Executive Summary
The report titled "Philippines Real Estate Market Outlook to 2020 - Driven by Rapid Growth of BPO Sector and Increased Demand of Retail and Commercial Properties" provides a comprehensive analysis of the real estate market in Philippines. The report covers various aspects such as market size of Philippines, Cebu, Davao and Metro Manila real estate market, segmentation on the basis of major provinces, sectors, rental and sales segmentation in residential, commercial, retail and hotel space. The report also covers the market shares of major real estate companies in Philippines as well as the revenues of major players in the Philippines real estate market.
Philippines real estate market is driven by rapid urbanization, increasing employment by the BPO sector, disposable income, surging OFW remittances and growing real estate investments. The real estate market registered revenues of USD ~ million in 2015. The increase in personal disposable income of consumers, growth in commercial and residential projects has created a demand of real estate property in Philippines. The Philippines real estate market has grown at a CAGR of ~% from USD ~ million in FY’2010 to USD ~ million in FY’2015
The Philippines real estate market has been penetrated with high investments arising from presence of both international and domestic players in the market. So far, the market has been concentrated in the terms of revenues, since more than ~% of the revenues has been accrued to major players namely Ayala Land Inc, Robinson Corporation and S.M Prime Holdings. Ayala land Inc. has been leading the market with ~% share in the overall revenues from real estate sector. Other players include Century properties, DMCI Homes, Federal Land, Property Company of Friends, Filinvest Land Inc. and others.
The market for real estate in Philippines is changing at a rapid pace. Growing remittances from overseas Filipino workers, a rapid shift from offline real estate purchase to online portals, a surging IT-BPO sector leading to a huge demand for office spaces and rapid employment generation, increasing disposable income and rising tourism is escalating the demand for all the sectors including residential, commercial, retail and hotel sector.
Market revenues from the real estate market in Philippines are expected to expand to USD ~ million in FY’2020, growing with a CAGR of ~% from FY’2015 to FY’2020.
Metro Manila Market
Metro Manila contributes the largest share in the Philippines real estate. The market for real estate in Metro Manila posted revenue of USD ~ billion in 2015 as compared to USD ~ billion in 2010. The market witnessed a CAGR of ~ during 2010-2015. Factors attributed to a significant growth in the province include high take-ups in the office sector, continuously expanding retail sector, followed by major expansion in the BPO industry.
The retail sector contributed to the highest market share in the Manila real estate market accounting for ~ % share in 2015. The sector grew at a CAGR of ~ % during 2010-2015. The demand for residential apartments is backed by increasing popularity of condominium, rising BPO sector which is leading to an increase in the number of employees, thereby leading to a rise in demand for residential space in Manila. The hotel market in Metro Manila exhibited a compounded annual growth of ~ % during 2010- 2015 on the back of rising tourism in the country.
The real estate market in Manila is expected to witness a rapid growth during the forecast period 2016-2020. The market is expected to witness a CAGR of ~% during the period owing to a tremendous growth an expansion in the retail sector followed by increasing number of residential units.
Cebu Real Estate Market
Cebu, being the second largest province in the Philippines also contributed a major chunk of revenue to the real estate industry in the Philippines. Market witnessed a rapid growth, posting revenues amounting to USD ~ billion in 2015. The market grew at a CAGR of ~% during 2010-2015, owing to surge in overseas remittances from Filipinos abroad, increasing demand for middle range and economic housing projects by OFWs. Huge investments by major real estate developers in Philippines accompanied by low interest rates have led to an increase in the construction and demand for residential units. The residential real estate sector grew at a CAGR of ~% during 2010-2015.
Davao Real Estate Market
The real estate market of Davao flourished with growing population, increasing construction activities, lower rentals as compared to Metro Manila, improvement in infrastructure and migration of people to Davao owing to rapidly growing employment opportunities in the BPO sector. Though Davao, contributes only a fraction of share in the overall Philippines real estate market, the province is certainly becoming a choice of property purchase in Philippines especially the residential property due to high urbanization. The real estate market in Davao grew at a CAGR of ~% during 2010-2015, posting revenue of USD ~ million in 2015.
Key Topics Covered in the Report:
- The market size of the Philippines, Metro Manila, Metro Cebu and Davao Real Estate market
- Market segmentation of Manila Real Estate Market by Residential, Commercial, Retail and Hotel Sector and on the basis of Rental and Real Estate Sales market.
