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Saudi Arabia heat pump market size, share, growth drivers, trends, opportunities & forecast 2025–2030

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market, valued at USD 450 million, grows due to demand for energy-efficient tech, government renewable energy push, and dominance in cities like Riyadh and Jeddah.

Region:Middle East

Author(s):Dev

Product Code:KRAA8373

Pages:95

Published On:November 2025

About the Report

Base Year 2024

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Overview

  • The Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market is valued at USD 450 million, based on a five-year historical analysis. This growth is primarily driven by the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, ongoing advancements in heat pump technology, and government initiatives promoting renewable energy technologies. The rising awareness of environmental sustainability and the need for reducing carbon emissions have further propelled the adoption of heat pumps across various sectors.
  • Key cities such asRiyadh, Jeddah, and Dammamdominate the Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market due to rapid urbanization, industrial growth, and significant investments in infrastructure development. These cities are also focal points for government projects aimed at enhancing energy efficiency and sustainability, making them prime locations for heat pump installations.
  • In 2021, the Saudi Standards, Metrology and Quality Organization (SASO) issued the “Regulation for Rationalization of Energy Consumption in Air Conditioners (SASO 2663:2021),” mandating minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) for HVAC systems, including heat pumps, in new residential and commercial buildings. This regulation requires compliance with specific energy efficiency thresholds, driving the adoption of high-efficiency heat pumps to support the national target of reducing energy consumption by 30% by 2030.
Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Size

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Segmentation

By Type:The market is segmented into various types of heat pumps, including Air Source Heat Pumps, Ground Source (Geothermal) Heat Pumps, Water Source Heat Pumps, Exhaust Air Heat Pumps, Hybrid Heat Pumps, and Others. Each type serves different applications and has unique advantages, catering to diverse consumer needs.

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market segmentation by Type.

TheAir Source Heat Pumpssegment is currently dominating the market due to their versatility, ease of installation, and cost-effectiveness. They are particularly favored in residential applications where space is limited, and they can efficiently provide both heating and cooling. The growing trend towards energy-efficient solutions, the increasing number of government incentives for renewable energy technologies, and the integration of advanced control systems and IoT-enabled features further bolster the demand for air source heat pumps. This segment is expected to maintain its leadership position in the market.

By End-User:The market is segmented based on end-users, including Residential, Commercial, Industrial, Hospitality, Retail, Education, Food and Beverage, Paper and Pulp, Chemicals and Petrochemicals, Government & Utilities, and Others. Each end-user segment has distinct requirements and preferences for heat pump solutions.

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market segmentation by End-User.

TheResidentialsegment is leading the market, driven by the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions among homeowners. The growing trend of smart homes, rising awareness of environmental sustainability, and government incentives and regulations promoting energy efficiency in residential buildings further support the growth of this segment, making it a key player in the overall market landscape.

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Competitive Landscape

The Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market is characterized by a dynamic mix of regional and international players. Leading participants such as Daikin Middle East and Africa, Trane Technologies, Mitsubishi Electric, LG Electronics, Bosch Thermotechnology, Carrier Global Corporation, Rheem Manufacturing Company, Fujitsu General, Panasonic Corporation, Gree Electric Appliances, Aermec S.p.A., Stiebel Eltron, Viessmann Group, Ariston Thermo Group, Swegon Group, Johnson Controls – Hitachi Air Conditioning, Midea Group, Zamil Air Conditioners (Saudi Arabia), Petra Engineering Industries Co., Al Salem Johnson Controls (YORK Saudi Arabia) contribute to innovation, geographic expansion, and service delivery in this space.

