Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023


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Executive Summary

Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023

Summary

The Future of the Danish Defense Industry-Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2023, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Danish defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following-

The Danish defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Danish defense industry during 2019-2023, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the Danish defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Danish defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Scope

Denmark's military expenditure, valued at USD3.56 billion in 2018, registered a declining growth rate of -0.93% during 2014-2018. Following the fall of the Berlin wall, the assertive behavior of Russia and the growing instability in North Africa and Middle East has driven the country to focus on modernizing the military with advanced equipment, alongside its NATO allies. In mid-October 2017, the Danish government released its next six year defense spending guidelines outlining an increase in the defense budget by 20% over the next six years. Over the forecast period, the country's defense budget is expected to increase from USD3.7 billion in 2019 to USD5.5 billion in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of 10.51%.

On a cumulative basis, during 2019-2023, the country is expected to invest USD22.2 billion for defense purposes, of which USD2.7 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements. The government's well-defined military modernization plans to counter influence of Russia and its duties with respect to NATO are expected to corner significant part of investmment.

The MoD is expected to invest in fighters & multi-role Aircraft, Armored Personnel Carrier (APC), and Land-based C4ISR over the coming years.

Reasons to buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Danish defense industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the Danish defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts



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Table of Contents

1. Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. Executive Summary

3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Current Market Scenario

3.1.1. Primary threat perception

3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy

3.1.3. Military Fleet Size

3.1.4. Procurement Programs

3.1.5. Ongoing procurement programs

3.1.6. Future procurement programs

3.1.7. Top Procurement Programs By Value (USD Million) 2018-2023

3.1.8. Social, Political and Economic Environment & Support for Defense Projects

3.1.9. Political & Strategic Alliances

3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.2.1. Danish defense expenditure expected to register a CAGR of 10.51% over the forecast period

3.2.2. Growing Russian assertiveness and participation in NATO peacekeeping operations are expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period

3.2.3. Denmark's defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease

3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation

3.3.1. Capital expenditure is expected to account for 12.3% of the defense budget over 2019-2023

3.3.2. Capital expenditure is expected to record a CAGR of 10.91% during the forecast period, 2019-2023

3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure set to increase over the forecast period

3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.4.1. Danish homeland security expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 1.30% during 2019-2023

3.4.2. Cyber security and counter terrorism are main homeland security concerns

3.4.3. Denmark falls under "some risk" by terrorism category

3.4.4. Denmark faces moderate level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.4.5. Denmark has a terrorism index score of 1.5

3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.5.1. Denmark defense budget expected to decline over the forecast period

3.5.2. Danish defense budget expected to remain low compared to other European countries

3.5.3. Denmark allocates a low share of GDP for defense compared to most European countries

3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.6.1. Top 10 Defense market sectors by value (USD Million)-Projections over period 2018-2023

3.6.2. Multi-role Aircraft

3.6.3. Land Based C4ISR

3.6.4. Armored Personnel Carrier (APC)

4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period

4.1.2. Denmark sourced most of its arms imports from the US

4.1.3. Sensors and naval weapons dominate military hardware imports

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. Arms exports to recover during the forecast period

4.2.2. Brazil, Algeria. Finland, and Oman are the main purchasers of Danish arms

4.2.3. Sensors and ships are the main exported defense products

5. Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium

5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: low

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: medium to high

5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high

6. Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Budgeting Process

6.2. Procurement Policy & Process

6.3. Market Regulation

6.3.1. Offset policy aids development of domestic defense industry

6.3.2. Denmark permits 100% foreign direct investment in the defense sector

6.4. Market Entry Route

6.4.1. Forming subsidiaries or acquiring Danish companies are good market entry opportunities

6.4.2. Forming consortiums and product development agreements open new market entry strategy choices

6.4.3. Joint weapon development programs are a viable market entry opportunity

6.5. Key Challenges

6.5.1. Low defense budget and limited technological capability hinder market entry by foreign companies

6.5.2. Preference given to procurements from US and Nordic countries

7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Key Domestic Companies

7.2.1. Systematic A/S: overview

7.2.2. Systematic A/S: products and services

7.2.3. Systematic A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.4. Systematic A/S: alliances

7.2.5. Systematic A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.6. Terma A/S: overview

7.2.7. Terma A/S: products

7.2.8. Terma A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.9. Terma A/S: alliances

7.2.10. Terma A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.11. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: overview

7.2.12. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: products

7.2.13. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.14. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: alliances

7.2.15. Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: recent contract wins

7.2.16. Danish Aerotech A/S: overview

7.2.17. Danish Aerotech A/S: products

7.2.18. Danish Aerotech A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.19. Danish Aerotech A/S: alliances

7.2.20. Danish Aerotech A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.21. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: overview 90

7.2.22. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: products 90

7.2.23. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives 90

7.2.24. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: alliances

7.2.25. Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S: recent contract wins

7.2.26. IFAD TS A/S: overview

7.2.27. IFAD TS A/S: products

7.2.28. IFAD TS A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.29. IFAD TS A/S: alliances

7.2.30. IFAD TS A/S: recent contract wins

7.3. Key Foreign Companies

7.3.1. Lockheed Martin: overview

7.3.2. Lockheed Martin: products and services

7.3.3. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.4. Lockheed Martin: alliances

7.3.5. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins

7.3.6. Lockheed Martin Corp.: financial analysis

7.3.7. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: overview

7.3.8. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: defense products

7.3.9. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.10. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: alliances

7.3.11. TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: recent contract wins

8. Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita

8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current USDBillion

8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services

8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services

8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income

8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per USD, Period Average

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a % of GDP

8.1.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit, as a percentage of DKK (LCU)

