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US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market

The US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market is valued at USD 500 million, fueled by rising e-commerce, AI innovations, and urban adoption in cities like San Francisco and New York.

Region:North America

Author(s):Geetanshi

Product Code:KRAA3667

Pages:96

Published On:September 2025

About the Report

Base Year 2024

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Overview

  • The US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market is valued at USD 500 million, based on a five-year historical analysis. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing demand for efficient delivery solutions, particularly in urban areas, as well as advancements in robotics, artificial intelligence, and sensor technologies. The rise of e-commerce, the need for rapid and contactless delivery, and ongoing labor shortages in logistics have further accelerated the adoption of autonomous delivery robots .
  • Key cities driving market adoption include San Francisco, New York, and Los Angeles, which lead due to high population density, significant e-commerce activity, and robust infrastructure for piloting and deploying autonomous delivery solutions. These urban centers offer favorable local regulatory frameworks and a tech-savvy consumer base, facilitating rapid testing and commercialization of autonomous delivery robots .
  • In 2023, the US government introduced operational guidelines for autonomous delivery robots through the "National Highway Traffic Safety Administration Automated Vehicles Policy, 2023" issued by the US Department of Transportation. This regulation sets forth safety standards, operational zones, and requirements for pedestrian interaction, ensuring safe integration of autonomous robots into public spaces while supporting innovation in last-mile logistics.
US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Size

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Segmentation

By Type:The market is segmented into Ground Delivery Robots, Delivery Drones, Autonomous Delivery Vans, and Hybrid Delivery Solutions. Ground Delivery Robots are the most widely adopted for short-distance, urban deliveries due to their ability to navigate sidewalks and congested city environments. Delivery Drones are gaining traction for urgent, lightweight deliveries, especially in areas with challenging road access. Autonomous Delivery Vans serve larger payloads and longer routes, while Hybrid Delivery Solutions combine multiple modalities to optimize efficiency and coverage .

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market segmentation by Type.

By End-User:The end-user segmentation includes Retail & E-commerce, Food & Grocery Delivery, Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals, and Logistics & Parcel Services. Retail & E-commerce dominates due to the surge in online shopping and consumer expectations for fast, reliable delivery. Food & Grocery Delivery is a major segment, leveraging autonomous robots for rapid, contactless fulfillment. Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals utilize robots for secure, timely medication and sample transport, while Logistics & Parcel Services focus on optimizing last-mile efficiency for a variety of goods .

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market segmentation by End-User.

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Competitive Landscape

The US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market is characterized by a dynamic mix of regional and international players. Leading participants such as Starship Technologies, Nuro, Amazon Robotics, Robby Technologies, Kiwibot, Postmates (Uber Eats), FedEx SameDay Bot, Zipline, Waymo, Boxbot, Marble, TeleRetail, Yandex.Rover, A2Z Drone Delivery, Gatik, Refraction AI, Udelv, Serve Robotics, Coco, Wing (Alphabet) contribute to innovation, geographic expansion, and service delivery in this space.

Starship Technologies

2014

San Francisco, CA

Nuro

2016

Mountain View, CA

Amazon Robotics

2003

North Reading, MA

Kiwibot

2017

Los Angeles, CA

Waymo

2009

Mountain View, CA

Company

Establishment Year

Headquarters

Fleet Size (Active Robots/Vehicles)

Annual Revenue from Autonomous Delivery

Market Penetration (Cities/States Served)

Average Delivery Time (Minutes/Miles)

Successful Delivery Rate (%)

Customer Retention Rate (%)

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Industry Analysis

Growth Drivers

  • Increasing Demand for Contactless Delivery:The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the demand for contactless delivery solutions, with a reported 40% increase in online orders in future. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, e-commerce sales reached $1.1 trillion in future, reflecting a significant shift in consumer behavior. This trend is expected to continue, as 70% of consumers express a preference for contactless delivery options, driving the adoption of autonomous last-mile delivery robots in urban areas.
  • Advancements in Robotics Technology:The robotics sector is witnessing rapid technological advancements, with investments in AI and machine learning projected to reach $150 billion in future, according to the International Federation of Robotics. These innovations enhance the capabilities of autonomous delivery robots, enabling them to navigate complex urban environments more efficiently. As a result, companies are increasingly integrating these technologies to improve delivery speed and reliability, further propelling market growth.
  • Rising E-commerce Activities:The U.S. e-commerce market is projected to grow to $1.5 trillion in future, according to Statista. This growth is driven by changing consumer preferences and the convenience of online shopping. As e-commerce expands, the demand for efficient last-mile delivery solutions increases, creating a favorable environment for autonomous delivery robots. Companies are investing in these technologies to meet consumer expectations for faster and more reliable delivery services.

