Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022


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Executive Summary

The Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

Denmark's military expenditure, valued at US$3 billion in 2017, registered a declining growth rate of -7.96% during 2013-2017. The weak national fiscal condition and Europe's sluggish recovery from the economic slowdown has affected the growth rate of the market; and is expected to do so for the next two years. The Danish Defense Agreement 2013-2017 mandated the Ministry of Defence (MoD) to save US$0.5 billion annually on military expenditure during 2015-2017, in an effort to reduce the country's debt. Over the forecast period, the country's defense budget is expected to further decrease to US$2.8 billion in 2022, reflecting a CAGR of -1.20%.

On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest US$14.3 billion for defense purposes, of which US$1.4 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The government's well-defined military modernization plans to counter influence of Russia and its duties with respect to NATO are expected to corner significant part of investment.

The MoD is expected to invest in fighters & multi-role Aircraft, Armored Personnel Carrier (APC), and Military-IT & Networking over the coming years.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Danish defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

The Danish defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Danish defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the Danish defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Danish defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons to Buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Danish defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the Danish defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts



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1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Current Market Scenario

3.1.1. Primary threat perception

3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy

3.1.3. Military Fleet Size

3.1.4. Procurement Programs

3.1.4.1. Ongoing procurement programs

3.1.4.2. Future procurement programs

3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects

3.1.6. Political & Strategic Alliances

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.2.1. Danish defense expenditure expected to register a CAGR of -1.20% over the forecast period

3.2.2. Growing Russian assertiveness and participation in NATO peacekeeping operations expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period

3.2.3. Denmark's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.3.1. Capital expenditure expected to account for 10% of the defense budget over 2018-2022

3.3.2. Capital expenditure to decrease at a CAGR of -2.51% over 2018-2022

3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure set to decrease over the forecast period

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.4.1. Danish homeland security expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 1.02%

3.4.2. Cyber security and counter terrorism are main homeland security concerns

3.4.3. Denmark falls under "moderately affected" of terrorism category

3.4.4. Denmark faces moderate level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.4.5. Denmark has a terrorism index score of 2.2

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.5.1. Denmark defense budget expected to decline over the forecast period

3.5.2. Danish defense budget expected to remain low compared to other European countries

3.5.3. Denmark allocates lower share of GDP for defense compared to most European countries

3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.6.1. Fighters Aircraft

3.6.2. Armored Personnel Carrier (APC)

3.6.3. Military IT-Networking

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period

4.1.2. Denmark sourced most of its arms imports from its neighbors

4.1.3. Sensors and naval weapons dominate military hardware imports

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. Arms exports to recover during the forecast period

4.2.2. Brunei and Brazil prime purchasers of Danish arms

4.2.3. Sensors and ships are the main exported defense products

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium

5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: low

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: medium to high

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Budgeting Process

6.2. Procurement Policy & Process

6.3. Market Regulation

6.3.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry

6.3.2. Denmark permits 100% foreign direct investment in the defense sector

6.4. Market Entry Route

6.4.1. Forming subsidiaries or acquiring Danish companies are good market entry opportunities

6.4.2. Forming consortiums and product development agreements open new market entry strategy choices

6.4.3. Joint weapon development programs are a viable market entry opportunity

6.5. Key Challenges

6.5.1. Low defense budget and limited technological capability hinder market entry by foreign companies

6.5.2. Preference given to procurements from US and Nordic companies challenging for other suppliers

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Domestic Companies

7.2.1. Systematic A/S: overview

7.2.2. Systematic A/S: products and services

7.2.3. Systematic A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.4. Systematic A/S: alliances

7.2.5. Systematic A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.6. Terma A/S: overview

7.2.7. Terma A/S: products and service

7.2.8. Terma A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.9. Terma A/S: alliances

7.2.10. Terma A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.11. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: overview

7.2.12. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: products and services

7.2.13. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.14. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: alliances

7.2.15. Danish Aerotech A/S: overview

7.2.16. Danish Aerotech A/S: products and services

7.2.17. Danish Aerotech A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.18. Danish Aerotech A/S: alliances

7.2.19. Danish Aerotech A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.20. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: overview

7.2.21. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: products and services

7.2.22. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.23. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: alliances

7.2.24. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.25. IFAD TS A/S: overview

7.2.26. IFAD TS A/S: products and services

7.2.27. IFAD TS A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.28. IFAD TS A/S: alliances

7.2.29. IFAD TS A/S: recent contract wins

7.3. Key Foreign Companies

7.3.1. Lockheed Martin Denmark: overview

7.3.2. Lockheed Martin Denmark: products and services

7.3.3. Lockheed Martin Denmark: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.4. Lockheed Martin Denmark: alliances

