United States: The Logistics by Service Mix (Freight Forwarding, Warehousing and Value Added Services), by Third Party Logistics, by Cold Chain Logistics, by Express Delivery Logistics and by Industries (Oil & Gas, Engineering Equipment, Food & Beverages, Metals, Automotive and Others) Market Outlook to 2030: Size, Share, Growth and Trends

The market is sized at USD 672,500 Mn in 2024 . The lens is logistics service provider gross revenue, not total shipper logistics spend. That means the figure captures revenue booked by outsourced logistics providers across 3PL, CEP, freight forwarding, cold chain, warehousing, and sector-specialized logistics services, while excluding in-house logistics cost inside manufacturing or retail companies. This is the correct lens for investors because it reflects monetized service pools, operator turnover, and contractable revenue rather than broad economy-wide transport spend that mixes internal and external activity.

The market is projected to reach USD 931,200 Mn by 2030 , implying a 5.6% CAGR for 2025-2030 from the 2024 base. The growth path is also anchored by the locked five-year forecast of USD 882,000 Mn in 2029 . This is a moderate-to-strong expansion profile for a market of this scale and maturity. It assumes outsourcing continues to deepen, parcel density stays structurally elevated, and higher-value service pools such as cold chain and integrated contract logistics grow faster than basic freight intermediation.

The profit pool is shifting gradually toward services with better pricing power and higher switching costs. Third Party Logistics remains the core revenue pool at 45.8% of 2024 revenue , but cold chain is the fastest-growing segment at 6.5% CAGR . CEP also remains structurally important at 23.0% of 2024 revenue because parcel density and returns activity support recurring monetization. By contrast, oil and gas logistics is the slowest-growing segment at 3.2% CAGR . Over time, mix should tilt toward integrated contract logistics, healthcare, food-compliant cold chain, and time-definite networks.

The main risk is a prolonged freight recession combined with tariff escalation and warehouse pricing weakness. In that downside case, the market would reach only USD 800,000 Mn by 2029 , compared with the base case of USD 882,000 Mn , equivalent to a 3.5% CAGR . The downside mechanism is clear: weaker import flows would reduce forwarding and transload activity, domestic transportation management would face lower volumes and weaker pricing, and warehouse oversupply would limit rent and value-added service expansion. The risk is real, but it is cyclical rather than structural.

The United States is the clear scale leader in North America and ranks first in the regional peer set. The U.S. market is estimated at USD 672,500 Mn in 2024 , representing roughly 82.0% of the North American service-provider revenue pool used in this report. It also outgrows the regional average, with a forecast CAGR of 5.6% versus an estimated 5.0% for North America overall. The combination of e-commerce depth, cold-chain infrastructure, and border trade orchestration makes the United States both the largest and the most investable market in the peer set.

The most important structural demand driver is the combination of omnichannel commerce and North American supply chain reconfiguration. U.S. retail e-commerce sales reached USD 1,233.7 Bn in 2025 , and freight across U.S. land borders with Canada and Mexico averaged nearly USD 3.5 Bn per day in 2024 . Together, these forces increase order fragmentation, compress delivery windows, and raise the value of integrated transport, warehousing, customs, and returns management. CEOs should view this as a network-complexity market, where integrated service capability matters more than stand-alone trucking exposure.