Middle East and Africa Coffee Market

The Middle East and Africa Coffee Market, valued at USD 13 billion, is growing due to increasing consumption, specialty shops, and e-commerce expansion amid evolving consumer preferences.

Region:Middle East

Author(s):Geetanshi

Product Code:KRAB0019

Pages:93

Published On:August 2025

About the Report

Base Year 2024

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Overview

  • The Middle East and Africa Coffee Market is valued at USD 13 billion, based on a five-year historical analysis. This growth is primarily driven by increasing consumer demand for coffee, a rise in café culture, and the growing popularity of specialty coffee. The market has seen a significant shift towards premium and ready-to-drink coffee products, reflecting changing consumer preferences and lifestyles.
  • Key players in this market include countries like Ethiopia, Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, South Africa, and Tunisia, which dominate due to their rich coffee-growing heritage and favorable climatic conditions. Ethiopia, known as the birthplace of coffee, has a strong cultural connection to coffee consumption, while South Africa's urban centers are rapidly adopting coffee culture, contributing to market growth.
  • In 2023, the government of Ethiopia implemented regulations to promote sustainable coffee farming practices. This initiative includes providing financial incentives for farmers who adopt environmentally friendly methods and certifications, aiming to enhance the quality of Ethiopian coffee and increase its competitiveness in the global market.
Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Size

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Segmentation

By Type:The coffee market can be segmented into various types, including Arabica, Robusta, Specialty Coffee, Instant Coffee, Ground Coffee, Coffee Pods, Decaffeinated Coffee, and Ready-to-Drink Coffee. Among these, Arabica coffee is the most popular due to its superior flavor profile and aroma, appealing to a wide range of consumers. Specialty coffee has also gained traction, driven by the increasing demand for high-quality, artisanal products. The market is witnessing a trend towards convenience, with ready-to-drink coffee and coffee pods becoming increasingly popular among busy consumers.

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market segmentation by Type.

By End-User:The coffee market is segmented by end-user into households, cafes and restaurants, retail outlets, food service providers, and hotels and hospitality. Households represent a significant portion of the market, driven by the increasing trend of home brewing and coffee consumption. Cafes and restaurants are also crucial, as they cater to the growing coffee culture and demand for specialty beverages. The food service sector is expanding, with more establishments offering coffee as part of their menu, further driving market growth.

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market segmentation by End-User.

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Competitive Landscape

The Middle East and Africa Coffee Market is characterized by a dynamic mix of regional and international players. Leading participants such as Nestlé S.A., Starbucks Corporation, JDE Peet's, Lavazza S.p.A., Illycaffè S.p.A., Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc., Tchibo GmbH, Coffee Planet LLC, Medd Cafe and Roastery, Original Beans, The Coca-Cola Company (Costa Coffee), Sasini PLC, Olam International, Kaldi's Coffee (Ethiopia), Beyers Koffie NV contribute to innovation, geographic expansion, and service delivery in this space.

Nestlé S.A.

1866

Vevey, Switzerland

Starbucks Corporation

1971

Seattle, USA

JDE Peet's

2015

Amsterdam, Netherlands

Lavazza S.p.A.

1895

Turin, Italy

Illycaffè S.p.A.

1933

Trieste, Italy

Company

Establishment Year

Headquarters

Group Size (Large, Medium, or Small as per industry convention)

Revenue Growth Rate (MEA Coffee Segment)

Market Share in MEA Coffee Market

Distribution Reach (Number of Countries/Outlets in MEA)

Product Portfolio Breadth (Types of Coffee Offered)

Local Sourcing Percentage

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Industry Analysis

Growth Drivers

  • Increasing Coffee Consumption:The Middle East and Africa region has witnessed a significant rise in coffee consumption, with an increase from 1.5 million tons in 2020 to approximately 1.9 million tons in future. This growth is driven by a burgeoning middle class and changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger demographics. The World Bank projects that the region's GDP will grow by 3.7% in future, further supporting increased disposable income and coffee consumption trends.
  • Rise of Specialty Coffee Shops:The number of specialty coffee shops in the Middle East and Africa has surged, with over 1,200 new establishments opening in future alone. This trend reflects a growing consumer interest in high-quality, artisanal coffee experiences. According to industry reports, the specialty coffee segment is expected to contribute an additional $300 million to the regional market by future, driven by urbanization and a shift towards premium products.
  • Expansion of E-commerce Platforms:E-commerce sales of coffee products in the Middle East and Africa reached $450 million in future, marking a 25% increase from the previous year. The rise of online shopping, accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic, has made coffee more accessible to consumers. With internet penetration expected to reach 60% in future, e-commerce is poised to further enhance market growth, allowing brands to reach a broader audience.