- Market segmentation of Davao Real Estate Market by Residential, Commercial, Retail and Hotel Sector and on the basis of Rental and Real Estate Sales market.
- Market segmentation of Cebu Real Estate Market by Residential, Commercial, Retail and Hotel Sector and on the basis of Rental and Real Estate Sales market.
- Trends and Development in the Philippines Real Estate market
- Role of government in Philippines Real Estate market
- Market Share of major players in the Philippines Real Estate market
- Competitive landscape of the major players in the Philippines Real Estate Market
- Snapshot of Online Real Estate market in Philippines
- Philippines Real Estate Brokerage Market
- Philippines Real Estate Financing Market
- Future Outlook and Projections of Philippines Real Estate Market
- Macro Economic Variables affecting the Philippines Real Estate market
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Ken Research
Ankur Gupta, Head Marketing & Communications
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1. Executive Summary
Metro Manila Real Estate Market
Cebu Real Estate Market
Davao Real Estate Market
Philippines Online Real Estate Market
Philippines Real Estate Financing
Philippines Brokerage Market
Competition Analysis
1.1. Market Definition
1.2. Abbreviations
1.3. Consolidated Approach
Market Sizing Approach
1.4. Limitations of the Model
Multi Factor Based Sensitivity Model
Final Conclusion
2. Philippines Real Estate Market Size and Introduction, 2010-2015
3. Metro Manila Real Estate Market
3.1. Metro Manila Real Estate Market Size, 2010-2015
4. Metro Manila Real Estate Market Segmentation
4.1. Residential Real Estate Sector
4.1.1. By Rental & Sales Residential Real Estate Sector
4.2. By Commercial/Office Real Estate Sector
4.2.1. By Rental and Sale Commercial Real Estate Market
By Demand from Major Commercial Enterprises
4.3. By Retail Real Estate Sector
4.3.1. By Retail Real Estate Rental Sector Snapshot
4.4. By Hotel Real Estate Sector
4.4.1. Pricing Analysis of Different sectors in Manila for Major Cities, 2015
4.5. Trends and Developments in Metro Manila Real Estate Market
Growing IT-BPO Industry
Increasing Demand from Residential Sector
Infrastructure Plans in Mega Manila Boost Expansion
Growth in Tourism Further Encourage Hotel Development in Manila
4.6. Metro Manila Real Estate Market Future Outlook and Projections, 2016-2020
5. Metro Cebu Real Estate Market
5.1. Cebu Real Estate Market Size, 2010-2015
By Sectors-Residential, Office, Hotel and Retail, 2015
5.2. By Residential Real Estate Sector
5.2.1. By Rental and Sale Residential Real Estate Sector
5.3. By Commercial/Office Real Estate Sector
5.3.1. By Rental and Sale Commercial Real Estate Sector
5.4. By Retail Real Estate Sector
5.5. By Hotel Real Estate Sector
5.5.1. Pricing Analysis of Different sectors in Cebu for Major cities, 2015
5.6. Cebu Real Estate Market Future Outlook and Projections, 2016-2020
5.7. Trends and Developments in Cebu Real Estate Market
Strong Economic Growth in Cebu
Mounting Demand for Residential Units
Outsourcing and Hotel Industry Fuel Retail Expansion in Cebu
6. Davao Real Estate Market 2010-2015
Davao Real Estate Market Segmentation- By Residential, Office, Retail and Hotel, 2010-2015
