Slower growth in Tajikistan's mobile market and fixed broadband penetration remains very low
Of all the former Soviet republics, Tajikistan's telecommunications infrastructure was arguably the least developed. With a telecom network that was near total collapse, the government has had the daunting task of bringing it up to modern standards. Telecommunications has become one of the most dynamically developing sectors within the Tajikistan economy.
Tajikistan's mobile sector has been on a strong growth path for over a decade. It continues to be the standout feature of the country's telecom industry. Tajikstan's mobile market has experienced relatively strong growth over the last five years. However as the market has moved closer to a saturation phase there has been an inevitable slowing in the growth rate. Market penetration reached 100% in 2016. Market penetration is to grow at a slower rate over the next five years to 2021. There are five major operators in the market: Tcell, Babilon Mobile, MegaFon, Tacom / Beeline and TK Mobile. Tcell has the largest overall market share with over 30%
Despite the recent launch of 4G/LTE services, the overall the telecom sector has continued to struggle. Tajikistan has one of the lowest fixed-line teledensities in the region and one of the lowest broadband levels of broadband penetration. Internet penetration stood at around 21% in Tajikistan by 2016, increasing from 17.5% in 2014 and 19% in 2015. Fixed line penetration in Tajikistan remains low at around 5.3%. It has been growing at a very slow rate over the past few years due to the dominance of wireless markets.
Fixed broadband subscriptions in Tajikistan stood at a lowly 0.07% penetration by 2016 increasing only marginally from 0.06% in 2011. Further slow growth in anticipated over the next five years as 4G rollouts continue and there is an increased dependence by consumers on wireless networks. Market penetration is predicted to remain low over the next five years to 2021.
Note: It is pointed out that there are considerable inconsistencies with the market statistics available for Tajikistan as well as the total absence of statistics for some indicators
Telia signed an agreement to sell its 60% holding in Tcell to the Aga Khan Fund for Economic Development (AKFED).
Babilon-Mobile informed its customers that it will begin re-registering all existing SIM cards on its network. All other cellcos in the country are expected to follow suit.
VimpelCom Ltd partnered with ZTE Corporation to build a complete virtual network infrastructure providing 4G/3G/2G mobile data services to customers across five markets.
Babilon-M expanded the coverage of its LTE network outside of capital city Dushanbe. New cities covered by the expansion include Khujand, Qurghonteppa and Kulob.
1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
3. Country overview
4. Telecommunications market
4.1 Overview and Analysis
4.2 Historical overview
5. Regulatory environment
5.1 Historical overview
5.1.1 Law on Electrical Communication
5.1.2 Privatisation of Tajiktelecom
5.2 Law on Electrical Communication
5.3 Regulatory authority
5.6 SIM Registration
6. Fixed network operators
6.2 Internet Service Providers (ISPs)
7. Telecommunications infrastructure
7.1 Overview of the national telecom network
7.2 Next Generation Networks (NGNs)
7.3 International infrastructure (satellite, submarine)
8. Fixed-line broadband market
8.1 Market Overview and analysis
8.2 Broadband statistics
8.3 Forecasts broadband subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021
8.3.1 Notes on scenario forecasts
8.4 Fixed-line broadband technologies
9. Mobile Market
9.1 Market Overview and Analysis
9.2 Mobile statistics
9.2.1 General statistics
9.3 Forecasts mobile subscribers 2016; 2018; 2021
10. Mobile infrastructure
10.1 Digital networks
10.1.2 4G / LTE
11. Major mobile operators
11.1 Operator Statistics
11.2 Babilon Mobile
11.3 Tcell (Indigo-Somoncom)
11.3.1 Indigo Tajikistan
11.4 Tacom / Beeline
11.5 TK Mobile
11.8 Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) service
12. Digital economy
12.1.2 Local Developments
12.2.2 Local Developments
13. Digital media
13.1 Communications: VoIP, messaging, conferencing
13.2.2 Local Developments
14. Related reports
Chart 1-Fixed lines in service, annual growth and teledensity 2000-2016
Chart 2-Fixed broadband subscribers and annual change 2000-2016
Chart 3-Mobile subscribers, annual change and penetration 2004-2016
Table 1 Country statistics Tajikistan 2016 (e)
Table 2 Telephone network statistics 2016 (e)
Table 3 Internet user statistics 2016 (e)
Table 4 Broadband statistics 2016 (e)
Table 5 Mobile statistics 2016 (e)
Table 6 National telecommunications authorities
Table 7 Tajikistan's GDP real growth rate 2003-2016
Table 8 Fixed lines in service, annual growth and teledensity 1995-2016
Table 9 International internet bandwidth 2005-2016
Table 10 Fixed broadband subscribers and Penetration 2007-2016
Table 11 Internet users and Penetration 2008-2016
Table 12 Households with internet access 2005-2016
Table 13 Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration rates 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 14 Mobile subscribers and annual change 1996-2016
Table 15 Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration rates 2016; 2018; 2021
Table 16 Historical 3G mobile subscribers by operator 2009
Table 17 Mobile operators systems and launch dates
Table 18 Mobile subscribers by operator and market share 2016
Table 19 Historic-Babilon Mobile subscribers 2009; 2011-2012
Table 20 Indigo-Somoncom (Tcell) mobile subscribers 2009; 2011-2016
Table 21 Tacom (Beeline) mobile subscribers 2009; 2011-2016
Table 22 Tacom (Beeline)-mobile ARPU 2011-2015
Table 23 Tacom (Beeline)-mobile broadband subscribers 2011-2015
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paul budde communication, buddecomm, telecomunications research, country profile, Broadband Fixed, Internet, Mobile Communications (voice and infrastructure), Strategies & Analyses (Industry & Markets), Telecoms Infrastructure, Asia, Tajikistan
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