Market Challenges

  • Fluctuating Coffee Prices:The coffee market in the Middle East and Africa faces significant challenges due to fluctuating coffee prices, which have seen a volatility range of $1.20 to $2.50 per pound over the past year. This instability affects profit margins for producers and retailers alike. The International Coffee Organization reported that price fluctuations can lead to a 15% decrease in sales for smaller coffee businesses, impacting overall market stability.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions:Supply chain disruptions have become a critical challenge for the coffee industry, particularly due to geopolitical tensions and climate change. In future, delays in shipping and logistics led to a 20% increase in delivery times for coffee imports. The Food and Agriculture Organization noted that these disruptions could result in a potential loss of $200 million in revenue for the region's coffee sector, hindering growth prospects.

Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Future Outlook

The future of the coffee market in the Middle East and Africa appears promising, driven by evolving consumer preferences and increasing investments in sustainable practices. As the demand for organic and ethically sourced coffee rises, companies are likely to adapt their offerings to meet these expectations. Additionally, the growth of coffee tourism is expected to enhance local economies, creating new revenue streams and fostering community engagement in coffee production and consumption.

Market Opportunities

  • Development of Organic Coffee Products:The organic coffee market in the region is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach $100 million by future. This growth is driven by increasing consumer awareness of health and environmental issues, presenting a lucrative opportunity for producers to cater to this niche market.
  • Collaborations with Local Farmers:Establishing partnerships with local farmers can enhance supply chain resilience and product quality. By investing in local coffee cooperatives, companies can improve their sourcing strategies and ensure sustainable practices, potentially increasing their market share by 15% over the next few years.

Scope of the Report

SegmentSub-Segments
By Type

Arabica

Robusta

Specialty Coffee

Instant Coffee

Ground Coffee

Coffee Pods

Decaffeinated Coffee

Ready-to-Drink Coffee

By End-User

Households

Cafes and Restaurants

Retail Outlets

Food Service Providers

Hotels and Hospitality

By Distribution Channel

Online Retail

Supermarkets/Hypermarkets

Specialty Coffee Shops

Convenience Stores

HoReCa (Hotels, Restaurants, Cafés)

By Region

North Africa (e.g., Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia)

East Africa (e.g., Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania)

West Africa (e.g., Côte d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Ghana)

Southern Africa (e.g., South Africa, Angola)

Middle East (e.g., Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Iran)

By Price Range

Premium

Mid-Range

Economy

By Packaging Type

Bags

Cans

Bottles

Sachets

By Coffee Form

Whole Bean

Ground

Instant

Liquid

Key Target Audience

Investors and Venture Capitalist Firms

Government and Regulatory Bodies (e.g., Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Drug Administration)

Manufacturers and Producers

Distributors and Retailers

Export and Import Agencies (e.g., Customs Authorities)

Industry Associations (e.g., Specialty Coffee Association)

Financial Institutions (e.g., Development Banks)

Logistics and Supply Chain Companies

Players Mentioned in the Report:

Nestle S.A.

Starbucks Corporation

JDE Peet's

Lavazza S.p.A.

Illycaffe S.p.A.

Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc.

Tchibo GmbH

Coffee Planet LLC

Medd Cafe and Roastery

Original Beans

The Coca-Cola Company (Costa Coffee)

Sasini PLC

Olam International

Kaldi's Coffee (Ethiopia)

Beyers Koffie NV

Table of Contents

Market Assessment Phase

1. Executive Summary and Approach


2. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Overview

2.1 Key Insights and Strategic Recommendations

2.2 Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Overview

2.3 Definition and Scope

2.4 Evolution of Market Ecosystem

2.5 Timeline of Key Regulatory Milestones

2.6 Value Chain & Stakeholder Mapping

2.7 Business Cycle Analysis

2.8 Policy & Incentive Landscape


3. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Analysis

3.1 Growth Drivers

3.1.1 Increasing Coffee Consumption
3.1.2 Rise of Specialty Coffee Shops
3.1.3 Growing Coffee Export Opportunities
3.1.4 Expansion of E-commerce Platforms

3.2 Market Challenges

3.2.1 Fluctuating Coffee Prices
3.2.2 Supply Chain Disruptions
3.2.3 Regulatory Compliance Issues
3.2.4 Competition from Instant Coffee Products

3.3 Market Opportunities

3.3.1 Development of Organic Coffee Products
3.3.2 Investment in Coffee Processing Facilities
3.3.3 Collaborations with Local Farmers
3.3.4 Growth in Coffee Tourism

3.4 Market Trends

3.4.1 Increasing Demand for Sustainable Practices
3.4.2 Popularity of Cold Brew Coffee
3.4.3 Rise of Home Brewing Equipment
3.4.4 Shift Towards Health-Conscious Coffee Options

3.5 Government Regulation

3.5.1 Import Tariffs on Coffee
3.5.2 Quality Standards for Coffee Products
3.5.3 Environmental Regulations on Coffee Farming
3.5.4 Support for Local Coffee Cooperatives