6.1. By Residential Real Estate Sector
6.1.1. By Rental and Sale Residential Real Estate Sector
6.2. By Office/Commercial Real Estate Sector
6.3. By Retail Real Estate Sector
6.3.1. By Rental Retail Real Estate Sector
6.4. By Hotel Real Estate Sector
6.5. Trends and Developments in Davao Real Estate Market
Increasing Income Trigger the Growth of Retail Real Estate Sector in Davao
High Demand For Condominium
6.6. Davao Real Estate Market Future Outlook and Projections, 2016-2020
7. Growth Drivers in Philippines Real Estate Market
OFW Remittances
Shift from Offline to Online Real Estate Portals
Surging IT-BPO Sector
8. Issues and Challenges in Philippines Real Estate Market
Increasing Rentals
Weak Public Infrastructure and Low Property Market Transparency
Access to Financing
Increased Competition
9. Company Profiles of Major Players in Philippines Real Estate Market
9.1. Ayala Land Inc.
9.1.1. Company Overview
9.1.2. Business Strategies
Expanding Hotel Business
New Real Estate Projects and Expansions
9.2. S.M Prime Holdings
9.2.1. Company Overview
9.2.2. Business Strategies
Opening up new malls
Increasing Investments
SM Prime Collaborates With Ayala Land Inc. for Expansion
Booming BPO Sector
9.3. Vista Land
9.3.1. Company Overview
9.3.2. Business Strategies
Vista Land Expands in the Provinces
Vista land Buys 88% Stake in Starmalls for USD 691 Million
9.4. Filinvest Land Inc.
9.4.1. Company Overview
9.4.2. Business Strategies
Continuous Focus on Sustainable Growth
Portfolio expansion
Retail space expansion
9.5. Robinson Land Corporation
9.5.1. Company Overview
9.5.2. Business Strategies
Expansion in the Retail Sector
Office Space Expansion
Expanding The Budget Hotel Segment
9.6. Profriends Group Inc
9.6.1. Company Overview
9.6.2. Business Strategies
Focus on Expansion
Plans to Expand Geographical Presence by Identifying New and Potential Growth Areas for Land Banking
9.7. DMCI Homes
9.7.1. Company Overview
9.7.2. Business Strategies
Construction of New Residential Units
Increasing Investments for New housing projects
9.8. Century Properties
9.8.1. Company Overview
9.8.2. Business Strategies
Expansion in Residential, Office and Retail Sector
Strengthening Commercial Portfolio
Expansion outside Metro Manila
Plan Century 2020
9.8.3. Financial Performance, 2010-2015
9.9. Federal Land Inc.
9.9.1. Company Overview
9.9.2. Business Strategies
Real Estate Project Launches
9.9.3. Financial Performance, 2010-2015
9.10. Megaworld Corporation
9.10.1. Company Overview
9.10.2. Business Strategies
To Sustain a Diversified Development Portfolio
Allocates USD 4.99 Billion for Expansion
10. Government Role and Regulations in Philippines Real Estate Market
10.1. Residential and Commercial Lease Terms in Philippines
10.2. Transaction Cost in Philippines Residential and Commercial Market
10.3. Ownership Restrictions
10.4. Real Estate Taxation
10.5. Mortgage Regulations
11. Snapshot on Philippines Real Estate Financing
11.1. Amount of Loan Disbursed For Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
11.1.1. Interest Rate on Housing Loan
11.2. Procedure of Obtaining Real Estate Finance in Philippines
12. Philippines Brokerage Industry Market Introduction, 2010-2015
12.1. Philippines Brokerage Industry Market Segmentation
12.1.1. By Rental and Sale Property Revenues, 2010-2015
12.2. Brokerage Rates in Philippines
12.3. Major Property Brokerage Houses In Philippines
12.4. Real Estate Brokerage Market Regulations
13. Snapshot of Philippines Online Real Estate Market
13.1. Philippines Online Real Estate Market Introduction, 2010-2015
13.2. Business Models Prevalent in Philippines Online Real Estate Market
13.3. Consumer Profiles in Philippines Online Real Estate Market
13.4. Competitive Landscape of Major Players in Philippines
14. Market Share of Major Players in Philippines Real Estate Market
15. Philippines Real Estate Market Future Outlook and Projections, 2016-2020
Factors Impacting the Most While Opting for a Real Estate Investment
15.1. Philippines Real Estate Market Future Outlook by Province, 2016-2020
15.2. Cause and Effect Relationship in Philippines Real Estate Market
15.3. Analyst Recommendations
15.3.1. Improve Access to Financing
15.3.2. Provide Incentives to Real Estate Developers
15.3.3. Boost Infrastructure Spending
15.3.4. Improving Housing Backlog
16. Macroeconomic Factors Affecting Philippines Real Estate Market
16.1. Number of Households
16.2. Urban Population
16.3. Inbound Tourists in Philippines
16.4. Disposable Income per Household in Philippines
Disclaimer
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Table 1-1: Correlation Matrix for Philippines Real Estate Market
Table 1-2: Regression Coefficients Output for Philippines Real Estate Market
Table 2-1: Philippines Real Estate Market Size in USD Million, By Provinces, 2010-2015
Table 3-1: Factors contributing to Manila Real Estate Market Revenues, 2010-2015
Table 4-1: Overview of Different Sectors in Metro Manila Real Estate Market
Table 4-2: Metro Manila Real Estate Market Revenues by Value by Sectors- Retail, Commercial/Office, Residential, Hotel in USD Million, 2010-2015
Table 4-3: Factors Contributing to the Growth in Metro Manila Residential Real Estate Sector
