas - Polish Shale Gas Programme

12.2.2. Polish Petroleum & Gas Mining

12.2.2.1. Company Overview

12.2.2.2. Business Strategies

Assistance to E&P Companies to Explore Shale Gas in Poland

Focus on Continued Shale Gas Exploration Independently and with Other Companies

12.3. Service Providers to Oil and Gas Companies

12.3.1. Halliburton

12.3.1.1. Company Overview

12.3.1.2. Business Strategies

Enhancing Operational Capabilities

Assistance to Different Shale Gas Exploring Companies in Poland

12.4. Other Players in Poland Shale Gas Industry

12.4.1. Other Upcoming E&P Players in Poland

Total

Hutton Energy

12.4.2. Other E&P Players in Poland

13. Poland Shale Gas Industry Future Outlook and Projections, 2014-2025

13.1. Comparative Analysis of three scenarios- Moderate, FDI and Advanced Investment

13.1.1. Moderate Growth Scenario, 2012-2025

13.1.2. Increase in Foreign Investments, 2012-2025

13.1.3. Accelerated Growth Scenario, 2012-2025

13.2. Cause & Effect Relationship in the Poland Shale Gas Industry

14. Macroeconomic and Industry Factors

14.1. Quantitative Factors

14.1.1. Population Density in Poland, 2007-2018

14.1.2. Foreign Direct Investments (FDI), 2007-2018

14.1.3. Unemployment Rate, 2007-2018

14.2. Qualitative Factors

14.2.1. Shale Gas Reserves in Poland, 2011 & 2013

14.2.2. Water Access

14.2.3. Social Acceptance in Poland

15. Appendix

15.1. Market Definitions

15.2. Abbreviations

15.3. Research Methodology

Data Collection Methods

Approach

Variables (Dependent and Independent)

Multi Factor Based Sensitivity Model

Final Conclusion

15.4. Disclaimer


List Of Figure

Figure 1: Pictorial Representation of Topology of Natural Gas Reservoirs with their Permeabilities in mD

Figure 2: Pictorial Representation of Shale Gas Basins in Poland

Figure 3: Flow Chart Representing Different Stages during Prospecting & Exploration of Shale Gas

Figure 4: Important Factors Determining Successful Shale Gas Exploration

Figure 5: Pictorial Representation of Chemical Composition of Fracking Fluid

Figure 6: Global Corporate Structure of BNK Petroleum Inc.

Figure 7: Pictorial Representation of BNK Polska Shale Gas Concessions Location in Poland

Figure 8: Location of Different Shale Gas Concessions in Poland

Figure 9: Pictorial Representation of Shale Gas Well Drilled by 3Legs Resources Group in partnership with Conoco Phillips

Figure 10: Pictorial Representation of Conoco Phillips Shale Gas Acreages in Poland

Figure 11: Pictorial Representation of Location of the 15 Concessions Owned by PGNiG SA

Figure 12: Poland Shale Gas Industry Future Projections on the Basis of the Number of New Shale Gas Wells Drilled, 2014-2018

Figure 13: Population Density in Number of People per Square Kilometers (Km2) in Poland, 2007-2018

Figure 14: FDI in Poland in USD Million, 2007-2018

Figure 15: Unemployment Rate in Percentage (%) in Poland, 2007-2018

Figure 16: Polish Population Acceptance for Shale Gas Exploration & Extraction, 2011

Figure 17: Polish Population Acceptance for Shale Gas Exploration & Extraction Near the place of their Residence, 2011


List Of Table

Table 1: Top 10 Coal producers in the World with their Production in Metric Tonnes (Mt) and Contribution in Percentage (%), 2012

Table 2: Different Types of Coal Production in Poland with the Amount Produced (in MT) and Contribution in Percentages (%), 2012

Table 3: Crude Oil Domestic Supply Sources in Poland, 2011

Table 4: Domestic Crude oil Consumption in Poland, 2011

Table 5: Retail Outlets in Poland, 2012

Table 6: Renewable Sources of Energy Consumption in million tonnes of oil equivalent in Poland, 2007-2012

