Future of the US Defense Industry- Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the US Defense Industry- Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021


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Executive Summary

The Future of the US Defence Industry- Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defence industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

Over the historic period, the US defence expenditure registered a growth rate of-2.63%,decreasing from USD 646billion in 2012 to USD 580 billion in 2016

The US military expenditure, valued at USD 580billion in 2016, is expected to increase to USD 599 billion by 2021, registering a CAGR of 0.71% over the forecast period

The US military expenditure will be driven by the efforts to retain its military supremacy and initiatives to replace the aged and worn-out weapons that have been used in the Iraq and Afghanistan wars

The Defence Ministry is expected to procure, Networking, IT Software, Hardware, Multi-Role Aircraft MRO and Transport Aircraft MRO

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the US defence industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

The US defence industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the US defence industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country's expenditure and modernization patterns

Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defence budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defence market participants within the country

Porter's Five Force analysis of the US defence industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country's imports and exports over the last five years

Market opportunities: details of the top five defence investment opportunities over the next10 years

Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the US defence industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the US defence industry market trends for the coming five years

The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defence manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

A deep qualitative analysis of the US defence industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter's Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts



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1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?

1.2. Definitions

1.3. Summary Methodology

1.4. SDI Terrorism Index

1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defence Market Size Historical and Forecast

3.1.1. US defence expenditure is expected to increase at a CAGR of 0.71% over the forecast period

3.1.2. Initiatives to retain military superiority, equipment modernization programs, turbulence in the Middle East, rising tension with China, and Research and Development activities are expected to drive defence spending

3.1.3. Defence expenditure as a percentage of GDP is estimated to decline over the forecast period

3.1.4. Per capita defence spending projected to decline over the forecast period

3.2. Analysis of Defence Budget Allocation

3.2.1. Total DoD budget forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 0.71%

3.2.2. Share of revenue expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period

3.2.3. Navy to receive the major allocation of the defence budget over the forecast period

3.2.4. Allocation for defence expenditure on army expected to increase over the forecast period

3.2.5. Naval defence budget is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1.55% over the forecast period

3.2.6. Air Force expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period

3.2.7. Expenditure on the defence-wide category of armed forces is projected to grow at a CAGR of 0.26% over the forecast period

3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast

3.3.1. The US homeland security expenditure to reach USD 67.5 billion by 2021

3.3.2. Prevention of terrorism, securing and managing borders, safeguarding cyberspace and disaster management to drive homeland security expenditure over the forecast period