Market Challenges

  • Regulatory Hurdles:The deployment of autonomous delivery robots faces significant regulatory challenges. As of future, only 20 states have enacted laws specifically addressing the operation of delivery robots, creating a fragmented regulatory landscape. This inconsistency can hinder the expansion of services, as companies must navigate varying state regulations, which can delay deployment and increase operational costs, ultimately impacting market growth.
  • Public Acceptance and Trust Issues:Public perception plays a crucial role in the adoption of autonomous delivery robots. A survey by the Pew Research Center found that only 50% of Americans are comfortable with the idea of robots delivering goods. Concerns about safety, privacy, and reliability contribute to this skepticism. Building public trust is essential for widespread acceptance, and companies must invest in education and outreach to address these concerns effectively.

US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Future Outlook

The future of the US autonomous last-mile delivery robots market appears promising, driven by technological advancements and evolving consumer preferences. As urbanization continues, cities are increasingly adopting smart city initiatives, which will integrate autonomous delivery solutions into urban infrastructure. Additionally, partnerships between delivery companies and retailers are expected to enhance service offerings, making delivery more efficient. The focus on sustainability will also drive innovation, as companies seek eco-friendly delivery options to meet consumer demand for greener solutions.

Market Opportunities

  • Expansion into Suburban Areas:As urban areas become saturated, there is a significant opportunity for autonomous delivery robots to expand into suburban regions. With a growing population in these areas, the demand for efficient delivery solutions is increasing. Companies can tap into this market by offering tailored services that cater to the unique needs of suburban consumers, potentially increasing their market share.
  • Partnerships with Retailers:Collaborating with retailers presents a lucrative opportunity for autonomous delivery companies. By forming strategic partnerships, companies can enhance their service offerings and streamline operations. Retailers are increasingly looking for innovative delivery solutions to meet consumer expectations, and these partnerships can lead to improved customer satisfaction and increased sales, benefiting both parties involved.

Scope of the Report

SegmentSub-Segments
By Type

Ground Delivery Robots

Delivery Drones

Autonomous Delivery Vans

Hybrid Delivery Solutions

By End-User

Retail & E-commerce

Food & Grocery Delivery

Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals

Logistics & Parcel Services

By Application

Package Delivery

Grocery Delivery

Medical Supplies Delivery

Restaurant Meal Delivery

By Distribution Mode

Direct-to-Consumer (D2C)

Business-to-Business (B2B)

By Payload Capacity

Light Payload (up to 5 kg)

Medium Payload (5 kg to 20 kg)

Heavy Payload (above 20 kg)

By Pricing Strategy

Premium Pricing

Competitive Pricing

Value-Based Pricing

By Range

Short Range (<20 km)

Long Range (?20 km)

Key Target Audience

Investors and Venture Capitalist Firms

Government and Regulatory Bodies (e.g., Federal Aviation Administration, Department of Transportation)

Manufacturers and Producers

Logistics and Supply Chain Companies

Retail Chains and E-commerce Platforms

Technology Providers

Industry Associations (e.g., Robotics Industries Association)

Financial Institutions

Players Mentioned in the Report:

Starship Technologies

Nuro

Amazon Robotics

Robby Technologies

Kiwibot

Postmates (Uber Eats)

FedEx SameDay Bot

Zipline

Waymo

Boxbot

Marble

TeleRetail

Yandex.Rover

A2Z Drone Delivery

Gatik

Refraction AI

Udelv

Serve Robotics

Coco

Wing (Alphabet)

Table of Contents

Market Assessment Phase

1. Executive Summary and Approach


2. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Overview

2.1 Key Insights and Strategic Recommendations

2.2 US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Overview

2.3 Definition and Scope

2.4 Evolution of Market Ecosystem

2.5 Timeline of Key Regulatory Milestones

2.6 Value Chain & Stakeholder Mapping

2.7 Business Cycle Analysis

2.8 Policy & Incentive Landscape


3. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Analysis

3.1 Growth Drivers

3.1.1 Increasing Demand for Contactless Delivery
3.1.2 Advancements in Robotics Technology
3.1.3 Rising E-commerce Activities
3.1.4 Urbanization and Traffic Congestion

3.2 Market Challenges

3.2.1 Regulatory Hurdles
3.2.2 High Initial Investment Costs
3.2.3 Public Acceptance and Trust Issues
3.2.4 Competition from Traditional Delivery Services