Table 7: Primary Energy Consumption in million tonnes of oil equivalent in Poland, 2007-2012

Table 8: By Primary Energy Consumption in Poland in Percentage (%), 2007-2012

Table 9: List of European countries importing Natural Gas to Poland and the Entry (Interconnection) Points, 2012

Table 10: Poland Import Relationships in 2011

Table 11: Natural Gas Imports from the Top 3 Countries in Poland, 2012

Table 12: Natural Gas Supply in Billion Cubic Feet (Bcf) in Poland, 2007-2012

Table 13: Natural Gas Consumption by Various Sectors in Tera Joules (TJ) in Poland, 2007-2011

Table 14: By Natural Gas Consumption by various sectors in Percentages (%) in Poland, 2007-2011

Table 15: Shale Gas Reserves in Europe in Trillion Cubic Feet (Tcf), April 2011

Table 16: Location of Shale Gas Reserves with Estimates of Risked Gas-in Place (In Bcm & Tcf) and Technically Recoverable Shale Gas Reserves (In Bcm & Tcf) in Poland, April 2011

Table 17: Cost Incurred during Different Seismic Surveys as per the Distances in USD

Table 18: Shale Gas Wells Drilled in Poland, 2010-2013

Table 19: The Relationship between the Total Organic Carbon (TOC) in Weight (%) and the Resource Potential

Table 20: Simulation Treatments Performed in the Unconventional Shale Gas Exploratory Wells by the OPPPW members

Table 21: Estimated Shale Gas Production Structure from a Vertical Well for the First 10 Years after Commercial Shale Well Development in Percentages (%)

Table 22: Average Costs of Single Different Types of Shale Gas Wells, 2013

Table 23: Cost Estimates for Different Types of Exploration Work with the Respective Number of Works, Size of Work, Cost per Work and the Value of the Work, 2012-2014

Table 24: Description of Different Legislations Persisting in Poland with their Link to the Shale Gas E&P Activities and the Relevant Concerns/Issues Related to the Shale Gas

Table 25: Procedure/Permits/Clearances Requite to Proceed Shale Gas Exploration with Minimum, Maximum and Average Time Taken in Months in Poland

Table 26: Difference in the Reservoir Properties, Indigenous Factors, Environmental Regulations and Bureaucratic Discrepancies of Poland and the US Shale Gas Scenario

Table 27: Permits Required, Time Required for Administrative Procedures and Validation for the O&G Companies in Poland

Table 28: Difference in Area of Shale Gas Reserves and Number of Wells Drilled During the First Four Years in Pennsylvania and Poland

Table 29: Threshold values for Different Pollutants during Drilling of the Shale Gas Well in Poland

Table 30: Details of the New Tax/ Fee Structure for the Shale Gas Exploration Activity in Poland, 2013

Table 31: Relinquished Shale Gas Wells by Different Operating Companies with Name & Details of the Relinquished Well, October 2012

Table 32: By Number of concessions awarded as a Group and as Dependent to Different Companies (The Capital Group) in Poland; 2007- 2013

Table 33: By Number of Wells Drilled by each Company under OPPPW, 2010-2013

Table 34: BNK Polska Shale Gas Key Performance Indicators, 2013

Table 35: San Leon Energy Assets in Poland in Different Basins with Area Coverage (in Net Acres, Net km2) & by Number of Licenses Awarded

Table 36: Seven Concessions in the Baltic Basin with Gross, Net Coverage Acreage/ Area and Working Interest in Percentages (%), in Poland, 2013

Table 37: Timeline of San Leon Company Energy Activities in Poland, 2010- 2013

Table 38: Effect on San Leon Energy Business Pre-Aurelian and Post-Aurelian Acquisition, 2012

Table 39: Operating Company with San Leon for Drilling of Shale Gas Well with Name, Drilling Commencement & Completion of the Shale Gas Well, 2013

