Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market, valued at USD 25 Bn, grows with e-commerce surge, urbanization in key cities, and green logistics adoption.

Region:Central and South America

Author(s):Rebecca

Product Code:KRAB2981

Pages:89

Published On:October 2025

About the Report

Base Year 2024

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Overview

  • The Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market is valued at USD 25 billion, based on a five-year historical analysis. This growth is primarily driven by the rapid expansion of e-commerce, increased consumer demand for faster delivery options, and significant investments in infrastructure development. The logistics sector has seen a surge in demand for efficient last-mile delivery solutions, which are crucial for meeting customer expectations in urban areas.
  • Key cities such as Mexico City, Guadalajara, and Monterrey dominate the market due to their large populations, robust economic activities, and strategic locations. These urban centers serve as major hubs for logistics operations, facilitating efficient distribution networks and attracting investments from both domestic and international logistics companies. The concentration of businesses and consumers in these areas further enhances the demand for logistics and last-mile delivery services.
  • In 2023, the Mexican government implemented regulations aimed at improving the efficiency of logistics operations. The new policy mandates the adoption of green logistics practices, encouraging companies to utilize electric vehicles and sustainable packaging solutions. This initiative is part of a broader strategy to reduce carbon emissions in the logistics sector and promote environmentally friendly practices across the industry.
Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Size

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Segmentation

By Type:The logistics and last-mile delivery market can be segmented into various types, including B2B Logistics, B2C Logistics, Express Delivery Services, Freight Forwarding, Warehousing Solutions, Last-Mile Delivery Solutions, and Others. Each of these segments plays a crucial role in the overall logistics ecosystem, catering to different customer needs and operational requirements.

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market segmentation by Type.

The B2C Logistics segment is currently dominating the market, driven by the exponential growth of e-commerce and changing consumer preferences for online shopping. As more consumers opt for home delivery services, logistics providers are increasingly focusing on enhancing their B2C capabilities. This includes investing in technology for tracking shipments, improving delivery times, and offering flexible delivery options. The rise of mobile commerce and the demand for convenience have further propelled the growth of this segment, making it a key player in the logistics landscape.

By End-User:The market can also be segmented by end-user industries, including Retail, E-commerce, Manufacturing, Healthcare, Food and Beverage, Automotive, and Others. Each of these sectors has unique logistics requirements, influencing the demand for specific logistics services.

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market segmentation by End-User.

The E-commerce sector is the leading end-user in the logistics market, reflecting the rapid shift towards online shopping. The convenience of home delivery and the increasing number of online retailers have significantly boosted demand for logistics services tailored to e-commerce. This segment's growth is further supported by advancements in technology, enabling faster and more efficient delivery solutions. As consumer expectations for quick and reliable service continue to rise, logistics providers are adapting their strategies to meet these demands, solidifying E-commerce's position as a market leader.

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Competitive Landscape

The Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market is characterized by a dynamic mix of regional and international players. Leading participants such as DHL Supply Chain Mexico, Grupo TMM, Estafeta, FedEx Mexico, UPS Mexico, JDA Software Group, Kuehne + Nagel, XPO Logistics, Cargamos, Rappi, Mercado Libre, 99minutos, Logística de México, Cargamos, TCC contribute to innovation, geographic expansion, and service delivery in this space.

DHL Supply Chain Mexico

1969

Mexico City, Mexico

Grupo TMM

1986

Mexico City, Mexico

Estafeta

1981

Mexico City, Mexico

FedEx Mexico

1998

Mexico City, Mexico

UPS Mexico

1988

Mexico City, Mexico

Company

Establishment Year

Headquarters

Group Size (Large, Medium, or Small as per industry convention)

Revenue Growth Rate

Customer Satisfaction Score

Delivery Time Efficiency

Market Penetration Rate

Pricing Strategy

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Industry Analysis

Growth Drivers

  • Increasing E-commerce Penetration:The e-commerce sector in Mexico is projected to reach approximately $39 billion by the end of future, driven by a 20% annual growth rate. This surge is attributed to the increasing internet penetration, which stood at 80% in future, and the growing consumer preference for online shopping. As more consumers turn to digital platforms, the demand for efficient logistics and last-mile delivery services intensifies, creating significant growth opportunities for logistics providers.
  • Urbanization and Population Growth:Mexico's urban population is expected to reach 90% by future, with cities like Mexico City and Guadalajara experiencing rapid growth. This urbanization trend leads to increased demand for last-mile delivery services, as densely populated areas require efficient logistics solutions. The population is projected to grow by 1.2 million annually, further amplifying the need for reliable delivery systems to cater to urban consumers' needs, thus driving market expansion.
  • Technological Advancements in Logistics:The logistics sector in Mexico is increasingly adopting advanced technologies, with investments in automation and data analytics expected to exceed $2 billion by future. Technologies such as real-time tracking and route optimization are enhancing operational efficiency. The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning is also streamlining logistics processes, enabling companies to meet the rising consumer expectations for speed and reliability in last-mile delivery services.