Table 4-4: Manila Residential Real Estate Sector Stock Supply and Occupied Stock in Units, 2010-2015
Table 4-5: Manila Commercial/Office Real Estate Sector Average Monthly Rentals and Capital Values, 2010-2015
Table 4-6: Manila Commercial/Office Real Estate Sector Average Occupancy, 2010-2015
Table 4-7: Total Stock of Premium & Grade A and Grade B Offices in sqm, 2010-2015
Table 4-8: Office Projects in Manila, 2015
Table 4-9: Factors Contributing to the Growth in Metro Manila Retail Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 4-10: Quarterly Rent of Retail Real Estate Sector in Manila, 2010-2015
Table 4-11: Average Occupancy of Retail Real Estate Sector in Metro Manila, 2010-2015
Table 4-12: Factors Contributing to the Growth in Metro Manila Hotel Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 4-13: Average Occupancy of Retail Real Estate Sector in Metro Manila, 2010-2015
Table 4-14: Average Hotel Room Rate per Night in Metro Manila in USD, 2010-2015
Table 4-15: Number of New and Upcoming Luxury and Upscale Hotels in Manila between 2014-14
Table 4-16: Average Lease Rentals and Capital Values of Office Sector in Manila, By Major Cities, 2015
Table 4-17: Average Lease Rentals and Capital Values of Residential Sector in Manila, By Major Cities, 2015
Table 4-18: Average Lease Rentals of Retail Sector in Manila, By Major Cities, 2015
Table 4-19: Major Real Estate Projects in Metro Manila
Table 4-20: Future Outlook of Metro Manila Real Estate Market, 2016-2020
Table 4-21: Upcoming Real Estate Projects in Manila, 2016-2020
Table 4-22: Metro Manila Retail Real Estate Pipeline, 2015-2016
Table 4-23: Metro Manila Hotel Real Estate Pipeline, 2015-2016
Table 4-24: Metro Manila New Residential Supply Forecast by Number of Rooms, 2015-2020
Table 4-25: Metro Manila New Office Supply Forecast by Net Usable Area in sqm, 2015-2020
Table 5-1: Factors contributing to the Cebu Real Estate Market Revenues, 2010-2015
Table 5-2: Overview of Different Sector in Cebu
Table 5-3: Factors contributing to the Cebu Residential Real Estate Market Revenues, 2010-2015
Table 5-4: Total Stock of Residential Units, 2010-2015
Table 5-5: Total Stock and Occupancy Rate of Residential Units in Cebu, 2010-2015
Table 5-6: Factors contributing to the Cebu Residential Sale and Rental Real Estate Market Revenues, 2010-2015
Table 5-7: Factors contributing to the Cebu Commercial Real Estate Market Revenues, 2010-2015
Table 5-8: Total Stock of Commercial Real Estate Supply, 2010-2015
Table 5-9: Total Stock (in Units), Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Residential Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 5-10: Factors contributing to the Rental and Sales Revenues in Cebu Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 5-11: Total Stock (in sqm), Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Commercial Real Estate Supply, 2010-2015
Table 5-12: Factors contributing to the Retail Revenues in Cebu Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 5-13: Total Stock (in sqm), Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Retail Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 5-14: Factors contributing to the Hotel Revenues in Cebu Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 5-15: Total Stock, Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Hotel Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 5-16: Average Lease Rentals of Office Sector in Cebu, Lapu-Lapu and Mandaue by Major Areas, 2015
Table 5-17: Average Lease Rentals and Capital Values of Residential Sector in Cebu, Lapu-Lapu and Mandaue, By Major Areas, 2015
Table 5-18: Factors Contributing to the Future Real Estate Revenues in Cebu, 2016-2020
Table 5-19: Cebu Future Real Estate Projects, 2016-2020
Table 6-1: Factors Contributing to Davao Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 6-2: Overview of Different Sectors in Davao Real Estate Market
Table 6-3: Factors Contributing to Davao Residential Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 6-4: Total Stock, Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Residential Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 6-5: Factors Contributing to Davao Residential Real Estate Sales Market, 2010-2015
Table 6-6: Total Stock, Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Residential Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 6-7: Factors Contributing to Davao Office/Commercial Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 6-8: Factors Contributing to Davao Retail Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 6-9: Total Stock, Occupancy Rates and Growth Rate of Residential Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 6-10: Factors Contributing to Davao Hotel Real Estate Market, 2010-2015
Table 6-11: Total Stock, Occupancy Rates and Room Rate per Night for Hotel Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 6-12: Factors Contributing to the Future Real Estate Revenues in Cebu, 2016-2020
Table 6-13: Future Real Estate Projects in Davao, 2016-2020
Table 7-1: Overseas Filipinos Remittances in USD Million, 2012-15
Table 9-1: Ayala Land Company Overview
Table 9-2: Major Property Development Projects of Ayala Land Inc.