Table 40: San Leon & its Operating Company Test-flow Production Details with Operating Well Location, 2013

Table 41: Chevron Shale Gas Prospects in Poland through Different Concessions with Respective Areas in Acres and Square Kms, 2013

Table 42: Timeline of 3Leg Resources Activity of Shale Gas Exploration in Poland, 2009-2014

Table 43: Different Types of Five Shale Gas Wells with their Development and Production Details over the Years, 2011-2013

Table 44: Conoco Phillips Concession Names, Acreage and Number of Shale Gas Wells Drilled in each Concession, 2013

Table 45: Facts about Shale Gas Exploration Prospects of PKN Orlen SA, 2014

Table 46: PGNiG SA Exploration & Production Activity in Poland, 2012

Table 47: Name and Acreage/Area Covered by the 15 Concessions Owned by PGNiG SA

Table 48: Shale Gas Well Drilled with the Year of Commencement and Completion of Drilling by PGNiG, 2009-2013

Table 49: Name of the Shale Gas Concession with Acreage/Area in km2 acquired by Hutton Energy, 2013

Table 50: Others Players Name of the Concessions, Acreage and Number of Wells Drilled; 2010-2013

Table 51: Volume of Gas Production and Annual Average Capital Expenditure under three Different Scenarios, 2012-2025

Table 52: Moderate Growth Scenario for Exploration & Economic Prospects of Shale Gas in Comparison to the Baseline Scenario, 2012-2025

Table 53: Increased Foreign Investment Scenario for Exploration & Economic Prospects of Shale Gas in Comparison to the Baseline Scenario, 2012-2025

Table 54: Accelerated Growth Scenario for Exploration & Economic Prospects of Shale Gas in Comparison to the Baseline Scenario, 2012-2025

Table 55: Number of Boreholes (Exploration Wells) Transformed into Producing Wells in three different Assumed Scenarios, 2015-2034

Table 56: Number of New Wells expected to be drilled in Three Different Assumed Scenarios, 2015-2034

Table 57: Cause and Effect Relationship Analysis between Industry Factors and Expected Poland Shale Gas Market Prospects

Table 58: FDI Inflow to 5 European Countries in USD Billion, 2007-2011

Table 59: IMD Competiveness Index and Global Competiveness Index (WEF) Ranking of Poland, Russia and Ukraine, 2013

Table 60: Water and Other Material Requirements for a Vertical and a Horizontal Well during Shale Rock Drilling and Fracturing

Table 61: Correlation Matrix of Poland Shale Gas Industry

Table 62: Regression Coefficients Output of Poland Shale Gas Industry

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Section Purchase

Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- Introduction, Supply and Consumption Pages: 19 | USD 150

1. Poland Primary Energy Industry Introduction

2. Primary Energy Consumption Dynamics, 2007-2012

3. Poland Natural Gas Industry Introduction

4. Poland Natural Gas Industry Supply and Consumption Prospects, 2007-2012

5. Poland Shale Gas Industry Introduction

5.1. Shale Gas Reserves in Poland

5.2. Impact on Energy Security

5.3. Impact on the Economy


Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- Market Size Pages: 2 | USD 150

6. Poland Shale Gas Market Size, 2010-2013

6.1. By Number of Concessions Awarded, 2010-2013

6.2. By Number of Shale Gas Wells Drilled, 2010-2013


Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- technological Prospects and Drivers Pages: 13 | USD 150

7. Technological Prospects

Prospecting & Exploration Aspects of Shale Gas

Road Map to Successful Shale Gas Exploration

Myths and Solutions to Exploration of Shale Gas

Production & Cost Estimates of Different E&P Activities over the years, 2010-2014

8. Key Policy Drivers in Poland Shale Gas Industry

Polish Legal Framework

Existing Regulations

Shale Gas Concessions in Poland

Tax Policy

Environment Policy


Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- Challenges and Trends Pages: 13 | USD 150

9. Potential Challenges in Poland Shale Gas Industry

9.1. Geo- political Factors

Impact of European Union Guidelines & Aid of European Countries For Shale Gas Exploration in Poland

