Egypt: Market Shake-Up as the Fixed Voice Incumbent Acquires a 4G License and Prepares to Enter the Mobile Market

Egypt: Market Shake-Up as the Fixed Voice Incumbent Acquires a 4G License and Prepares to Enter the Mobile Market


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Executive Summary

In 2016, Egypt will generate estimated telecom revenue of USUSD4.7bn or 1.7% of GDP, which is 8.5% lower than the previous year in US dollars due to local currency depreciation. Growth in fixed and mobile data services will drive the overall growth in the market in local currency. Total revenue will increase by 17.9% in Egyptian pounds over the 2015-2016 period.

Vodafone Egypt will continue to dominate the telecom market despite increasing competition from other players. Telecom Egypt, the fixed-line incumbent, has acquired a 4G license and will enter the mobile market. Other operators are also increasing their focus on network enhancement to improve their quality of service in order to drive growth in the increasingly competitive market.

The total number of fixed access lines will rise by 9.6% over 2015-2016 to reach 6.6m, aided by growth in DSL subscribers.

Key Findings

- The Egyptian telecom market will generate an estimated USD4.7bn in service revenue in 2016, 8.5% less than the previous year in dollar terms due to local currency depreciation.

- Mobile data is predicted to grow at a CAGR of 6.9% during 2016-2021, to reach USD1.5bn in 2021, supported by the increasing adoption of smartphones.

- We expect 3G subscriptions to reach 66.4m or 58.2% of total mobile subscriptions in 2021 from an estimated 39.6m or 41.6% of total mobile subscriptions in 2016.

- Telecom Egypt, the fixed-line incumbent, has acquired a 4G license and will enter the mobile market.

Synopsis

"Egypt: Market Shake-Up as the Fixed Voice Incumbent Acquires a 4G License and Prepares to Enter the Mobile Market" report provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Egypt today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2021. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the Egyptian telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Research's databases.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:

- Regional context: telecom market size and trends in Egypt compared with other countries in the Africa and Middle East region.

- Economic, demographic and political context in Egypt.

- The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

- A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data.

- Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2014 to 2021.

- The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

Reasons to Buy

- Gain in-depth analysis of current strategies and future trends of Egypt's telecommunications market, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format, to build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

- Understand the factors behind ongoing and upcoming trends in Egypt's communications, fixed telephony and broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares, to align product offerings and strategies to meet customer demand.

- Leverage the graphical information (more than 20 charts and tables in the report based on the Pyramid Research forecast products), to gain an overview of Egypt's telecom market.

- Analysis of key telecom players in the markets and major business strategies being adopted by them, to identify the opportunities to improve the market share.

- Explore novel opportunities to align your product strategies and offerings to meet the requirements and succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Egypt.



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Executive summary

Market and competitor overview

Regional context

Economic, demographic and political context

Regulatory environment

Demand profile

Service evolution

Competitive landscape

Major market players

Segment analysis

Mobile services

Fixed services

Pay-TV

Identifying opportunities

Overall market opportunities

Egypt telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Egypt communications market revenue , 2014-2021, USUSD

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, USUSD

Segment revenues 2014-2021

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021

Service revenue by operator, 2016

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021

Key mobile market indicators, 2016

Mobile data revenue mix, 2016, 2021

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021 20

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021

Key fixed market indicators, 2016

Fixed voice revenue, 2014-2021

Internet revenue, 2014-2021

Fixed market shares by service, 2016

Fixed access lines by technology, 2016, 2021

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2014-2021

Opportunities in the Egyptian telecommunications market

Egypt telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2016E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Egypt communications market revenue , 2014-2021, USUSD

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2016-2021, USUSD

Segment revenues 2014-2021

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2016, 2021

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2016, 2021

Service revenue by operator, 2016

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2014-2021

Key mobile market indicators, 2016

Mobile data revenue mix, 2016, 2021

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2014-2021

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2014-2021 20

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2014-2021

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2014-2021

Key fixed market indicators, 2016

Fixed voice revenue, 2014-2021

Internet revenue, 2014-2021

Fixed market shares by service, 2016

Fixed access lines by technology, 2016, 2021

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2014-2021

Opportunities in the Egyptian telecommunications market

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Telecom Egypt

Mobinil

Vodafone Egypt

Orange Egypt

Etisalat Egypt

LINKdotNET

ART

OSN

Egypt, National broadband plan in Egypt, mobile data in Egypt, fixed broadband in Egypt, Egypt mobile broadband, Egypt fixed broadband, prepaid in Egypt, postpaid in Egypt, 4G auction in Egypt, LTE in Egypt, FTTH in Egypt, network upgrades in Egypt, Telecom Egypt fiber-optic networks, Unified licensing in Egypt, Telecom Egypt, Mobinil, Orange Egypt, Vodafone Egypt, Etisalat Egypt, LINKdotNET, ART, OSN

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