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Belgium-Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media-Statistics and Analyses

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Belgium regulator to set aside spectrum for MNOs’ 5G trials

Belgium’s telecom market has long benefited from comprehensive DSL and cable networks, complemented by limited fibre deployments. Though relatively small, the market has attracted investment from some of the region’s major players, including Liberty Global and Orange Group. There have been significant developments in the competitive landscape in recent years, fostered by regulatory measures which require cablecos to allow competitors access to their networks. This has enabled Orange Belgium to become a viable force in the market for bundled services offerings, hitherto dominated by Proximus. In addition, Telenet in early 2016 completed its acquisition of the mobile provider BASE from KPN. The deal propelled Telenet as the second largest telco in the country, a position bolstered by a strong presence in the TV and broadband sectors. In 2015 overall telecom revenue increased 2.4% year-on-year, a trend which can be anticipated for 2016 as consumer confidence in economic recovery is translated into greater adoption of mobile data and IP-delivered services.

Belgium’s mobile market is served by three main network operators and a growing number of MVNOs. All three MNOs (Proximus, Orange Belgium and BASE) have upgraded their networks with HSPA and LTE technologies. Mobile TV offerings are available but have yet to make an impression on consumers. While operator investment in LTE infrastructure has meant that there is almost universal population coverage, operators and the regulator are looking to the potential of 5G, with the regulator having worked with Ericsson to assess suitable spectrum for trialling 5G applications in anticipation of a commercial launch of services by about 2022.

Broadband penetration has made considerable progress in recent years, largely thanks to regulatory measures to promote wholesale and bitstream access. There is effective competition between the DSL and cable platforms, while government support has also encouraged investment in fibre networks in recent years. Telenet, supported by its parent Liberty Global, has invested in developing services based on the new DOCSIS3.1 standard, which is capable of providing data at 1Gb/s and higher, while the incumbent Proximus also has extensive fibre/VDSL and FttP deployments with which it has promoted a range of bundled services.

This report provides data and analyses on key aspects of the Belgian telecom market. It assesses the most recent statistics on fixed-network services and reviews key regulatory issues, noting the status of interconnection, local loop unbundling, number portability and carrier preselection. The report also profiles the mobile voice and data market, providing the latest statistics on the main players, as well as recent developments on HSPA and LTE rollouts as well as the future deployment of 5G. In addition the report assesses the fixed and wireless broadband markets, providing forecasts for selective years to 2021 and assessing developments in related technologies such as FWA, WLAN and Wi-Fi.

Key developments:

Mobistar rebrands as Orange Belgium;

Regulator undergoes structural changes to meet strategic vision;

Regulator planning to allow MNOs to trial 5G technology using suitable spectrum bands;

Government to legislate for pre-paid mobile SIM cards holders to register their details;

Telenet extends MVNO deal with Orange Belgium through to 2018;

Mobile service revenue recovered in 2015;

Report update includes the regulator’s market data update for 2015, telco’s financial and operating data to Q2 2016, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Proximus (Belgacom), COLT, Orange Belgium (Mobistar), Scarlet, Tele2, Telenet, Versatel, Proximus, BASE, Interkabel.<

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Table Of Content

Scope

1. Key statistics

1.1 Country overview

2. Telecommunications market

2.1 Historical overview

2.2 Market analysis

3. Regulatory environment

3.1 Historic overview

3.2 EU regulatory framework

3.3 Revised NFR

3.4 Regulatory authority

3.5 Government policies

3.6 Interconnect

3.7 Access

3.8 Cable network access

3.9 Number Portability (NP)

3.10 Carrier PreSelection (CPS)

3.11 Wholesale Line Rental (WLR)

4. Fixed network operators

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Proximus

4.3 COLT Telecom

4.4 orange Belgium (Mobistar)

4.5 Scarlet (formerly KPN Belgium)

4.6 Tele2 Belgium

4.7 Telenet

5. Telecommunications infrastructure

5.1 Overview of the national telecom network

5.2 Next Generation Network (NGN)

5.3 International infrastructure

5.4 Cloud services

6. Broadband market

6.1 Introduction and statistical overview

6.1.1 Markey analysis

6.1.2 Broadband statistics

6.1.3 Market share

6.1.4 Forecasts broadband subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

6.2 Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) networks

6.2.1 Introduction

6.2.2 Telenet

6.2.3 Interkabel

6.2.4 SFR (Numricable)

6.3 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) Networks

6.3.1 Proximus

6.3.2 Versatel/Tele2 Belgium

6.3.3 Orange Belgium (Mobistar)

6.3.4 Other DSL developments

6.4 Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks

6.4.1 Introduction

6.4.2 Government support

6.4.3 Regulating fibre

6.4.4 Digital Metropolis Antwerp

6.4.5 Proximus

6.5 Other fixed broadband services

6.5.1 Broadband Powerline (BPL)

6.5.2 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)