Gas Pricing Scenario

Difference between Poland and the US shale gas Scenario

9.2. Geological factors

9.3. Indigenous Factors

Uncertain Commercial Recovery

Insufficient Infrastructure

Inadequate Administrative Regulations

9.4. Environmental Factors

10. Trends and Developments in the Poland Shale Gas Industry


Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- Market Share Pages: 6 | USD 150

11. Market Share of Major Players in Poland Shale Gas Market

11.1. By Number of Concessions Awarded, Company Wise, 2007-2013

11.2. By Number of Shale Gas well Drilled by each Company, 2010-2013


Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- Exploration and Production Pages: 32 | USD 200

12. Polish Exploration and Production (E&P) Industry Organization (OPPPW) O&G companies investing in shale gas E&P

12.1. International

12.1.1. BNK Petroleum Inc.

12.1.1.1. Company Overview

12.1.1.2. Business Strategies

BNK across Poland

Focus on Providing Benefits to People and Economy in Poland

12.1.2. San Leon Energy PLC

12.1.2.1. Company Overview

Timeline of San leon energy Activities in Poland, 2010-2013

12.1.2.2. Business Strategies

Shale Gas Acreage in Poland

12.1.3. Chevron

12.1.3.1. Company Overview

Shale Gas prospects In Poland

12.1.3.2. Business Strategies

Focus on Continued Shale Gas Exploration in Poland

12.1.4. 3Leg Resources

12.1.4.1. Company Overview

12.1.4.2. Business Strategies

12.1.5. Conoco Phillips

12.2. Poland National Oil & Gas Companies

12.2.1. PKN Orlen SA

12.2.1.1. Company Overview

12.2.1.2. Business Strategies

Huge Investments in Developing Poland Shale Gas Reserves

Initiating Blue Gas-Polish Shale Gas Programme

12.2.2. Polish Petroleum & Gas Mining

12.2.2.1. Company Overview

12.2.2.2. Business Strategies

Assistance to E&P Companies to Explore Shale Gas in Poland

Focus on Continued Shale Gas Exploration Independently and with Other Companies

12.3. Service Providers to Oil and Gas Companies

12.3.1. Halliburton

12.3.1.1. Company Overview

12.3.1.2. Business Strategies

Enhancing Operational Capabilities

Assistance to Different Shale Gas Exploring Companies in Poland

12.4. Other Players in Poland Shale Gas Industry

12.4.1. Other Upcoming E&P Players in Poland

Total

Hutton Energy

12.4.2. Other E&P Players in Poland


Poland Shale Gas Industry Outlook to 2025- Outlook and Macro Pages: 26 | USD 200

13. Poland Shale Gas Industry Future Outlook and Projections, 2014-2025

13.1. Comparative Analysis of three scenarios- Moderate, FDI and Advanced Investment

13.1.1. Moderate Growth Scenario, 2012-2025

13.1.2. Increase in Foreign Investments, 2012-2025

13.1.3. Accelerated Growth Scenario, 2012-2025

13.2. Cause & Effect Relationship in the Poland Shale Gas Industry

14. Macroeconomic and Industry Factors

14.1. Quantitative Factors

14.1.1. Population Density in Poland, 2007-2018

14.1.2. Foreign Direct Investments (FDI), 2007-2018

14.1.3. Unemployment Rate, 2007-2018

14.2. Qualitative Factors

14.2.1. Shale Gas Reserves in Poland, 2011 & 2013

14.2.2. Water Access

14.2.3. Social Acceptance in Poland


Products and Companies

Products

shale gas, shale gas exploration, shale gas wells drilled, coal production, crude oil supply, crude oil consumption, renewable energy consumption, nat


Companies

BNK Petroleum Inc, San Leon Energy PLC, Chevron, 3Leg Resources, Poland National Oil & Gas Companies, PKN Orlen SA, Polish Petroleum & Gas Mining, Halliburton