4. SWOT Analysis


5. Stakeholder Analysis


6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis


7. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Market Size, 2019-2024

7.1 By Value

7.2 By Volume

7.3 By Average Selling Price


8. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Segmentation

8.1 By Type

8.1.1 Arabica
8.1.2 Robusta
8.1.3 Specialty Coffee
8.1.4 Instant Coffee
8.1.5 Ground Coffee
8.1.6 Coffee Pods
8.1.7 Decaffeinated Coffee
8.1.8 Ready-to-Drink Coffee

8.2 By End-User

8.2.1 Households
8.2.2 Cafes and Restaurants
8.2.3 Retail Outlets
8.2.4 Food Service Providers
8.2.5 Hotels and Hospitality

8.3 By Distribution Channel

8.3.1 Online Retail
8.3.2 Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
8.3.3 Specialty Coffee Shops
8.3.4 Convenience Stores
8.3.5 HoReCa (Hotels, Restaurants, Cafés)

8.4 By Region

8.4.1 North Africa (e.g., Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, Tunisia)
8.4.2 East Africa (e.g., Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania)
8.4.3 West Africa (e.g., Côte d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Ghana)
8.4.4 Southern Africa (e.g., South Africa, Angola)
8.4.5 Middle East (e.g., Saudi Arabia, UAE, Turkey, Iran)

8.5 By Price Range

8.5.1 Premium
8.5.2 Mid-Range
8.5.3 Economy

8.6 By Packaging Type

8.6.1 Bags
8.6.2 Cans
8.6.3 Bottles
8.6.4 Sachets

8.7 By Coffee Form

8.7.1 Whole Bean
8.7.2 Ground
8.7.3 Instant
8.7.4 Liquid

9. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Competitive Analysis

9.1 Market Share of Key Players

9.2 Cross Comparison of Key Players

9.2.1 Company Name
9.2.2 Group Size (Large, Medium, or Small as per industry convention)
9.2.3 Revenue Growth Rate (MEA Coffee Segment)
9.2.4 Market Share in MEA Coffee Market
9.2.5 Distribution Reach (Number of Countries/Outlets in MEA)
9.2.6 Product Portfolio Breadth (Types of Coffee Offered)
9.2.7 Local Sourcing Percentage
9.2.8 Sustainability Certifications (e.g., Fairtrade, Rainforest Alliance)
9.2.9 Brand Recognition (Regional Consumer Awareness)
9.2.10 Digital & E-commerce Penetration

9.3 SWOT Analysis of Top Players

9.4 Pricing Analysis

9.5 Detailed Profile of Major Companies

9.5.1 Nestlé S.A.
9.5.2 Starbucks Corporation
9.5.3 JDE Peet's
9.5.4 Lavazza S.p.A.
9.5.5 Illycaffè S.p.A.
9.5.6 Dunkin' Brands Group, Inc.
9.5.7 Tchibo GmbH
9.5.8 Coffee Planet LLC
9.5.9 Medd Cafe and Roastery
9.5.10 Original Beans
9.5.11 The Coca-Cola Company (Costa Coffee)
9.5.12 Sasini PLC
9.5.13 Olam International
9.5.14 Kaldi's Coffee (Ethiopia)
9.5.15 Beyers Koffie NV

10. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market End-User Analysis

10.1 Procurement Behavior of Key Ministries

10.1.1 Government Contracts for Coffee Supply
10.1.2 Quality Assurance Standards
10.1.3 Budget Allocations for Coffee Programs