3.3 Market Opportunities

3.3.1 Expansion into Suburban Areas
3.3.2 Partnerships with Retailers
3.3.3 Integration with Smart City Initiatives
3.3.4 Development of Advanced AI Algorithms

3.4 Market Trends

3.4.1 Increased Investment in R&D
3.4.2 Focus on Sustainability and Eco-friendliness
3.4.3 Adoption of Autonomous Fleet Management
3.4.4 Growth of Last-Mile Delivery Startups

3.5 Government Regulation

3.5.1 Safety Standards for Autonomous Vehicles
3.5.2 Zoning Laws for Delivery Robots
3.5.3 Data Privacy Regulations
3.5.4 Incentives for Green Technology Adoption

4. SWOT Analysis


5. Stakeholder Analysis


6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis


7. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Market Size, 2019-2024

7.1 By Value

7.2 By Volume

7.3 By Average Selling Price


8. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Segmentation

8.1 By Type

8.1.1 Ground Delivery Robots
8.1.2 Delivery Drones
8.1.3 Autonomous Delivery Vans
8.1.4 Hybrid Delivery Solutions

8.2 By End-User

8.2.1 Retail & E-commerce
8.2.2 Food & Grocery Delivery
8.2.3 Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
8.2.4 Logistics & Parcel Services

8.3 By Application

8.3.1 Package Delivery
8.3.2 Grocery Delivery
8.3.3 Medical Supplies Delivery
8.3.4 Restaurant Meal Delivery

8.4 By Distribution Mode

8.4.1 Direct-to-Consumer (D2C)
8.4.2 Business-to-Business (B2B)

8.5 By Payload Capacity

8.5.1 Light Payload (up to 5 kg)
8.5.2 Medium Payload (5 kg to 20 kg)
8.5.3 Heavy Payload (above 20 kg)

8.6 By Pricing Strategy

8.6.1 Premium Pricing
8.6.2 Competitive Pricing
8.6.3 Value-Based Pricing

8.7 By Range

8.7.1 Short Range (<20 km)
8.7.2 Long Range (≥20 km)

8.8 Others


9. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Competitive Analysis

9.1 Market Share of Key Players

9.2 KPIs for Cross Comparison of Key Players

9.2.1 Company Name
9.2.2 Fleet Size (Active Robots/Vehicles)
9.2.3 Annual Revenue from Autonomous Delivery
9.2.4 Market Penetration (Cities/States Served)
9.2.5 Average Delivery Time (Minutes/Miles)
9.2.6 Successful Delivery Rate (%)
9.2.7 Customer Retention Rate (%)
9.2.8 Operational Cost per Delivery ($)
9.2.9 Technology Investment (% of Revenue)
9.2.10 Regulatory Compliance Score
9.2.11 Customer Satisfaction Score (NPS or Equivalent)
9.2.12 Innovation Index (Patents, New Features)

9.3 SWOT Analysis of Top Players

9.4 Pricing Analysis

9.5 Detailed Profile of Major Companies

9.5.1 Starship Technologies
9.5.2 Nuro
9.5.3 Amazon Robotics
9.5.4 Robby Technologies
9.5.5 Kiwibot
9.5.6 Postmates (Uber Eats)
9.5.7 FedEx SameDay Bot
9.5.8 Zipline
9.5.9 Waymo
9.5.10 Boxbot
9.5.11 Marble
9.5.12 TeleRetail
9.5.13 Yandex.Rover
9.5.14 A2Z Drone Delivery
9.5.15 Gatik
9.5.16 Refraction AI
9.5.17 Udelv
9.5.18 Serve Robotics
9.5.19 Coco
9.5.20 Wing (Alphabet)

10. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market End-User Analysis

10.1 Procurement Behavior of Key Ministries

10.1.1 Government Contracts for Delivery Services
10.1.2 Budget Allocations for Technology Adoption
10.1.3 Evaluation Criteria for Vendor Selection

10.2 Corporate Spend on Infrastructure & Energy

10.2.1 Investment in Delivery Infrastructure
10.2.2 Energy Consumption Patterns
10.2.3 Budget for Technology Upgrades

10.3 Pain Point Analysis by End-User Category

10.3.1 Delivery Speed Concerns
10.3.2 Cost Efficiency Issues
10.3.3 Reliability and Trust Factors

10.4 User Readiness for Adoption

10.4.1 Awareness of Autonomous Delivery Solutions
10.4.2 Willingness to Pay for Convenience
10.4.3 Perceived Safety of Delivery Robots