7.3.5. Lockheed Martin Denmark: recent contract wins

7.3.6. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: overview

7.3.7. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: defense products

7.3.8. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.9. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: alliances

7.3.10. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita

8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$ Bn

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services

8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income

8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per US$

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a % of GDP

8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit

8.1.10. Goods Exports as a % of GDP

8.1.11. Goods Imports as a % of GDP

8.1.12. Services Imports as a % of GDP

8.1.13. Services Exports as a % of GDP

8.1.14. Net Foreign Direct Investment

8.1.15. Net FDI as a percentage of GDP

8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Figure 1: Danish Defense Expenditure (DKK Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 2: Danish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion),2013-2022

Figure 3: Danish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP Growth, 2013-2022

Figure 4:DanishDefense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022

Figure 5: Danish Defense Capital Expenditure (DKK Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 6: Danish Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2013-2022

Figure 7: Danish Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022

Figure 8: Danish Homeland Security Budget (DKK Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 9: Danish Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2013-2022

Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2017

Figure 11: Terrorism Index, 2017

Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022

Figure 13: Benchmarking with World's Largest and Top Regional Defense Spenders (US$ Billion), 2017 and 2022

Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2017

Figure 15: Danish Fighters Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027

Figure 16: Danish Armored Personnel Vehicles Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027

Figure 17: Danish Military IT-Networking Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027

Figure 18: Denmark Defense Import Trend, 2011-2015 (TIV values)

Figure 19: Denmark Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 20: Denmark Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 21: Denmark Defense exports by Value (%), 2011-2015

Figure 22: Denmark Defense exports by Country (%), 2011-2015

Figure 23: Denmark Defense exports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 24: Industry Dynamics Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 25: Denmark's GDP per capita (US$), 2015-2025

Figure 26: Denmark's Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn),2015-2025

Figure 27: Denmark's Exports of goods and services (current LCU Bn), 2005-2014

Figure 28: Denmark's Imports of goods and services (current LCU Bn), 2005-2014

Figure 29: Denmark's gross national disposable income (US$ Bn), 2005-2014

Figure 30: Denmark's LCU per US$, 2015-2024

Figure 31: Denmark's Market Capitalization of listed Companies (US$ Bn), 2005-2012

Figure 32: Denmark's Market Capitalization of listed companies as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 33: Denmark's Government Cash Surplus/deficit as a % of GDP,2005-2012

Figure 34: Denmark's Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 35: Denmark's Goods Imports as a % of GDP,2005-2014

Figure 36: Denmark's Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 37: Denmark's Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 38: Denmark's Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ BN), 2005-2014

Figure 39: Denmark's Net FDI as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 40: Denmark's Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Bn), 2003-2012

Table 1: Danish Army Organization

Table 2: Danish Army Strength

Table 3: Danish Navy Strength

Table 4: Danish Air Force Strength

Table 5: Danish Ongoing Procurement Programs

Table 6: Danish Future Procurement Programs

Table 7: Danish Defense Expenditure (DKK billion & US$ billion), 2013-2022

Table 8: Danish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2013-2022

Table 9: Danish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022

Table 10: Danish Defense Capital Expenditure (DKK Billion & US$ Million), 2013-2022

Table 11: Danish Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022

Table 12: Danish Homeland Security Expenditure (DKK Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022

Table 13: Terrorism Index, 2017

Table 14: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022

Table 15: Danish Budget Formation Timetable:

Table 16: Offset Regulations in Denmark

Table 17: Systematic A/S-Product Focus

Table 18: Systematic A/S: Alliances

Table 19: Systematic A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 20: Terma A/S-Product Focus

Table 21: Terma A/S: Alliances

Table 22: Terma A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 23: Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS-Product Focus

Table 24: Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: Alliances

Table 25: Danish Aerotech A/S-Product Focus

Table 26: Danish Aerotech A/S: Alliances

Table 27: Danish Aerotech A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 28: Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S-Product Focus

Table 29: Falck Schmidt Defense Systems: Alliances

Table 30: Falck Schmidt Defense Systems: Recent contract wins

Table 31: IFAD TS A/S-Product Focus

Table 32: IFAD TS A/S: Alliances

Table 33: IFAD TS A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 34: Lockheed Martin Denmark-Product Focus

Table 35: Lockheed Martin Denmark: Alliances

Table 36: Lockheed Martin Denmark: Recent Contract Wins

Table 37: TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S-Product Focus

Table 38: TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: Alliances

Table 39: TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: Recent Contract Wins

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Systematic A/S, Terma A/S, Copenhagen Sensor Technology (CST) APS, Danish Aerotech A/S, Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S (FSDS), IFAD TS A/S, Lockheed Martin Denmark and TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S

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