3.3.3. The nation is at "highly affected" category of terrorism

3.3.4. The US has a terrorism index score of 4.6

3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets

3.4.1. The US will dominate global military spending over the forecast period

3.4.2. US defence budget is much higher than other leading spenders

3.4.3. US is one of the top defence spenders in terms of expenditure as a percentage of GDP

3.4.4. The US faces some threat from foreign terrorist organizations

3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators

3.5.1. Networking

3.5.2. Multi-role Aircraft

3.5.3. IT Software

3.5.4. Multi Role Aircraft MRO

3.5.5. Hardware

3.5.6. Transport Aircraft MRO

4 Defence Procurement Market Dynamics

4.1. Import Market Dynamics

4.1.1. US primarily imports defence equipment to build strategic relations

4.1.2. Defence imports expected to increase over the forecast period

4.1.3. Germany and the UK dominated the US defence imports during the historic period

4.1.4. Aircraft account for majority of arms imports

4.2. Export Market Dynamics

4.2.1. US arms exports are driven by political and economic factors

4.2.2. Arms exports expected to increase in the period 2016-2020

4.2.3. US defence exports to increase during the forecast period

4.2.4. Aircraft are the most exported defence equipment

4.2.5. The US maintains controlled defence export policy

5 Industry Dynamics

5.1. Five Forces Analysis

5.1.1. Bargaining power of Supplier: Low to Medium

5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: High

5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium

5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low to high

5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Low to high

6 Market Entry Strategy

6.1. Market Regulation

6.1.1. The US defence industry is open to FDI

6.1.2. No offset policy exists in the US

6.1.3. US arms trade is heavily regulated

6.2. Market Entry Route

6.2.1. Foreign OEMs enter the market through the acquisition of domestic defence companies

6.2.2. Joint product development programs, an attractive market entry route

6.2.3. Formation of partnerships with domestic defence firms provide good market entry opportunities

6.2.4. Direct sale of defence equipment provides foreign OEMs with an opportunity to enter the market

6.3. Key Challenges

6.3.1. Sequestration and budget cuts

6.3.2. Decreasing economies of scale and defence inflation

6.3.3. Declining profit margins deter growth of domestic defence companies

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview

7.2. Domestic Public Companies

7.2.1. Lockheed Martin Corp.: overview

7.2.2. Lockheed Martin Corp.: products

7.2.3. Lockheed Martin Corp.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.4. Lockheed Martin Corp.: alliances

7.2.5. Lockheed Martin Corp.: recent contract wins

7.2.6. Lockheed Martin Corp.: financial analysis

7.2.7. Raytheon: overview

7.2.8. Raytheon: products

7.2.9. Raytheon: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.10. Raytheon: alliances

7.2.11. Raytheon: recent contract wins

7.2.12. Raytheon: financial analysis

7.2.13. General Dynamics: overview

7.2.14. General Dynamics: products

7.2.15. General Dynamics: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.16. General Dynamics: alliances

7.2.17. General Dynamics: recent contract wins

7.2.18. General Dynamics: financial analysis

7.2.19. Boeing: overview

7.2.20. Boeing: products

7.2.21. Boeing: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.22. Boeing: alliances

7.2.23. Boeing: recent contract wins

7.2.24. Boeing: financial analysis

7.2.25. L-3 Communications Corp.: overview

7.2.26. L-3 Communications Corp.: products

7.2.27. L-3 Communications Corp.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.28. L-3 Communications Corp.: alliances

7.2.29. L-3 Communications Corp.: recent contract wins

7.2.30. L-3 Communications Corp.: financial analysis

7.2.31. Northrop Grumman Corp.: overview

7.2.32. Northrop Grumman Corp.: products

7.2.33. Northrop Grumman Corp.: recent contracts and strategic initiatives

7.2.34. Northrop Grumman Corporation: alliances

7.2.35. Northrop Grumman Corp.: recent contract wins

7.2.36. Northrop Grumman Corp.: financial analysis

7.2.37. Science Application International Corp. (SAIC): overview

7.2.38. Science Application International Corp. (SAIC): products

7.2.39. Science Application International Corp. (SAIC): recent contracts and strategic initiatives

7.2.40. Science Application International Corp. (SAIC): alliances

7.2.41. Science Application International Corp. (SAIC): recent contract wins

7.2.42. Science Application International Corp. (SAIC): financial analysis

7.2.43. Honeywell International Inc.: overview

7.2.44. Honeywell International Inc.: products and services

7.2.45. Honeywell International Inc.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.2.46. Honeywell International Inc.: alliances

7.2.47. Honeywell International Inc.: recent contract wins

7.2.48. Honeywell International Inc.: financial analysis

7.3. Domestic Private Companies

7.3.1. Sikorsky Aircraft: overview

7.3.2. Sikorsky Aircraft: products

7.3.3. Sikorsky Aircraft: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.4. Sikorsky Aircraft: alliances

7.3.5. Sikorsky Aircraft: recent contract wins

7.3.6. General Electric Aviation: overview

7.3.7. General Electric Aviation: products

7.3.8. General Electric Aviation: recent contracts and strategic initiatives

7.3.9. General Electric Aviation: alliances

7.3.10. General Electric Aviation: recent contract wins

7.3.11. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.: overview

7.3.12. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.: products and services

7.3.13. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.14. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.: alliances

7.3.15. Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.: recent contract wins

7.3.16. Textron Marine and Land Systems: overview

7.3.17. Textron Marine and Land Systems: products

7.3.18. Textron Marine and Land Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives

7.3.19. Textron Marine and Land Systems: alliances

7.3.20. Textron Marine and Land Systems: recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk

8.1. Economic Performance

8.1.1. GDP Per Capita

8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices

8.1.3. Exports of goods and services in local currency

8.1.4. Imports of goods and services in local currency

8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income (USD Billion)

8.1.6. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies

8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)

8.1.8. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP

8.1.9. Goods exports as % of GDP

8.1.10. Goods imports as % of GDP

8.1.11. Service Imports as % of GDP

8.1.12. Service Exports as % of GDP

8.1.13. Foreign Direct Investment

8.1.14. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP

8.2. Minerals

8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output

9 Appendix

9.1. About SDI

9.2. Disclaimer

Figure 1: US Defence Expenditure (USD Billion),2012-2021

Figure 2: US GDP Growth vs. Defence Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2021

Figure 3: US Per Capita Defence Expenditure (USD ), 2012-2021

Figure 4: US Defence Budget Split by Base Budget, OCO, and Other Funds (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Figure 5: US Defence Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2012-2021

Figure 6: US Defence Expenditure Allocation for Army, Air Force, Navy, and Defence-wide(%),2012-2021

Figure 7: US Defence Budget Allocation for Army (USD billion), 2012-2021

Figure 8: US Defence Budget Allocation for Navy (USD billion), 2012-2021

Figure 9: US Defence Budget Allocation for Air Force (USD billion), 2012-2021

Figure 10: US Defence Budget Allocation for Defence-Wide Expenditure (USD billion),

Figure 11: US Homeland Security Expenditure (USD billion), 2012-2021

Figure 12: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016

Figure 13: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016

Figure 14: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Figure 15: Defence Expenditure of the World's Largest Military Spenders (USD Billion), 2016 and 2021