8.1.10. Goods Exports as a % of GDP

8.1.11. Goods Imports as a % of GDP

8.1.12. Services Imports as a % of GDP

8.1.13. Services Exports as a % of GDP

8.1.14. Foreign Direct Investment, BoP, Current Values in USD Billions

8.1.15. Net FDI as a percentage of GDP

8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9. Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

List of Figures

Figure 1: Danish Defense Expenditure (DKK Billion), 2014-2023

Figure 2: Danish Defense Expenditure (USD Billion), 2014-2023

Figure 3: Danish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditures Percentage of GDP Growth, 2014-2023

Figure 4:DanishDefense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023

Figure 5: Danish Defense Capital Expenditure (DKK Billion), 2014-2023

Figure 6: Danish Defense Capital Expenditure (USD billion), 2014-2023

Figure 7: Danish Per Capita Defense Expenditure (USD), 2014-2023

Figure 8: Danish Homeland Security Budget (DKK Billion), 2014-2023

Figure 9: Danish Homeland Security Budget (USD Billion), 2014-2023

Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2018

Figure 11: Terrorism Index, 2018

Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023

Figure 13: Benchmarking with World's Largest and Top Regional Defense Spenders (USD Billion), 2018 and 2023

Figure 14: Benchmarking with Large Defense Spenders as % of GDP-2018

Figure 15: Danish Fighters Aircraft Market Size (USD Million), 2018-2023

Figure 16: Danish Land Based C4ISR Market Size (USD Million), 2018-2023

Figure 17: Danish Armored Personnel Vehicles Market Size (USD Million), 2018-2023

Figure 18: Danish Defense Procurements In Terms Of Their Supplier Relationships

Figure 19: Denmark Defense Import Trend, 2012-2016 (TIV values)

Figure 20: Denmark Defense Imports by Country (%), 2012-2016

Figure 21: Denmark Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016

Figure 22: Denmark Defense exports by Value, 2012-2016 (TIV values)

Figure 23: Denmark Defense exports by Country (%), 2012-2016

Figure 24: Denmark Defense exports by Category (%), 2012-2016

Figure 25: Industry Dynamics-Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 26: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2012-2016

Figure 27: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2012-2016

Figure 28: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD Billion), 2012-2016

Figure 29: Denmark's GDP per capita (USD), 2015-2025

Figure 30: Denmark's Gross Domestic Product (current USD Billion),2015-2025

Figure 31: Denmark's Exports of goods and services (current LCU Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 32: Denmark's Imports of goods and services (current LCU Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 33: Denmark's gross national disposable income (USD Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 34: Denmark's DKK per USD, 2015-2024

Figure 35: Denmark's Market Capitalization of listed Companies (USD Bilion), 2005-2012

Figure 36: Denmark's Market Capitalization of listed companies as a % of GDP, 2005-2012

Figure 37: Denmark's Government Cash Surplus/deficit as a % of GDP,2005-2012

Figure 38: Denmark's Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 39: Denmark's Goods Imports as a % of GDP,2005-2014

Figure 40: Denmark's Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 41: Denmark's Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 42: Denmark's FDI, net (BoP, Current USD Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 43: Denmark's Net FDI as a percentage of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 44: Denmark's Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU Billion), 2005-2014

List of Tables

Table 1: Danish Army Organization

Table 2: Danish Army Strength

Table 3: Danish Navy Strength

Table 4: Danish Air Force Strength

Table 5: Danish Ongoing Procurement Programs

Table 6: Danish Future Procurement Programs

Table 7: Top Danish Defense Programs by Value (USD Million) 2018-2023

Table 8: Danish Defense Expenditure (DKK billion & USD billion), 2014-2023

Table 9: Danish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP, 2014-2023

Table 10: Danish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2014-2023

Table 11: Danish Defense Capital Expenditure (DKK Billion & USD Million), 2014-2023

Table 12: Danish Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (USD), 2014-2023

Table 13: Danish Homeland Security Expenditure (DKK Billion & USD Billion), 2014-2023

Table 14: Terrorism Index, 2018

Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2014-2018 vs. 2019-2023

Table 16: Top 10 Danish Defense Market Sectors by Value (USD Million)-2018-2023

Table 17: Danish Budget Formation Timetable

Table 18: Offset Regulations in Denmark

Table 19: Top 10 Defense Suppliers in Danish Defense Industry-By Value (USD Million) 2018-2023

Table 20: Competitive Landscape of the Danish Defense Industry

Table 21: Systematic A/S-Product Focus

Table 22: Systematic A/S: Alliances

Table 23: Systematic A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 24: Terma A/S-Product Focus

Table 25: Terma A/S: Alliances

Table 26: Terma A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 27: Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS-Product Focus

Table 28: Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: Alliances

Table 29: Copenhagen Sensor Technology ApS: Recent Contract Wins

Table 30: Danish Aerotech A/S-Product Focus

Table 31: Danish Aerotech A/S: Alliances

Table 32: Danish Aerotech A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 33: Falck Schmidt Defense Systems A/S-Product Focus

Table 34: Falck Schmidt Defense Systems: Alliances

Table 35: Falck Schmidt Defense Systems: Recent contract wins

Table 36: IFAD TS A/S-Product Focus

Table 37: IFAD TS A/S: Alliances

Table 38: IFAD TS A/S: Recent Contract Wins

Table 39: Lockheed Martin-Product Focus

Table 40: Lockheed Martin Denmark: Alliances

Table 41: Lockheed Martin Denmark: Recent Contract Wins

Table 42: TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S-Product Focus

Table 43: TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: Alliances

Table 44: TenCate Advanced Armour Denmark A/S: Recent Contract Wins

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