6.5.3 WLAN/Wi-Fi

6.5.4 WiMAX

6.6 Competition Issues

6.6.1 Wholesale

6.6.2 Naked DSL

7. Digital media

7.1 Introduction

7.2 Regulatory issues

7.3 Satellite TV

7.4 Cable TV

7.5 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)

7.5.1 DTT licence issued

7.5.2 Digital switch-over

7.6 Interactive TV (iDTV)

7.7 Key Digital Media Players

7.8 Videostreaming

7.8.1 Major players

7.9 Communications: VoIP, messaging, conferencing

7.9.1 VoIP

8. Digital economy

8.1 E-Health services

9. Mobile communications

9.1 Market analysis

9.2 Mobile statistics

9.2.1 General statistics

9.2.2 Mobile data

9.2.3 Mobile broadband

9.2.4 Forecasts mobile subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

9.3 Regulatory issues

9.3.1 Spectrum

9.3.2 Roaming

9.3.3 Mobile Termination Rates (MTRs)

9.3.4 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)

9.4 Mobile infrastructure

9.4.1 Digital networks

9.4.2 Other infrastructure developments

9.4.3 Machine-to-Machine (M2M)

9.5 Major mobile operators

9.5.1 Proximus

9.5.2 Orange Belgium (Mobistar)

9.5.3 BASE

9.5.4 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)

9.6 Mobile content and applications

9.6.1 Location-based services

9.6.2 Mobile TV


List Of Figure

Chart 1 Fixed-line traffic by type 2005 2015

Chart 2 Proximus Group financial data 2003-2016

Chart 3 Proximus revenue by sector 2004-2016

Chart 4 Proximus revenue by operating division 2007-2016

Chart 5 Proximus fixed-line services revenue by sector (CBU) 2007-2016

Chart 6 Mobistar financial data 2007-2016

Chart 7 Telenet revenue by sector 2004-2016

Chart 8 Telenet subscribers by sector 2006-2016

Chart 9 Telenet financial data 2005-2016

Chart 10 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 2005-2016

Chart 11 Internet users and penetration rate 2005-2017

Chart 12 Broadband subscribers by technology 2005-2016

Chart 13 Telenet financial data 2005-2016

Chart 14 Proximus annualised ARPU, revenue 2006 2016

Chart 15 Telenet cable TV subscribers by sector 2007-2016

Chart 16 Mobile service revenue 2011 2015

Chart 17 Mobile/SIM card subscribers and teledensity 2005-2016

Chart 18 Market share by operator 2002-2015

Chart 19 Proximus CBU subscribers by type 2007-2016

Chart 20 Proximus annualised ARPU (CBU) by sector 2007-2016

Chart 21 BASE annualised ARPU 2005-2015

Exhibit 1 EU The New Regulatory Framework (NRF)

Exhibit 2 Access and the local loop

Exhibit 3 Number portability defined

Exhibit 4 Key DSL service providers

Exhibit 5 WiMAX spectrum licenses 2001-2005


List Of Table

Table 1 Country statistics 2015

Table 2 Telecom revenue and investment statistics 2015

Table 3 Telephone network statistics 2015

Table 4 Internet user statistics 2015

Table 5 Broadband statistics 2015

Table 6 Mobile statistics 2015

Table 7 National telecommunications authority

Table 8 Telecom market investment: fixed and mobile by sector 2006 2010; 2014-15

Table 9 Telecom market investment: network and licenses 2011-2015

Table 10 Telecom investment as a proportion of revenue 2011-2015

Table 11 Telecom market investment by operator (regulator data) 2007-2013

Table 12 Retail telecom revenue by sector 2011-2015

Table 13 Total telecom revenue by sector 2011-2015

Table 14 Fixed voice ARPU 2008-2015

Table 15 Unbundled loops and access lines (historic) 2004-2009

Table 16 Fixed numbers ported 2000-2015

Table 17 Carrier preselect numbers and annual change 2000-2015

Table 18 Proximus share of fixed-line traffic by type 2006-2012

Table 19 Fixed-line telephony revenue 2002-2015

Table 20 Average price for fixed-line call 2007-2013

Table 21 Fixed-line and mobile traffic volume 2007-2015

Table 22 Fixed-line traffic by type 2005-2015

Table 23 Proximus (CBU) access channels 2007-2016

Table 24 Proximus Group financial data 2003-2016

Table 25 Proximus revenue by sector 2004-2016

Table 26 Proximus revenue by operating division 2007-2015

Table 27 Proximus fixed-line services revenue by sector (CBU) 2007-2016

Table 28 Proximus monthly ARPU by sector (CBU) 2005-2016

Table 29 Mobistar financial data by sector 2007-2016

Table 30 Mobistar subscribers by sector 2008-2016

Table 31 Telenet revenue by sector 2004-2016

Table 32 Telenet subscribers by sector 2006-2016

Table 33 Telenet financial data 2005-2016

Table 34 Telenet subscriber monthly ARPU 2005-2014

Table 35 Historical Fixed lines in service and teledensity 1995; 1997; 1999-2009

Table 36 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 2010-2016

Table 37 Fixed lines by type 2006-2015

Table 38 Historical-Internet users and penetration rate 1995-2009

Table 39 Internet users and penetration rate 2010-2017

Table 40 Historical Broadband fixed-line subscribers by technology 2000-2009

Table 41 Broadband fixed-line subscribers by technology 2010-2016

Table 42 Broadband subscription net additions per year 2005-2015

Table 43 Broadband sector revenue 2014-2015

Table 44 Fixed-line broadband penetration by service 2007-2015

Table 45 Proportion of fixed-broadband lines by speed 2007-2015

Table 46 Broadband subscribers by operator 2012-2015

Table 47 Broadband market share by operator 2006-2015

Table 48 Forecast broadband subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