Market Challenges

  • Infrastructure Limitations:Mexico's logistics infrastructure faces significant challenges, with only 35% of roads classified as in good condition. This inadequacy leads to delays and increased transportation costs, which can hinder the efficiency of last-mile delivery services. The government has allocated $3 billion for infrastructure improvements in future, but the current state remains a critical barrier to optimizing logistics operations and meeting consumer demands effectively.
  • Regulatory Compliance Issues:The logistics industry in Mexico is subject to complex regulations, including customs and transportation laws. In future, compliance costs are expected to rise by 20% due to stricter enforcement of environmental and safety standards. These regulatory challenges can create operational bottlenecks and increase the burden on logistics providers, impacting their ability to deliver services efficiently and competitively in the market.

Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Future Outlook

The Mexico logistics and last-mile delivery market is poised for significant transformation as technological innovations and consumer expectations evolve. The integration of smart logistics solutions, including AI-driven analytics and automated delivery systems, will enhance operational efficiency. Additionally, the focus on sustainability will drive the adoption of eco-friendly practices. As urbanization continues, logistics providers must adapt to the changing landscape, ensuring they meet the growing demand for faster and more reliable delivery services while navigating regulatory challenges.

Market Opportunities

  • Expansion of Last-Mile Delivery Services:With the e-commerce market expanding, there is a substantial opportunity for logistics companies to enhance their last-mile delivery services. By investing in localized distribution centers, companies can reduce delivery times and improve customer satisfaction, tapping into the growing demand for quick and efficient service.
  • Adoption of Green Logistics Solutions:As sustainability becomes a priority, logistics providers can capitalize on the demand for green logistics solutions. Implementing electric vehicles and optimizing delivery routes can significantly reduce carbon footprints, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers and aligning with government initiatives aimed at promoting sustainable practices in the logistics sector.

Scope of the Report

SegmentSub-Segments
By Type

B2B Logistics

B2C Logistics

Express Delivery Services

Freight Forwarding

Warehousing Solutions

Last-Mile Delivery Solutions

Others

By End-User

Retail

E-commerce

Manufacturing

Healthcare

Food and Beverage

Automotive

Others

By Delivery Model

Standard Delivery

Same-Day Delivery

Scheduled Delivery

Curbside Pickup

Contactless Delivery

Others

By Distribution Channel

Direct Sales

Online Platforms

Retail Partnerships

Third-Party Logistics Providers

Others

By Geographic Coverage

Urban Areas

Suburban Areas

Rural Areas

Cross-Border Delivery

Others

By Service Type

Standard Shipping

Expedited Shipping

Freight Shipping

Returns Management

Others

By Pricing Model

Flat Rate

Variable Rate

Subscription-Based

Others

Key Target Audience

Investors and Venture Capitalist Firms

Government and Regulatory Bodies (e.g., Secretaría de Comunicaciones y Transportes, Comisión Federal de Competencia Económica)

Logistics Service Providers

E-commerce Companies

Retail Chains and Supermarkets

Third-Party Logistics (3PL) Providers

Technology Providers (e.g., Software and Hardware Solutions for Logistics)

Real Estate Developers (focused on logistics and warehousing)

Players Mentioned in the Report:

DHL Supply Chain Mexico

Grupo TMM

Estafeta

FedEx Mexico

UPS Mexico

JDA Software Group

Kuehne + Nagel

XPO Logistics

Cargamos

Rappi

Mercado Libre

99minutos

Logistica de Mexico

TCC

Table of Contents

Market Assessment Phase

1. Executive Summary and Approach


2. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Overview

2.1 Key Insights and Strategic Recommendations

2.2 Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Overview

2.3 Definition and Scope

2.4 Evolution of Market Ecosystem

2.5 Timeline of Key Regulatory Milestones

2.6 Value Chain & Stakeholder Mapping

2.7 Business Cycle Analysis

2.8 Policy & Incentive Landscape


3. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Analysis

3.1 Growth Drivers

3.1.1 Increasing E-commerce Penetration
3.1.2 Urbanization and Population Growth
3.1.3 Technological Advancements in Logistics
3.1.4 Demand for Faster Delivery Services

3.2 Market Challenges

3.2.1 Infrastructure Limitations
3.2.2 Regulatory Compliance Issues
3.2.3 High Operational Costs
3.2.4 Competition from Local and International Players

