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Indonesia: Government Initiatives and Operator Investment to Drive Fixed and Mobile Data Growth

Indonesia: Government Initiatives and Operator Investment to Drive Fixed and Mobile Data Growth


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Executive Summary

The telecommunications market in Indonesia will generated revenue of USD10.9bn in 2015. The telecom services revenue will grow at a CAGR of 1.3% over the 2015-2020 period, drive by growth in mobile data, fixed VoIP, fixed broadband and pay-TV. Mobile data, which will continue to be the largest revenue-contributing segment over 2015-2020, will grow at a CAGR of 5%, while fixed VoIP, fixed broadband and pay-TV will register a CAGR of 9.5%, 3.5% and 9.9%, respectively. We expect mobile subscriptions in Indonesia to grow at a CAGR of 1.5% over 2015-2020. Going forward, operators should seize opportunities in mobile data, fixed broadband and pay-TV segments, while vendors should position themselves to offer technology-compatible smartphones and network devices.

Key Findings

The overall telecom service revenue in Indonesia is estimated to increase by 8.2% over 2014 to reach USD10.9bn in 2015. From 2015 to 2020, the Indonesian telecommunications market will see service revenue grow at a 1.3% CAGR, boosted by mobile and fixed data and pay-TV segments.

Mobile revenue will account for 82.9% of the total telecom market in 2020. Mobile data will remain an important driver of this trend, as it will expand at a 5% CAGR from 2015 to 2020.

We expect the contribution of Internet access to fixed services revenue will increase from 39.4% in 2015 to 43.8% in 2020.

PT Telkom leads in both fixed and mobile segments. In the mobile segment, it faces significant competition from Indosat and XL Axiata and other smaller players, such as MKM and LinkNet.

Synopsis

Indonesia: Government Initiatives and Operator Investment to Drive Fixed and Mobile Data Growth provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Indonesia today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2020. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the Indonesian telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Researchs databases. The Country Intelligence

Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:

Regional context: Telecom market size and trends in Indonesia compared with other countries in the Asia-Pacific region.

Economic, demographic and political context in Indonesia.

The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plan, SIM registration, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, fixed Internet, mobile voice, mobile data and pay-TV.

Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2013 to 2020.

The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

In-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice and mobile data services: a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by network technology and by operator, as well as of average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in Indonesias telecommunications market.

Reasons To Buy

Gain in-depth analysis of current strategies and future trends of the telecommunications market in Indonesia, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format, to build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

Understand the factors behind ongoing and upcoming trends in the Indonesian mobile communications, fixed telephony and broadband and pay-TV markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares, to align product offerings and strategies to meet customers demand.

Leverage the graphical information (more than 20 charts and tables in the report based on the Pyramid Research forecast products), to gain an overview of the telecom market in Indonesia.

Analysis of key telecom players in the markets and major business strategies being adopted by them, to identify the opportunities to improve market share.

Explore novel opportunities to align your product strategies and offerings to meet the requirements and succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Indonesia.

Executive summary

Market and competitor overview

Regional context

Economic, demographic and political context

Regulatory environment

Demand profile

Service evolution

Competitive landscape

Major market players

Segment analysis

Mobile services

Fixed services

Pay-TV

Identifying opportunities

Overall market opportunities

Indonesia telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Indonesia communications market revenue , 2013-2020, USD

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, USD

Segment revenues 2013-2020

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2015, 2020

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2015, 2020

Service revenue by operator, 2015

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020

Key mobile market indicators, 2015

Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2013-2020

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020

Key fixed market indicators, 2015

Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020

Internet revenue, 2013-2020

Fixed market shares by service, 2015

Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020

Opportunities in the Indonesian telecommunications market

Indonesia telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

Indonesia communications market revenue , 2013-2020, USD

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, USD

Segment revenues 2013-2020

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2015, 2020

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2015, 2020

Service revenue by operator, 2015

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020

Key mobile market indicators, 2015

Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2013-2020

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020

Key fixed market indicators, 2015

Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020

Internet revenue, 2013-2020

Fixed market shares by service, 2015

Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020

Opportunities in the Indonesian telecommunications market

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PT Telkom

Indosat

XL Axiata

FirstMedia

Bakrie

Indovision

Lte, Lte-a, Gpon, Ftth, Fiber, Palapa Ring, Pt Telkom, Indosat, Xl Axiata, Firstmedia, Bakrie, Indovision


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