Table 49 Cable modem subscribers 2000-2016

Table 50 Telenet broadband subscribers 2006-2016

Table 51 Telenet financial data 2005-2016

Table 52 DSL subscribers 2000-2015

Table 53 Historical Proximus DSL subscribers 2000-2009

Table 54 Proximus DSL subscribers 2010-2016

Table 55 Orange Belgium broadband subscribers 2008-2016

Table 56 Orange Belgium fixed broadband revenue 2014-2016

Table 57 Proximus wholesale broadband lines 2010-2015

Table 58 Analogue and digital TV subscribers 2010-2015

Table 59 Proportion of digital TV subscribers by platform 2010-2015

Table 60 Bundled services subscribers by type 2007-2015

Table 61 Proportion of bundled services subscribers by type 2007-2015

Table 62 Historic-Cable TV subscribers and penetration rate 1995 2009

Table 63 Cable TV subscribers and penetration rate 2010 2012; 2015-2016

Table 64 Bundled services by type 2007-2015

Table 65 Proportion of bundled services by type 2007-2015

Table 66 Proximus TV households 2006-2016

Table 67 Proximus annualised IPTV ARPU, revenue 2006-2016

Table 68 Telenet cable TV subscribers by sector 2005-2016

Table 69 Telenet subscriber annualised monthly ARPU 2005-2014

Table 70 Telenet triple-play subscribers 2002-2016

Table 71 Telenet bundled services penetration 2012-2016

Table 72 Mobile service revenue 2011-2015

Table 73 Historical Active mobile/SIM card subscribers and penetration 1995; 1997; 1999-2009

Table 74 Active mobile/SIM card subscribers and teledensity 2010-2016

Table 75 Market share by operator 2002-2015

Table 76 Mobile ARPU 2005-2015

Table 77 Mobile voice traffic 2005-2015

Table 78 Average use of service per subscriber per month 2010-2015

Table 79 Mobile active prepaid and contract subscribers 2011-2015

Table 80 Data traffic on mile networks 2012-2015

Table 81 Proximus SMS messages (CBU) 2008-2014

Table 82 SMS traffic 2001-2015

Table 83 Mobile broadband subscribers by technology 2008-2015

Table 84 Mobile broadband penetration by technology 2009-2015

Table 85 Mobile subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021

Table 86 800MHz auction results 2013

Table 87 2.6GHz auction results 2011

Table 88 Spectrum assignment overview

Table 89 European roaming charges 2007 2016

Table 90 European retail data roaming charges 2012-2014

Table 91 European wholesale voice and data roaming charges 2012-2014

Table 92 Proposed mobile termination tariffs 2006 2013; 2015

Table 93 Mobile termination revenue (historic) 2007-2012

Table 94 Annual mobile numbers ported (historic) 2002-2012

Table 95 M2M connections 2011-2015

Table 96 Orange Belgium M2M connections 2009-2016

Table 97 Orange Belgium M2M revenue 2009-2012

Table 98 Proximus revenue by sector (CBU) 2007-2016

Table 99 Proximus total subscribers 2005 2016

Table 100 Proximus CBU subscribers by type 2007-2016

Table 101 Proximus annualised ARPU (CBU) by sector 2007-2016

Table 102 Orange Belgium subscribers (Belgium) 2007-2016

Table 103 Orange Belgium financial data 2013-2016

Table 104 Orange Belgium mobile services revenue 2005-2016

Table 105 Orange Belgium annualised ARPU 2005-2016

Table 106 BASE mobile revenue 2007-2015

Table 107 BASE subscribers 2004-2015

Table 108 BASE annualised ARPU 2005-2015

Table 109 Telenet mobile subscribers 2006-2016

Table 110 MVNO subscribers and market share 2006-2015

Table 111 MVNO mobile voice traffic and market share (historic) 2006-2012

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Products and Companies

Products

paul budde communication, buddecomm, telecomunications research, country profile, Broadband Fixed, Broadcasting, Internet, Mobile & Wireless Broadband and Media, Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure), Regulations & Government Policies, Telecoms Infrastructure, Belgium, Europe


Companies

Proximus (Belgacom), COLT, Orange Belgium (Mobistar), Scarlet, Tele2, Telenet, Versatel, Proximus, BASE, Interkabel.