Daikin Middle East and Africa

1924

Dubai, UAE

Trane Technologies

1913

Dublin, Ireland

Mitsubishi Electric

1921

Tokyo, Japan

LG Electronics

1958

Seoul, South Korea

Bosch Thermotechnology

1886

Wernau, Germany

Company

Establishment Year

Headquarters

Group Size (Large, Medium, or Small as per industry convention)

Revenue (Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Segment, USD Million)

Revenue Growth Rate (CAGR %)

Market Share (%)

Installed Base (Units or MW)

Market Penetration Rate (%)

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Industry Analysis

Growth Drivers

  • Increasing Demand for Energy-Efficient Solutions:The Saudi Arabian government aims to reduce energy consumption by 30% by 2030, driving the demand for energy-efficient solutions. In future, the energy efficiency market is projected to reach SAR 5 billion, with heat pumps playing a crucial role. The rising cost of electricity, which has increased by 15% since 2022, further incentivizes consumers to adopt energy-efficient technologies, including heat pumps, to lower their utility bills.
  • Government Initiatives Promoting Renewable Energy:Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 emphasizes renewable energy, targeting 58.7 GW of renewable capacity by 2030. The government allocated SAR 1.5 billion in future for renewable energy projects, including heat pump systems. This funding supports the installation of heat pumps in residential and commercial sectors, aligning with the national goal of diversifying energy sources and reducing reliance on fossil fuels, thus enhancing market growth.
  • Rising Awareness of Environmental Sustainability:Public awareness of environmental issues has surged, with 70% of Saudi citizens expressing concern about climate change in a recent survey. This awareness is driving demand for eco-friendly products, including heat pumps. In future, the market for sustainable technologies is expected to grow by SAR 3 billion, as consumers increasingly prefer energy-efficient solutions that contribute to environmental sustainability, further boosting heat pump adoption.

Market Challenges

  • High Initial Investment Costs:The upfront costs of heat pump systems can be significant, often ranging from SAR 15,000 to SAR 30,000, which deters potential buyers. Despite long-term savings on energy bills, the initial financial burden remains a barrier. In future, only 20% of households are expected to invest in heat pumps, as many consumers prioritize lower-cost traditional heating systems, limiting market penetration.
  • Limited Consumer Awareness:Despite growing interest, many consumers lack knowledge about heat pump technology and its benefits. A survey indicated that only 30% of the population understands how heat pumps work. This limited awareness hampers market growth, as potential customers may opt for familiar heating solutions. In future, educational campaigns are crucial to increasing understanding and acceptance of heat pumps, which could enhance market dynamics.

Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Future Outlook

The Saudi Arabia heat pump market is poised for significant growth, driven by increasing government support and consumer demand for energy-efficient solutions. As the nation progresses towards its Vision 2030 goals, the integration of heat pumps into residential and commercial sectors will likely accelerate. Additionally, advancements in technology and rising environmental awareness will further enhance market dynamics, creating a favorable environment for innovative heating solutions that align with sustainability objectives.

Market Opportunities

  • Expansion in Residential and Commercial Sectors:The residential sector is projected to see a 25% increase in heat pump installations by 2025, driven by government incentives. This expansion presents a lucrative opportunity for manufacturers and installers to capture a growing market segment, particularly in urban areas where energy efficiency is increasingly prioritized.
  • Integration with Smart Home Technologies:The rise of smart home technologies offers a unique opportunity for heat pump manufacturers. In future, the smart home market in Saudi Arabia is expected to reach SAR 2 billion, creating demand for heat pumps that can integrate with smart systems. This integration enhances user experience and energy management, positioning heat pumps as a key component of modern energy-efficient homes.

Scope of the Report

SegmentSub-Segments
By Type

Air Source Heat Pumps

Ground Source (Geothermal) Heat Pumps

Water Source Heat Pumps

Exhaust Air Heat Pumps

Hybrid Heat Pumps

Others

By End-User

Residential

Commercial

Industrial

Hospitality

Retail

Education

Food and Beverage

Paper and Pulp

Chemicals and Petrochemicals

Government & Utilities

Others

By Region

Central Region

Eastern Region

Western Region

Southern Region

Others

By Technology

Inverter Technology

Non-Inverter Technology

Smart Heat Pump Technology

Others

By Application

Space Heating

Water Heating

Process Heating

Cooling

Others

By Investment Source

Domestic Investment

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

Public-Private Partnerships (PPP)