10.5 Post-Deployment ROI and Use Case Expansion

10.5.1 Measurement of Cost Savings
10.5.2 Expansion into New Delivery Areas
10.5.3 Customer Feedback and Adaptation

11. US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market Future Size, 2025-2030

11.1 By Value

11.2 By Volume

11.3 By Average Selling Price


Go-To-Market Strategy Phase

1. Whitespace Analysis + Business Model Canvas

1.1 Market Gaps Identification

1.2 Business Model Framework


2. Marketing and Positioning Recommendations

2.1 Branding Strategies

2.2 Product USPs


3. Distribution Plan

3.1 Urban Retail vs Rural NGO Tie-ups


4. Channel & Pricing Gaps

4.1 Underserved Routes

4.2 Pricing Bands


5. Unmet Demand & Latent Needs

5.1 Category Gaps

5.2 Consumer Segments


6. Customer Relationship

6.1 Loyalty Programs

6.2 After-sales Service


7. Value Proposition

7.1 Sustainability

7.2 Integrated Supply Chains


8. Key Activities

8.1 Regulatory Compliance

8.2 Branding

8.3 Distribution Setup


9. Entry Strategy Evaluation

9.1 Domestic Market Entry Strategy

9.1.1 Product Mix
9.1.2 Pricing Band
9.1.3 Packaging

9.2 Export Entry Strategy

9.2.1 Target Countries
9.2.2 Compliance Roadmap

10. Entry Mode Assessment

10.1 JV

10.2 Greenfield

10.3 M&A

10.4 Distributor Model


11. Capital and Timeline Estimation

11.1 Capital Requirements

11.2 Timelines


12. Control vs Risk Trade-Off

12.1 Ownership vs Partnerships


13. Profitability Outlook

13.1 Breakeven Analysis

13.2 Long-term Sustainability


14. Potential Partner List

14.1 Distributors

14.2 JVs

14.3 Acquisition Targets


15. Execution Roadmap

15.1 Phased Plan for Market Entry

15.1.1 Market Setup
15.1.2 Market Entry
15.1.3 Growth Acceleration
15.1.4 Scale & Stabilize

15.2 Key Activities and Milestones

15.2.1 Activity Timeline
15.2.2 Milestone Tracking

Research Methodology

ApproachModellingSample

Phase 1: Approach1

Desk Research

  • Industry reports from logistics and automation associations
  • Market analysis from government publications on transportation and delivery
  • Academic journals focusing on robotics and last-mile delivery innovations

Primary Research

  • Interviews with executives from leading autonomous delivery robot manufacturers
  • Surveys with logistics managers in urban delivery services
  • Field interviews with technology developers in robotics and AI

Validation & Triangulation

  • Cross-validation of data from multiple industry sources and reports
  • Triangulation of insights from primary interviews and secondary data
  • Sanity checks through expert panels comprising industry veterans

Phase 2: Market Size Estimation1

Top-down Assessment

  • Analysis of total logistics market size and growth trends in the U.S.
  • Segmentation of the market by urban vs. rural delivery needs
  • Incorporation of government initiatives promoting autonomous delivery solutions

Bottom-up Modeling

  • Volume estimates based on deployment rates of delivery robots in urban areas
  • Cost analysis derived from operational expenses of existing delivery services
  • Revenue projections based on average delivery fees and service frequency

Forecasting & Scenario Analysis

  • Multi-variable regression analysis incorporating e-commerce growth rates
  • Scenario modeling based on technological advancements and regulatory impacts
  • Development of baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic market forecasts through 2030

Phase 3: CATI Sample Composition1

Scope Item/SegmentSample SizeTarget Respondent Profiles
Urban Delivery Services100Logistics Coordinators, Operations Managers
Retail Sector Implementation60Supply Chain Directors, Retail Operations Managers
Technology Development in Robotics50R&D Managers, Robotics Engineers
Consumer Acceptance Studies80Market Researchers, Consumer Behavior Analysts
Regulatory Compliance Insights40Policy Makers, Compliance Officers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current value of the US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market?

The US Autonomous Last-Mile Delivery Robots Market is valued at approximately USD 500 million, driven by the increasing demand for efficient delivery solutions, advancements in robotics, and the rise of e-commerce, particularly in urban areas.

What factors are driving the growth of autonomous delivery robots in the US?

Which cities are leading in the adoption of autonomous delivery robots?

What are the main types of autonomous delivery robots available in the market?

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