10.2 Corporate Spend on Infrastructure & Energy

10.2.1 Investment in Coffee Processing Facilities
10.2.2 Funding for Coffee Research and Development

10.3 Pain Point Analysis by End-User Category

10.3.1 Supply Chain Inefficiencies
10.3.2 Quality Control Issues
10.3.3 Price Volatility

10.4 User Readiness for Adoption

10.4.1 Awareness of Coffee Varieties
10.4.2 Acceptance of New Coffee Products

10.5 Post-Deployment ROI and Use Case Expansion

10.5.1 Measurement of Sales Growth
10.5.2 Customer Feedback and Satisfaction

11. Middle East and Africa Coffee Market Future Size, 2025-2030

11.1 By Value

11.2 By Volume

11.3 By Average Selling Price


Go-To-Market Strategy Phase

1. Whitespace Analysis + Business Model Canvas

1.1 Identification of Market Gaps

1.2 Value Proposition Development

1.3 Revenue Streams Analysis

1.4 Key Partnerships

1.5 Cost Structure Evaluation

1.6 Customer Segmentation

1.7 Channels of Distribution


2. Marketing and Positioning Recommendations

2.1 Branding Strategies

2.2 Product USPs

2.3 Target Audience Identification

2.4 Marketing Channels

2.5 Promotional Activities


3. Distribution Plan

3.1 Urban Retail Strategies

3.2 Rural NGO Tie-ups

3.3 Logistics and Supply Chain Management

3.4 Distribution Partnerships


4. Channel & Pricing Gaps

4.1 Underserved Routes

4.2 Pricing Bands Analysis

4.3 Competitor Pricing Strategies


5. Unmet Demand & Latent Needs

5.1 Category Gaps

5.2 Consumer Segments Analysis

5.3 Emerging Trends


6. Customer Relationship

6.1 Loyalty Programs

6.2 After-sales Service

6.3 Customer Engagement Strategies


7. Value Proposition

7.1 Sustainability Initiatives

7.2 Integrated Supply Chains

7.3 Unique Selling Points


8. Key Activities

8.1 Regulatory Compliance

8.2 Branding Initiatives

8.3 Distribution Setup


9. Entry Strategy Evaluation

9.1 Domestic Market Entry Strategy

9.1.1 Product Mix Considerations
9.1.2 Pricing Band Strategy
9.1.3 Packaging Innovations

9.2 Export Entry Strategy

9.2.1 Target Countries Identification
9.2.2 Compliance Roadmap Development

10. Entry Mode Assessment

10.1 Joint Ventures

10.2 Greenfield Investments

10.3 Mergers & Acquisitions

10.4 Distributor Model Evaluation


11. Capital and Timeline Estimation

11.1 Capital Requirements Analysis

11.2 Timelines for Market Entry


12. Control vs Risk Trade-Off

12.1 Ownership vs Partnerships

12.2 Risk Management Strategies


13. Profitability Outlook

13.1 Breakeven Analysis

13.2 Long-term Sustainability Strategies


14. Potential Partner List

14.1 Distributors

14.2 Joint Ventures

14.3 Acquisition Targets


15. Execution Roadmap

15.1 Phased Plan for Market Entry

15.1.1 Market Setup
15.1.2 Market Entry
15.1.3 Growth Acceleration
15.1.4 Scale & Stabilize

15.2 Key Activities and Milestones

15.2.1 Milestone Planning
15.2.2 Activity Tracking

Research Methodology

ApproachModellingSample

Phase 1: Approach1

Desk Research

  • Analysis of market reports from industry associations and trade organizations in the coffee sector
  • Review of published articles and white papers on coffee consumption trends in the Middle East and Africa
  • Examination of government publications and trade statistics related to coffee imports and exports

Primary Research

  • Interviews with coffee producers and exporters to gather insights on production capacities and challenges
  • Surveys with coffee retailers and distributors to understand market dynamics and consumer preferences
  • Field interviews with baristas and café owners to assess trends in coffee consumption and specialty coffee demand

Validation & Triangulation

  • Cross-validation of data through multiple sources including trade publications and market surveys
  • Triangulation of findings from primary interviews with secondary data to ensure consistency
  • Sanity checks through expert panel reviews comprising industry veterans and market analysts

Phase 2: Market Size Estimation1

Top-down Assessment

  • Estimation of total coffee market size based on national consumption statistics and import data
  • Segmentation of the market by coffee type (e.g., Arabica, Robusta) and distribution channels (e.g., retail, online)
  • Incorporation of macroeconomic factors such as GDP growth and urbanization rates affecting coffee consumption

Bottom-up Modeling

  • Collection of sales data from key coffee retailers and distributors to establish baseline volumes
  • Analysis of pricing trends across different coffee segments to estimate revenue generation
  • Volume x price calculations to derive market size estimates for various coffee categories

Forecasting & Scenario Analysis

  • Multi-factor regression analysis incorporating variables such as population growth, income levels, and coffee culture evolution
  • Scenario modeling based on potential shifts in consumer preferences towards specialty and sustainable coffee
  • Development of baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic forecasts through 2030 based on market trends

Phase 3: CATI Sample Composition1

Scope Item/SegmentSample SizeTarget Respondent Profiles
Retail Coffee Outlets100Café Owners, Retail Managers
Wholesale Coffee Distributors70Distribution Managers, Sales Executives
Coffee Importers50Import Managers, Procurement Officers
Specialty Coffee Roasters40Roasting Facility Managers, Quality Control Experts
Consumer Coffee Preferences120Regular Coffee Drinkers, Specialty Coffee Enthusiasts

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current value of the Middle East and Africa coffee market?

The Middle East and Africa coffee market is valued at approximately USD 13 billion, reflecting a significant growth trend driven by increasing consumer demand, café culture, and the popularity of specialty coffee products.

Which countries dominate the coffee market in the Middle East and Africa?

What are the main types of coffee available in the Middle East and Africa market?

How has coffee consumption changed in the Middle East and Africa?

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