3.3 Market Opportunities

3.3.1 Expansion of Last-Mile Delivery Services
3.3.2 Adoption of Green Logistics Solutions
3.3.3 Investment in Smart Logistics Technologies
3.3.4 Partnerships with E-commerce Platforms

3.4 Market Trends

3.4.1 Rise of Same-Day Delivery Services
3.4.2 Growth of Third-Party Logistics Providers
3.4.3 Increasing Use of Drones and Autonomous Vehicles
3.4.4 Focus on Sustainability and Eco-Friendly Practices

3.5 Government Regulation

3.5.1 New Transportation Regulations
3.5.2 Environmental Compliance Standards
3.5.3 Tax Incentives for Logistics Investments
3.5.4 Labor Regulations Affecting Delivery Services

4. SWOT Analysis


5. Stakeholder Analysis


6. Porter's Five Forces Analysis


7. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Market Size, 2019-2024

7.1 By Value

7.2 By Volume

7.3 By Average Selling Price


8. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Segmentation

8.1 By Type

8.1.1 B2B Logistics
8.1.2 B2C Logistics
8.1.3 Express Delivery Services
8.1.4 Freight Forwarding
8.1.5 Warehousing Solutions
8.1.6 Last-Mile Delivery Solutions
8.1.7 Others

8.2 By End-User

8.2.1 Retail
8.2.2 E-commerce
8.2.3 Manufacturing
8.2.4 Healthcare
8.2.5 Food and Beverage
8.2.6 Automotive
8.2.7 Others

8.3 By Delivery Model

8.3.1 Standard Delivery
8.3.2 Same-Day Delivery
8.3.3 Scheduled Delivery
8.3.4 Curbside Pickup
8.3.5 Contactless Delivery
8.3.6 Others

8.4 By Distribution Channel

8.4.1 Direct Sales
8.4.2 Online Platforms
8.4.3 Retail Partnerships
8.4.4 Third-Party Logistics Providers
8.4.5 Others

8.5 By Geographic Coverage

8.5.1 Urban Areas
8.5.2 Suburban Areas
8.5.3 Rural Areas
8.5.4 Cross-Border Delivery
8.5.5 Others

8.6 By Service Type

8.6.1 Standard Shipping
8.6.2 Expedited Shipping
8.6.3 Freight Shipping
8.6.4 Returns Management
8.6.5 Others

8.7 By Pricing Model

8.7.1 Flat Rate
8.7.2 Variable Rate
8.7.3 Subscription-Based
8.7.4 Others

9. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Competitive Analysis

9.1 Market Share of Key Players(Micro, Small, Medium, Large Enterprises)

9.2 Cross Comparison of Key Players

9.2.1 Company Name
9.2.2 Group Size (Large, Medium, or Small as per industry convention)
9.2.3 Revenue Growth Rate
9.2.4 Customer Satisfaction Score
9.2.5 Delivery Time Efficiency
9.2.6 Market Penetration Rate
9.2.7 Pricing Strategy
9.2.8 Operational Cost Efficiency
9.2.9 Technology Adoption Rate
9.2.10 Employee Productivity Metrics

9.3 SWOT Analysis of Top Players

9.4 Pricing Analysis(By Class and Payload)

9.5 Detailed Profile of Major Companies

9.5.1 DHL Supply Chain Mexico
9.5.2 Grupo TMM
9.5.3 Estafeta
9.5.4 FedEx Mexico
9.5.5 UPS Mexico
9.5.6 JDA Software Group
9.5.7 Kuehne + Nagel
9.5.8 XPO Logistics
9.5.9 Cargamos
9.5.10 Rappi
9.5.11 Mercado Libre
9.5.12 99minutos
9.5.13 Logística de México
9.5.14 Cargamos
9.5.15 TCC

10. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market End-User Analysis

10.1 Procurement Behavior of Key Ministries

10.1.1 Government Contracts and Tenders
10.1.2 Budget Allocation for Logistics Services
10.1.3 Compliance with Regulatory Standards
10.1.4 Preference for Local Providers

10.2 Corporate Spend on Infrastructure & Energy

10.2.1 Investment in Logistics Infrastructure
10.2.2 Spending on Technology Upgrades
10.2.3 Budget for Sustainability Initiatives

10.3 Pain Point Analysis by End-User Category

10.3.1 Delivery Delays
10.3.2 High Shipping Costs
10.3.3 Lack of Real-Time Tracking
10.3.4 Inadequate Customer Support

10.4 User Readiness for Adoption

10.4.1 Awareness of New Technologies
10.4.2 Willingness to Invest in Logistics Solutions
10.4.3 Training and Support Needs