Government Schemes

By Policy Support

Subsidies

Tax Exemptions

Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs)

Others

Key Target Audience

Investors and Venture Capitalist Firms

Government and Regulatory Bodies (e.g., Saudi Arabian Standards Organization, Ministry of Energy)

Manufacturers and Producers

Distributors and Retailers

Energy Service Companies (ESCOs)

Building and Construction Firms

Industry Associations (e.g., Saudi Arabian HVAC Association)

Financial Institutions

Players Mentioned in the Report:

Daikin Middle East and Africa

Trane Technologies

Mitsubishi Electric

LG Electronics

Bosch Thermotechnology

Carrier Global Corporation

Rheem Manufacturing Company

Fujitsu General

Panasonic Corporation

Gree Electric Appliances

Aermec S.p.A.

Stiebel Eltron

Viessmann Group

Ariston Thermo Group

Swegon Group

Johnson Controls Hitachi Air Conditioning

Midea Group

Zamil Air Conditioners (Saudi Arabia)

Petra Engineering Industries Co.

Al Salem Johnson Controls (YORK Saudi Arabia)

Table of Contents

Market Assessment Phase

1. Executive Summary and Approach


2. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Overview

2.1 Key Insights and Strategic Recommendations

2.2 Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Overview

2.3 Definition and Scope

2.4 Evolution of Market Ecosystem

2.5 Timeline of Key Regulatory Milestones

2.6 Value Chain & Stakeholder Mapping

2.7 Business Cycle Analysis

2.8 Policy & Incentive Landscape


3. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Analysis

3.1 Growth Drivers

3.1.1 Increasing demand for energy-efficient solutions
3.1.2 Government initiatives promoting renewable energy
3.1.3 Rising awareness of environmental sustainability
3.1.4 Technological advancements in heat pump systems

3.2 Market Challenges

3.2.1 High initial investment costs
3.2.2 Limited consumer awareness
3.2.3 Regulatory hurdles
3.2.4 Competition from traditional heating systems

3.3 Market Opportunities

3.3.1 Expansion in residential and commercial sectors
3.3.2 Development of hybrid systems
3.3.3 Integration with smart home technologies
3.3.4 Export potential to neighboring regions

3.4 Market Trends

3.4.1 Shift towards sustainable energy solutions
3.4.2 Increasing adoption of smart technologies
3.4.3 Growth in government funding for renewable projects
3.4.4 Rising consumer preference for eco-friendly products

3.5 Government Regulation

3.5.1 Energy efficiency standards
3.5.2 Incentives for renewable energy adoption
3.5.3 Emission reduction targets
3.5.4 Building codes promoting heat pump installations

4. SWOT Analysis


5. Stakeholder Analysis


6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis


7. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Market Size, 2019-2024

7.1 By Value

7.2 By Volume

7.3 By Average Selling Price


8. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Segmentation

8.1 By Type

8.1.1 Air Source Heat Pumps
8.1.2 Ground Source (Geothermal) Heat Pumps
8.1.3 Water Source Heat Pumps
8.1.4 Exhaust Air Heat Pumps
8.1.5 Hybrid Heat Pumps
8.1.6 Others

8.2 By End-User

8.2.1 Residential
8.2.2 Commercial
8.2.3 Industrial
8.2.4 Hospitality
8.2.5 Retail
8.2.6 Education
8.2.7 Food and Beverage
8.2.8 Paper and Pulp
8.2.9 Chemicals and Petrochemicals
8.2.10 Government & Utilities
8.2.11 Others

