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Egypt: Mobile and Fixed Data Will Drive Growth as New Licenses Expected in 2016

Egypt: Mobile and Fixed Data Will Drive Growth as New Licenses Expected in 2016


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Executive Summary

The Egyptian telecom market will generate an estimated US$5.0bn of service revenue in 2015 and will grow at a CAGR of 3.4% over 2015-2020, driven by growth in mobile and fixed broadband. Proliferation of smartphones coupled with the operators' focus on network enhancement will spur growth in the data segment. Telecom Egypt's focus on expansion of its fiber-optic networks and the regulator's plans to increase Internet penetration to 50% by year-end 2016 will boost the fixed broadband segment. The possible entry of Telecom Egypt into the mobile market, if the unified license is awarded by the regulator, will increase competition in the market. Pyramid Research expects Egypt to add about 0.2m pay-TV households over the next five years, supported by growth in the IPTV segment.

Key Findings

- In 2015, Egypt will generate estimated telecom revenue of $5.0bn or 1.7% of GDP, which is 4.2% lower than the previous year in US dollars due to local currency depreciation.

- Pyramid Research expects to see overall service revenue resume growth from 2016, growing at a CAGR of 3.4% over the 2015-2020 period in US dollar terms.

- The fixed/mobile revenue split will continue to be dominated by the mobile segment over the forecast period, accounting for 79.9% of total revenue in 2020.

- Mobile and fixed data will be a major growth driver; mobile data is predicted to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% during 2015-2020.

Synopsis

"Egypt: Mobile and Fixed Data Will Drive Growth as New Licenses Expected in 2016" report provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Egypt today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2020. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the Egyptian telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Research's databases.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:

- Regional context: telecom market size and trends in Egypt compared with other countries in the Africa and Middle East region.

- Economic, demographic and political context in Egypt.

- The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

- A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data.

- Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2013 to 2020.

- The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

- An in-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony and broadband services, mobile voice and data services; a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by network technology and by operator, as well as average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

- Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in the Egyptian telecommunication market.

Reasons To Buy

- Gain in-depth analysis of current strategies and future trends of Egypt telecommunications market, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format, to build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

- Understand the factors behind ongoing and upcoming trends in Egypt communications, fixed telephony and broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares, to align product offerings and strategies to meet customer demand.

- Leverage the graphical information (more than 20 charts and tables in the report based on the Pyramid Research forecast products), to gain an overview of Egypt telecom market.

- Analysis of key telecom players in the markets and major business strategies being adopted by them, to identify the opportunities to improve the market share.

- Explore novel opportunities to align your product strategies and offerings to meet the requirements and succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Egypt.

Executive summary

Market and competitor overview

Regional context

Economic, demographic and political context

Regulatory environment

Demand profile

Service evolution

Competitive landscape

Major market players

Segment analysis

Mobile services

Fixed services

Pay-TV

Identifying opportunities

Overall market opportunities

Egypt telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Egyptian communications market revenue , 2013-2020

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020

Segment revenues 2013-2020

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2015, 2020

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2015, 2020

Service revenue by operator, 2015

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020

Key mobile market indicators, 2015

Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 20132020

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020

Key fixed market indicators, 2015

Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020

Internet revenue, 2013-2020

Fixed market shares by service, 2015

Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020

Opportunities in the Egyptian telecommunications market

Egypt telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Egyptian communications market revenue , 2013-2020

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020

Segment revenues 2013-2020

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2015, 2020

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2015, 2020

Service revenue by operator, 2015

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020

Key mobile market indicators, 2015

Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 20132020

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020

Key fixed market indicators, 2015

Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020

Internet revenue, 2013-2020

Fixed market shares by service, 2015

Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020

Opportunities in the Egyptian telecommunications market

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Telecom Egypt

Mobinil

Vodafone Egypt

Etisalat Egypt

LINKdotNET

ART

OSN

Egypt, National broadband plan in Egypt, mobile data in Egypt, fixed broadband in Egypt, Egypt mobile broadband, Egypt fixed broadband, prepaid in Egypt, postpaid in Egypt, 4G auction in Egypt, LTE in Egypt, FTTH in Egypt, network upgrades in Egypt, Telecom Egypt fiber-optic networks, Unified licensing in Egypt, Telecom Egypt, Mobinil, Vodafone Egypt, Etisalat Egypt, LINKdotNET, ART, OSN


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