Table 9-3: Major Real Estate Developments by Ayala Land Inc. in Different Sectors
Table 9-4: Key Financials - Ayala Land Inc. in USD Million
Table 9-5: S.M Prime Company Overview
Table 9-6: Roadmap of SM Prime Holdings, 2013-18
Table 9-7: SM Prime Holdings Primary Home Projects Overview
Table 9-8: Key Financials – S.M Prime Holdings Inc. in USD Million, 2010-2015
Table 9-9: Expansion Plans of S.M Prime Holdings, 2016
Table 9-10: S.M Prime Company Overview
Table 9-11: Filinvest Company Overview
Table 9-12: Key Financials – Filinvest in USD Million, 2010-2015
Table 9-13: Filinvest Company Overview
Table 9-14: Major Projects of Property Group Inc.
Table 9-15: DMCI Homes Company Overview
Table 9-16: DMCI Homes Major Real Estate Projects
Table 9-17: Century Properties Company Overview
Table 9-18: Century Properties Real Estate Projects
Table 9-19: Century Properties Company Overview
Table 9-20: Federal Land Inc. Financial Performance, 2010-2015
Table 9-21: Megaworld Corporation Company Overview
Table 9-22: Megaworld Corporation Completed Real Estate Projects
Table 10-1: Residential and Commercial Lease Terms in Philippines
Table 10-2: Real Estate Taxes and Fees in Philippines, 2015
Table 11-1: Amount of Loan Disbursed for Real Estate Sector in USD Million, 2010-2015
Table 11-2: Interest Rate on Housing Loan for Real Estate Sector, 2010-2015
Table 11-3: Percentage Distribution of Total Real Estate Loans in Philippines, 2010-2015
Table 12-1: Major Property Brokerage Houses in Philippines and their KPI’s
Table 12-2: Business Model of Philippines Online Real Estate Portals
Table 12-3: Online Real Estate Market Consumer Profile based on Different Parameters, 2015
Table 12-4: Competitive Landscape of Lamudi in Philippines, 2015
Table 12-5: Competitive Landscape of Property 24 in Philippines, 2015
Table 12-6: Competitive Landscape of OLX in Philippines, 2015
Table 12-7: Competitive Landscape of Zipmatch Real Estate Companies in Philippines, 2015
Table 14-1: Market Share of Major Players in Philippines Real Estate Market and their USP, 2015
Table 15-1; Philippines Real Estate Market Outlook, 2015-2020
Table 15-2: Philippines Real Estate Market Revenues in USD Million and Growth in (%), 2016-2020
Table 15-3: Factors Impacting Real Estate Investment Decisions in the Philippines
Table 15-4: Philippines Real Estate Market Size, By Provinces, 2010-2015
Table 15-5: Cause and Effect Relationship between Industry Factors and Expected Industry Prospects of Philippines Real Estate Market
Table 16-1: Drivers of Household Income in Philippines
Table 16-2: Impact of Household Income on Philippines Real Estate Market
Table 16-3: Drivers behind change in Urban Population in Philippines
Table 16-4: Impact of Urban Population on Philippines Real Estate Market
Table 16-5: Factors Driving Inbound Tourism in Philippines
Table 16-6: Impact of Inbound Tourism on Philippines Real Estate Market
Table 16-7: Factors Driving Disposable Income per Household in Philippines
Table 16-8: Impact of Disposable Income per Household on Philippines Real Estate Market
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Property Company of Friends, DMCI Homes, Ayala Land Inc, S.M Prime Holdings, Filinvest, Vista Land, Profriends Group Inc, Century Properties,Federal Land, Robinson Corporation, Megaworld Corporation, Phil. Property Expert, Cebu Realty & Brokerage, OLX, Lamudi, Zipmatch, Property 24
Residential Real Estate, Retail Real Estate, Commercial Real Estate, Hotel Real Estate
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