8.3 By Region

8.3.1 Central Region
8.3.2 Eastern Region
8.3.3 Western Region
8.3.4 Southern Region
8.3.5 Others

8.4 By Technology

8.4.1 Inverter Technology
8.4.2 Non-Inverter Technology
8.4.3 Smart Heat Pump Technology
8.4.4 Others

8.5 By Application

8.5.1 Space Heating
8.5.2 Water Heating
8.5.3 Process Heating
8.5.4 Cooling
8.5.5 Others

8.6 By Investment Source

8.6.1 Domestic Investment
8.6.2 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
8.6.3 Public-Private Partnerships (PPP)
8.6.4 Government Schemes

8.7 By Policy Support

8.7.1 Subsidies
8.7.2 Tax Exemptions
8.7.3 Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs)
8.7.4 Others

9. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Competitive Analysis

9.1 Market Share of Key Players

9.2 Cross Comparison of Key Players

9.2.1 Company Name
9.2.2 Group Size (Large, Medium, or Small as per industry convention)
9.2.3 Revenue (Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Segment, USD Million)
9.2.4 Revenue Growth Rate (CAGR %)
9.2.5 Market Share (%)
9.2.6 Installed Base (Units or MW)
9.2.7 Market Penetration Rate (%)
9.2.8 Customer Retention Rate (%)
9.2.9 Pricing Strategy (Premium, Value, Economy)
9.2.10 Product Innovation Rate (New Models/Year)
9.2.11 Distribution Network Coverage (No. of Provinces/Dealers)
9.2.12 After-Sales Service Coverage (Response Time, Service Points)
9.2.13 Brand Recognition Score
9.2.14 Customer Satisfaction Index

9.3 SWOT Analysis of Top Players

9.4 Pricing Analysis

9.5 Detailed Profile of Major Companies

9.5.1 Daikin Middle East and Africa
9.5.2 Trane Technologies
9.5.3 Mitsubishi Electric
9.5.4 LG Electronics
9.5.5 Bosch Thermotechnology
9.5.6 Carrier Global Corporation
9.5.7 Rheem Manufacturing Company
9.5.8 Fujitsu General
9.5.9 Panasonic Corporation
9.5.10 Gree Electric Appliances
9.5.11 Aermec S.p.A.
9.5.12 Stiebel Eltron
9.5.13 Viessmann Group
9.5.14 Ariston Thermo Group
9.5.15 Swegon Group
9.5.16 Johnson Controls – Hitachi Air Conditioning
9.5.17 Midea Group
9.5.18 Zamil Air Conditioners (Saudi Arabia)
9.5.19 Petra Engineering Industries Co.
9.5.20 Al Salem Johnson Controls (YORK Saudi Arabia)

10. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market End-User Analysis

10.1 Procurement Behavior of Key Ministries

10.1.1 Ministry of Energy
10.1.2 Ministry of Housing
10.1.3 Ministry of Environment
10.1.4 Others

10.2 Corporate Spend on Infrastructure & Energy

10.2.1 Investment Trends
10.2.2 Budget Allocations
10.2.3 Project Prioritization
10.2.4 Others

10.3 Pain Point Analysis by End-User Category

10.3.1 Residential Users
10.3.2 Commercial Users
10.3.3 Industrial Users
10.3.4 Government Entities

10.4 User Readiness for Adoption

10.4.1 Awareness Levels
10.4.2 Financial Readiness
10.4.3 Technical Readiness
10.4.4 Others

10.5 Post-Deployment ROI and Use Case Expansion

10.5.1 Performance Metrics
10.5.2 Cost Savings Analysis
10.5.3 User Feedback
10.5.4 Others

11. Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market Future Size, 2025-2030