Figure 16: Defence Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016

Figure 17: Networking Market Size (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 18: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 19: IT Software Market Size (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 20: Multi-Role Aircraft MRO Market Size (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 21: Hardware Market Size (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 22: Transport Aircraft MRO Market Size (USD Billion), 2016-2026

Figure 23: US Defence Import Trend (USD Million), 2011-2015 (TIV Values)

Figure 24: US Defence Imports by Country (%),2011-2015

Figure 25: US Defence Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015

Figure 26: US Defence exports(USD Million),2011-2015

Figure 27: US Defence Exports by Country (%),2011-2015

Figure 28: US Defence Exports by Category (%),2011-2015

Figure 29: Industry Dynamics-Porter's Five Forces Analysis

Figure 30: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 31: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 32: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 33: Raytheon-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 34: Raytheon-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 35: Raytheon-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 36: General Dynamics-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 37: General Dynamics-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 38: General Dynamics-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 39: Boeing-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 40: Boeing-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 41: Boeing-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 42: L-3 Communications Corp.-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 43: L-3 Communications Corp.-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 44: L-3 Communications Corp. Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 45: Northrop Grumman Corp.-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 46: Northrop Grumman Corp.-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 47: Northrop Grumman Corp.-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 48: Science Application International Corp. (SAIC)-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 49: Science Application International Corp. (SAIC)-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 50: Science Application International Corp. (SAIC)-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD million), 2011-2015

Figure 51: Honeywell International Inc.-Revenue Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 52: Honeywell International Inc.-Operating Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 53: Honeywell International Inc.-Net Profit Trend Analysis (USD billion), 2011-2015

Figure 54: US GDP Per Capita, 2015-2025

Figure 55: US GDP, Current Prices (USD Billion), 2015-2025

Figure 56: US Exports of goods and services (USD Billion), 2005-2013

Figure 57: US Imports of goods and services (USD Billion), 2005-2013

Figure 58: US Gross National Disposable Income (USD Billion), 2005-2013

Figure 59: US Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (USD Billion), 2005-2012

Figure 60: US Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012

Figure 61: US Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2005-2013

Figure 62: US Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 63: US Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 64: US Service Imports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 65: US Service Exports as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 66: US Foreign Direct Investment (USD Billion), 2005-2014

Figure 67: US Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2014

Figure 68: US Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Billion), 2005-2014

Table 1: US Defence Expenditure (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Table 2: US GDP Growth vs. Defence Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2012-2021

Table 3: US Per Capita Defence Expenditure (USD ), 2012-2021

Table 4: US Defence Budget Split by Base Budget, OCO, and Other Funds (USD Billion), 2012-2021

Table 5: US Defence Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021

Table 6: US Defence Expenditure Allocation for Army, Air Force, Navy, and Defence-wide (%), 2012-2021

Table 7: US Defence Budget Allocation for Army (USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 8: US Defence Budget Allocation for Navy (USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 9: US Defence Budget Allocation for Air Force (USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 10: US Defence Budget Allocation for Defence-Wide Expenditure (USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 11: US Homeland Security Expenditure (USD billion), 2012-2021

Table 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets-2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021

Table 13: SDI Terrorism Index

Table 14: Lockheed Martin Corp-product focus

Table 15: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Alliances

Table 16: Lockheed Martin Corp.-Recent Contract Wins

Table 17: Raytheon-Product Focus

Table 18: Raytheon-Alliances

Table 19: Raytheon-Recent Contract Wins

Table 20: General Dynamics-product focus

Table 21: General Dynamics-Alliances

Table 22: General Dynamics-Recent Contract Wins

Table 23: Boeing-product focus

Table 24: Boeing-Alliances

Table 25: Boeing-Recent Contract Wins

Table 26: L-3 Communications Corp.-Product Focus

Table 27: L-3 Communications Corp.-Alliances

Table 28: L-3 Communications Corp.-Recent Contract Wins

Table 29: Northrop Grumman Corp.- Product Focus

Table 30: Northrop Grumman Corporation-Alliances

Table 31: Northrop Grumman Corp.-Recent Contract Wins

Table 32: Science Application International Corp. (SAIC)-Product Focus

Table 33: Science Application International Corp. (SAIC)-Alliances

Table 34: Science Application International Corp. (SAIC)-Recent Contract Wins

Table 35: Honeywell International Inc.-product focus

Table 36: Honeywell International Inc.-Alliances

Table 37: Honeywell International Inc.- Recent Contract Wins

Table 38: Sikorsky Aircraft-Product Focus

Table 39: Sikorsky Aircraft-Alliances

Table 40: Sikorsky Aircraft-Recent Contract Wins

Table 41: General Electric Aviation-Product Focus

Table 42: General Electric Aviation-Alliances

Table 43: General Electric Aviation-Recent Contract Wins

Table 44: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.-Product Focus

Table 45: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.-Alliances

Table 46: Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc.-Recent Contract Wins

Table 47: Textron Marine and Land Systems-Product Focus

Table 48: Textron Marine and Land Systems-Alliances

Table 49: Textron Marine and Land Systems-Recent Contract Wins

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