10.5 Post-Deployment ROI and Use Case Expansion

10.5.1 Measurement of Delivery Efficiency
10.5.2 Customer Retention Rates
10.5.3 Expansion into New Markets

11. Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market Future Size, 2025-2030

11.1 By Value

11.2 By Volume

11.3 By Average Selling Price


Go-To-Market Strategy Phase

1. Whitespace Analysis + Business Model Canvas

1.1 Market Gaps Identification

1.2 Business Model Development


2. Marketing and Positioning Recommendations

2.1 Branding Strategies

2.2 Product USPs


3. Distribution Plan

3.1 Urban Retail vs Rural NGO Tie-Ups


4. Channel & Pricing Gaps

4.1 Underserved Routes

4.2 Pricing Bands


5. Unmet Demand & Latent Needs

5.1 Category Gaps

5.2 Consumer Segments


6. Customer Relationship

6.1 Loyalty Programs

6.2 After-Sales Service


7. Value Proposition

7.1 Sustainability

7.2 Integrated Supply Chains


8. Key Activities

8.1 Regulatory Compliance

8.2 Branding

8.3 Distribution Setup


9. Entry Strategy Evaluation

9.1 Domestic Market Entry Strategy

9.1.1 Product Mix
9.1.2 Pricing Band
9.1.3 Packaging

9.2 Export Entry Strategy

9.2.1 Target Countries
9.2.2 Compliance Roadmap

10. Entry Mode Assessment

10.1 JV

10.2 Greenfield

10.3 M&A

10.4 Distributor Model


11. Capital and Timeline Estimation

11.1 Capital Requirements

11.2 Timelines


12. Control vs Risk Trade-Off

12.1 Ownership vs Partnerships


13. Profitability Outlook

13.1 Breakeven Analysis

13.2 Long-Term Sustainability


14. Potential Partner List

14.1 Distributors

14.2 JVs

14.3 Acquisition Targets


15. Execution Roadmap

15.1 Phased Plan for Market Entry

15.1.1 Market Setup
15.1.2 Market Entry
15.1.3 Growth Acceleration
15.1.4 Scale & Stabilize

15.2 Key Activities and Milestones

15.2.1 Activity Planning
15.2.2 Milestone Tracking

Research Methodology

ApproachModellingSample

Phase 1: Approach1

Desk Research

  • Analysis of logistics industry reports from government agencies and trade associations in Mexico
  • Review of market studies and white papers published by logistics and e-commerce research firms
  • Examination of statistical data from INEGI (National Institute of Statistics and Geography) on transportation and logistics trends

Primary Research

  • Interviews with logistics managers at major e-commerce companies operating in Mexico
  • Surveys with last-mile delivery service providers to gather insights on operational challenges
  • Field interviews with local courier services to understand consumer preferences and delivery patterns

Validation & Triangulation

  • Cross-validation of findings through multiple data sources, including industry reports and expert opinions
  • Triangulation of qualitative insights from interviews with quantitative data from surveys
  • Sanity checks conducted through expert panel reviews comprising logistics and supply chain specialists

Phase 2: Market Size Estimation1

Top-down Assessment

  • Estimation of the overall logistics market size in Mexico, focusing on last-mile delivery segments
  • Segmentation of the market by key industries such as retail, e-commerce, and pharmaceuticals
  • Incorporation of growth rates based on historical data and projected trends in online shopping

Bottom-up Modeling

  • Collection of data on delivery volumes from major logistics providers and e-commerce platforms
  • Analysis of cost structures associated with last-mile delivery, including labor and transportation costs
  • Estimation of revenue generated from last-mile delivery services based on service pricing models

Forecasting & Scenario Analysis

  • Development of forecasting models using historical growth rates and market drivers such as urbanization
  • Scenario analysis based on potential regulatory changes affecting logistics operations
  • Creation of multiple growth scenarios (baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic) through 2030

Phase 3: CATI Sample Composition1

Scope Item/SegmentSample SizeTarget Respondent Profiles
E-commerce Last-Mile Delivery150Logistics Coordinators, E-commerce Operations Managers
Retail Supply Chain Logistics100Supply Chain Managers, Retail Operations Directors
Food Delivery Services80Delivery Fleet Managers, Restaurant Operations Heads
Pharmaceutical Distribution70Pharmacy Managers, Logistics Compliance Officers
Urban Courier Services90Operations Supervisors, Customer Experience Managers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current value of the Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market?

The Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market is valued at approximately USD 25 billion, driven by the rapid growth of e-commerce, consumer demand for faster delivery, and significant infrastructure investments.

Which cities are the main hubs for logistics in Mexico?

What are the main segments of the Mexico Logistics and Last-Mile Delivery Market?

How is the e-commerce sector impacting the logistics market in Mexico?

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