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United Kingdom: Market Enters Consolidation Phase with Healthy Trends Across Fixed, Pay-TV and Mobile Services

United Kingdom: Market Enters Consolidation Phase with Healthy Trends Across Fixed, Pay-TV and Mobile Services


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Executive Summary

In 2015, UK will be the largest telecom services market in Western Europe and will grow at a 1.0% CAGR from 2015-2020 in local currency to reach $52.4bn (GBP35.7bn) in 2020. More than 80% of the revenue growth between 2015 and 2020 will come from fixed and pay-TV services, while mobile services will grow slowly due to the EU roaming impact and the possible negative effect of fixed-mobile convergence on mobile revenue. Competition in the UK telecom market is set to intensify as operators look to extend their portfolio to remain competitive in a fixed and mobile convergence market. The ongoing consolidation and possible regulatory remedies will change competitive dynamics over the next few years and will likely reinforce a household-centric proposition.

Key Findings

The UK telecom market will generate total service revenue of $51.8bn (GBP34.0bn) in 2015, a -0.4% decline in local currency from the previous year.

Pyramid Research expects total service revenue to grow at a 1.0% CAGR from 2015-2020 in local currency (0.2% CAGR in US$). The positive impact of fixed broadband network upgrades on ARPS, the growth of LTE beyond the early-adopter status and in-market consolidation will likely compensate the negative impact of fixed-mobile convergence (FMC) on revenue.

The growing adoption of LTE services and the migration of voice services to VoLTE will contribute to growing data usage, mitigating losses in mobile voice revenue.

Broadband customers will benefit from higher speeds as operators are investing heavily in faster networks to achieve the government's target of providing superfast broadband to 95% of premises by 2017.

Driven by operator's focus on premium content and quad-play offerings, the UK will add about 1.6m pay-TV subscriptions during 2015-2020 to reach a penetration rate of 71.6% of households.

Synopsis

"United Kingdom: Market Enters Consolidation Phase with Healthy Trends Across Fixed, Pay-TV and Mobile Services" report provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in the UK today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2020. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the UK telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Research's databases.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:

Regional context: telecom market size and trends in the UK compared with other countries in the Western Europe region.

Economic, demographic and political context in the UK.

The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data.

Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2013 to 2020.

The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

An in-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony and broadband services, mobile voice, and data services; a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by technology/platform as well as operator, average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in the UK's telecommunications markets.

Reasons To Buy

Gain in-depth analysis of current strategies and future trends of the UK telecommunications market, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format, to build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

Understand the factors behind ongoing and upcoming trends in the UK communications, fixed telephony and broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares, to align product offerings and strategies to meet customer's demand.

Leverage the graphical information (more than 20 charts and tables in the report based on the Pyramid Research forecast products), to gain an overview of the UK telecom market.

Analysis of key telecom players in the markets and major business strategies being adopted by them, to identify the opportunities to improve the market share.

Explore novel opportunities to align your product strategies and offerings to meet the requirements and succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in the UK.

Executive summary

Market and competitor overview Regional context

Economic, demographic and political context

Regulatory environment

Demand profile

Service evolution

Competitive landscape

Major market players

Segment analysis Mobile services

Fixed services

Pay-TV

Identifying opportunities Overall market opportunities

UK telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

UK communications market revenue , 2013-2020, US$

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, US$

UK communications market revenue , 2013-2020, GBP

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, GBP

Segment revenues 2013-2020 13

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2015, 2020

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2015, 2020

Service revenue by operator, 2015

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020

Key mobile market indicators, 2015

Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2013-2020

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020

Key fixed market indicators, 2015

Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020

Internet revenue, 2013-2020

Fixed market shares by service, 2015

Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020

Opportunities in the UK telecommunications market

UK telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E

Country indicators

Regulatory structure and policy

Major telecommunications policy issues

UK communications market revenue , 2013-2020, US$

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, US$

UK communications market revenue , 2013-2020, GBP

Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, GBP

Segment revenues 2013-2020 13

Service revenue mix: voice, data & video, 2015, 2020

Service revenue mix: fixed & mobile, 2015, 2020

Service revenue by operator, 2015

Key telecom market players

Major telecommunications market players

Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020

Key mobile market indicators, 2015

Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020

Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2013-2020

Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020

Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020

Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020

Key fixed market indicators, 2015

Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020

Internet revenue, 2013-2020

Fixed market shares by service, 2015

Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020

Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020

Opportunities in the UK telecommunications market

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EE

O2 UK

Vodafone UK

Three UK (3 UK)

British Telecom (BT)

Sky

TalkTalk

Virgin Media

United Kingdom, mobile data in the UK, fixed broadband in the UK, UK mobile broadband, UK fixed broadband, prepaid in the UK, postpaid in the UK, 4G in the UK, LTE in the UK, FTTH in the UK, network upgrades in the UK, UK fiber roll out, EE, O2 UK, Vodafone UK, Three UK (3 UK), British Telecom (BT), Sky, TalkTalk, Virgin Media


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