11.1 By Value

11.2 By Volume

11.3 By Average Selling Price


Go-To-Market Strategy Phase

1. Whitespace Analysis + Business Model Canvas

1.1 Market Gaps Identification

1.2 Value Proposition Development

1.3 Revenue Streams Analysis

1.4 Cost Structure Evaluation

1.5 Key Partnerships Exploration

1.6 Customer Segmentation

1.7 Channels of Distribution


2. Marketing and Positioning Recommendations

2.1 Branding Strategies

2.2 Product USPs


3. Distribution Plan

3.1 Urban Retail vs Rural NGO Tie-ups


4. Channel & Pricing Gaps

4.1 Underserved Routes

4.2 Pricing Bands


5. Unmet Demand & Latent Needs

5.1 Category Gaps

5.2 Consumer Segments


6. Customer Relationship

6.1 Loyalty Programs

6.2 After-sales Service


7. Value Proposition

7.1 Sustainability

7.2 Integrated Supply Chains


8. Key Activities

8.1 Regulatory Compliance

8.2 Branding

8.3 Distribution Setup


9. Entry Strategy Evaluation

9.1 Domestic Market Entry Strategy

9.1.1 Product Mix
9.1.2 Pricing Band
9.1.3 Packaging

9.2 Export Entry Strategy

9.2.1 Target Countries
9.2.2 Compliance Roadmap

10. Entry Mode Assessment

10.1 JV

10.2 Greenfield

10.3 M&A

10.4 Distributor Model


11. Capital and Timeline Estimation

11.1 Capital Requirements

11.2 Timelines


12. Control vs Risk Trade-Off

12.1 Ownership vs Partnerships


13. Profitability Outlook

13.1 Breakeven Analysis

13.2 Long-term Sustainability


14. Potential Partner List

14.1 Distributors

14.2 JVs

14.3 Acquisition Targets


15. Execution Roadmap

15.1 Phased Plan for Market Entry

15.1.1 Market Setup
15.1.2 Market Entry
15.1.3 Growth Acceleration
15.1.4 Scale & Stabilize

15.2 Key Activities and Milestones

15.2.1 Milestone Planning
15.2.2 Activity Tracking

Research Methodology

ApproachModellingSample

Phase 1: Approach1

Desk Research

  • Analysis of government publications and energy policies related to heat pump adoption in Saudi Arabia
  • Review of market reports from industry associations and energy regulatory bodies
  • Examination of academic journals and white papers on heat pump technology and market trends

Primary Research

  • Interviews with key stakeholders in the HVAC industry, including manufacturers and distributors
  • Surveys conducted with end-users such as residential and commercial property owners
  • Field interviews with energy consultants and sustainability experts focused on heat pump solutions

Validation & Triangulation

  • Cross-validation of findings through multiple data sources, including trade publications and expert opinions
  • Triangulation of market data with insights from industry conferences and seminars
  • Sanity checks through expert panel reviews to ensure data accuracy and relevance

Phase 2: Market Size Estimation1

Top-down Assessment

  • Estimation of the total addressable market based on national energy consumption statistics
  • Segmentation of the market by application areas such as residential, commercial, and industrial sectors
  • Incorporation of government incentives and subsidies for heat pump installations

Bottom-up Modeling

  • Collection of sales data from leading heat pump manufacturers operating in Saudi Arabia
  • Estimation of installation and maintenance costs based on regional pricing models
  • Volume estimates derived from historical sales trends and projected growth rates

Forecasting & Scenario Analysis

  • Multi-variable forecasting using factors such as population growth, urbanization, and energy prices
  • Scenario analysis based on potential regulatory changes and technological advancements
  • Development of baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic market growth projections through 2030

Phase 3: CATI Sample Composition1

Scope Item/SegmentSample SizeTarget Respondent Profiles
Residential Heat Pump Users120Homeowners, Property Managers
Commercial HVAC Decision Makers85Facility Managers, Building Owners
Industrial Energy Managers65Operations Directors, Energy Efficiency Officers
Government Energy Policy Makers45Regulatory Officials, Energy Advisors
HVAC Contractors and Installers55Contractors, Technical Service Providers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current value of the Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market?

The Saudi Arabia Heat Pump Market is valued at approximately USD 450 million, driven by the increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, advancements in technology, and government initiatives promoting renewable energy technologies.

Which cities are the primary markets for heat pumps in Saudi Arabia?

What regulations impact the heat pump market in Saudi Arabia?

What types of heat pumps are available in the Saudi market?

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